Wednesday 24 July 2013

#NRL 2013: Round 20 Tips Late Mail Predictions Preview #NRLLateMail #NRLDT #Supercoach

ROUND 20 TIPS and LATE MAIL
Plus The Postman's NRL Dream Team/NRL Super Coach Picks

 2013 NRL Premiership

By W D Nicolson - July 24, 2013


EXTRA LATEST OF LATE MAIL ADDED THROUGHOUT ROUND
ALL EXPERT PICKS AND SPECIAL FRIED RICE ADDED AS RECEIVED
This week www.wdnicolson.com goes all www.nrl.com...

Or should that be the other way around?

While it was hoped that by now the style of the content you read here at www.wdnicolson.com would be helping bring www.nrl.com into the sphere of a 'can't miss 3 or 4 times a day' website... some of it is gradually breaking through of late. But baby steps people... baby steps.

What you see regularly on www.wdnicolson.com are two or three things a week that we think you've shown us via our stats that you WANT. But by absolutely no measure are they the only things we would like to produce for you. There simply isn't the time to do what we are SURE you want as well, just haven't been given access to before.

Stick with us and hopefully the tide will start to change on the NRL front... maybe even come the Finals this season.

Anyhoo there are two features already on www.nrl.com that are worth checking out and another two on the way Thursday.

Can Dugan's Dragons snap the hoodoo? | Round 20 DT Analysis

DT Market Watch: Round 20 | Tipping Insider: Round 20

Okay okay, let's just get to the tips and the real reason each and every one of you are here for: The Latest of Late Mail!

For our analysis of Tuesday team selections for Round 20 - click here.

As far as Late Mail goes the rolling lockout for all you NRL Dream Team and NRL Super Coach nerds should have allowed you to make any last minute changes quite easily, but once again our Latest of Late Mail should help in any selections you make before the round begins.

The Postman has his NRL Dream Team Picks on nrl.com as of Thursday and they pretty much apply to NRL Super Coach as well. A few more notes are below though.
@NRLTweet Player of the Year

 Voting Allocation for Round 20 of the NRL is below.

NRL TIPPING PREVIEW + LATE MAIL
ROUND 20, 2013
Wednesday Odds Courtesy of Sportingbet | NRL LADDER
Friday 7:45pm at 1300SMILES Stadium
COWBOYS $1.55 v $2.50 BRONCOS
FOOTYTAB: BRI +6.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Adrian McMurray @adrmcm Matthew Duncan @mrpeninsula |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Loser is completely done and dusted in the playoff race... the winner is still probably dusted in the playoff race. Can't see the Brocnos making a run at all - truth be told how Prince was spared the axe when Wallace and Norman got it is BEYOND ANYONE bar Coach Griffin - but the Cowboys have JT and Bowen so maybe they could keep North Queensland's head above water for another week or two at least... So Cowboys by 2 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL:
COWBOYS: It looks like Morgan is the new preferred #7, so don't expect Lui to be a late addition. That bench could really do with Bolton and Taumalolo but the fact they are named as 18th and 19th men suggests Thorby and Sims get the call.
LATE UPDATE? Thompson starts at 9, Mitchell to bench. Bolton and Taumalolo miss out.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky Thursday or Friday...
BRONCOS: Would expect the Broncos to be 1-17 after the mass changes announced on Tuesday - that is unless Hannant's calf still isn't right. Oates on the wing is the main head scratcher given he's a backrower but Griffin seems to think he knows what he is doing...
LATE UPDATE? Hannant gorn! Dodds starts at prop. Lui onto bench.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky Thursday or Friday...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Friday 7:45pm at ANZ Stadium
BULLDOGS $1.08 v $8.50 EELS
FOOTYTAB: PAR +20.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Maria Tsialis @mtsialis Matt Vickers @mercurialmattyv |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Canterbury are coming off a 39-0 bending over of the Storm... Parra couldn't score a point against Canberra in a game where the Raiders were deadset ordinary. Josh Morris could make Ryan Morgan look like... Ryan Morgan. That matchup is just one of many that scream 'Pick Canterbury' and unless Jarryd Hayne makes a late appearance - picking the Bulldogs by 22 points seems unders.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL:
BULLDOGS: Healthy looking team - hard to find a reason anyone gets replaced, especially after a week off to rest up for the likes of Kasiano and Pritchard who missed the Storm game.
LATE UPDATE? Jackson starts, Williams to bench.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky Thursday or Friday...
EELS: Does Hayne play? Right now - let's go with sure. But for those Fantasy players the fact this game is Friday night means you have an hour after 6:30pm Friday to know for sure. Hard to imagine Sandow gets a reprieve but Ryan might at the expense of Junior Paulo.
LATE UPDATE? No Hayne. Maitua to bench, Joseph Paulo starts.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky Thursday or Friday...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Saturday 5:30pm at WIN Stadium
DRAGONS $2.15 v $1.73 RAIDERS
FOOTYTAB: STI +4.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Matt Spillane @devonhead Greg Delaney @gregdelaney84 |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Last 15 games: Canberra, Canberra, Canberra, Canberra, Canberra, Canberra, Dragons... Canberra, Canberra, Canberra, Canberra, Canberra, Canberra, Canberra and Canberra. Thus Dugan or no Dugan - Raiders by 6 points. Note I could have said Canberra that last time as well, but changed it up for St George Illawarra fans... how considerate right?
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL:
DRAGONS: Price won't change a winning team - meaning Stockwell comes in on the bench and the shuffle covers for the loss of Cooper.
LATE UPDATE? Frizell starts, Merrin to the bench.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky Thursday or Friday...
RAIDERS: Blake Ferguson is almost a certainty - he'd go to the centres, Thompson to the second row, Edwards to the bench and Kennedy would miss out. Wighton is another week away.
LATE UPDATE? Sounds like Ferguson is playing NSW Cup not NRL. Thus Thompson stays in the centres but Earl returns for Sauiluma on the wing.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky Thursday or Friday...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Saturday 7:35pm at Skilled Park
TITANS $3.30 v $1.35 RABBITOHS
FOOTYTAB: GLD +8.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Adrian McMurray @adrmcm TBA |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Gold Coast are somewhat of a hope here... and they've actually got the Dragons to thank. Getting Myles and Bird back is big (Zillman returning would be handy as well) but will the Bunnies start to doubt themselves if a team takes it to them physically like Saints did on Monday? Don't get me wrong - South Sydney's failure to put the Dragons away when they led 18-6 was why they lost (the Dragons off the back of Trent Merrin suddenly played some footy with 20 minutes to go was also a factor) but Souths just didn't strike me as a team that had that burning desire they'd shown for much of the season. Same happened against Cronulla earlier this season... so if they doubt themselves - the Titans are right in this. But there's no way I'm picking the Gold Coast, so Rabbitohs by 10 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL:
TITANS: Myles and Bird will play. Zillman is a question mark but the home game helps his chances. Takairangi is also likely to play, while don't rule out O'Dwyer starting in the centres for Dowling.
LATE UPDATE? No Zillman, Are 1-17.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky Thursday or Friday...
RABBITOHS: No Inglis yet. Watch out for a sneaky Matt King selection with Andrew Everingham missing out after some indifferent form, allowing Bryson Goodwin to move back to the wing. Michael Maguire may also ring a shock forward selection change or three as well - he likes to keep his players on their toes.
LATE UPDATE? Hunt looks like the casualty for King, while those forward changes could be significant. Everingham and Hunt out, Merritt to FB, King and Farrell new wingers. George and Sam Burgess start at prop, Tyrell and Peats out. Tom Burgess and Keary onto bench. Lowe starts at lock, Asotasi to the bench.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky Thursday or Friday...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Sunday 2:00pm at Mt Smart Stadium (NZ Time)
WARRIORS $2.40 v $1.60 STORM
FOOTYTAB: WAR +2.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Good clash... well it should be if the Warriors turn up with the right attitude. Melbourne might take a week or three to mesh with their Big 3 again but once they do - they are still my pick as Premiers til someone beats them in September. Big chance for the Warriors to make a statement here... and a win at home would also help their playoff chances sitting 2 points out of 8th. But I can't tip them - despite a history of giving Melbourne a game - I'll stick solid with Smith, Slater, Cronk and the Storm by 12 points
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL:
WARRIORS: Packer could come in for Matagi but that is a bit harsh given how good the kid played last week.
LATE UPDATE? Lillyman starts, Matulino to the bench.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky Thursday or Friday...
STORM: Rested up and ready to go.
LATE UPDATE? Ryles comes in and McLean misses out.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky Thursday or Friday...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Sunday 2:00pm at Remondis Stadium (The Tip)
SHARKS $1.55 v $2.50 PANTHERS
FOOTYTAB: PEN +6.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Justin Davies @dragonpunk12 TBA |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Both teams turned me off deluxe with bad performances last weekend... that is Cronulla never had the ball or enough good players to beat the Roosters (were crushed 40-0) and Penrith got a ridiculous TRY call early then stopped playing smart footy, allowing the Knights to bust holes in them thereafter (Newcastle won 32-14). That loss saw Penrith drop out of the Top 8 and should they lose here - possibly for good. Sharks have personnel issues but still have Todd Carney and enough workers up front to be favourites at 'The Tip'. Sharks by 4 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL:
SHARKS: Lewis, Gallen, Tupou and Ryan are probably week away, while Pomeroy looks set to keep Mills out of the side. Graham is the biggest doubt, while Robson should play. Is Carney carrying a sternum injury?
LATE UPDATE? Are 1-17.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky Thursday or Friday...
PANTHERS: Manu will return, while Naiqama will play NSW Cup given Brown is named in the centres. Docker's face isn't healthy but may yet play... then again the Panthers named Tighe last week as well.
LATE UPDATE? Are 1-17.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky Thursday or Friday...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Sunday 3:00pm at Hunter Stadium
KNIGHTS $2.80 v $1.46 ROOSTERS
FOOTYTAB: NEW +4.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget TBA |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Newcastle - how about proving you are a good team... against a very very good one. The Knights have three wins in a row... impressive right? Not quite as jaw-dropping when you see it was the Panthers, Bulldogs and Titans... The Roosters roasted the Sharks 40-0, the Dragons by 36pts and did the business against Manly the week before that. Easts have earned the right to be tipped against anyone on the road bar Melbourne and Souths - so Roosters by 14 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL:
KNIGHTS: Sims or Tetevano for the bench looks to be the only question.
LATE UPDATE? Tetevano is preferred to Sims on the bench.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky Thursday or Friday...
ROOSTERS: SBW will play, so Liu misses out. Jennings and Maloney left the field late in last week's win but Jennings is the only one with a slight leg injury. He should play as well.
LATE UPDATE? Liu preferred to Guerra on the bench.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky Thursday or Friday...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Monday 7:00pm at Campbelltown Stadium
TIGERS $5.15 v $1.18 SEA EAGLES
FOOTYTAB: WTG +12.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet Matt Spillane @devonhead |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
The Tigers saw their season end last week against the Warriors... despite leading 14-6 at halftime their ball control in the 2nd half in attacking situations was abysmal and Benji Marshall's last touch at Leichhardt was a knock-on - not exactly fairytale stuff. Manly have beaten three inferior opponents in back to back to back weeks by a combined 78 points... and Aaron Woods is out. Look Robbie Farah might keep the Tigers in it - but Manly win by at least 8 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL:
TIGERS: Keith Galloway back? Watch this space as he was due back last week. He would replace Spence.
LATE UPDATE? Galloway back, Spence omitted. Anasta to half, Sironen to bench.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky Thursday or Friday...
SEA EAGLES: Matai's hip forced him off against the Titans but he wanted to come back on - a good sign he'll play with a 8 day gap between games. Rose is likely as well given the extra time to recover from an ankle injury.
LATE UPDATE? Gower in, Hasson out.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky Thursday or Friday...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
What are your tips for Round 20? 
Are you taking any advice from our Awesome Foursome panel this year? You should be from Jakey Jake and the Funky Bunch.
Let us know by commenting below or replying on Twitter.


@NRLTWEET's 2013 TIPPING RECORD 
TIPPING TOTAL AFTER 19 ROUNDS - 85/136 @ 62.5%
FOOTYTAB TOTAL AFTER 19 ROUNDS - 73/136 @ 53.7%
SPECIAL FRIED RICE involves each tipster taking a 'certainty' in a set order, with the tipster with the highest score at the end of the year literally winning a mountain of Special Fried Rice. The SFR Order rotates every week and is a fun way to put your rice where your mouth is.
ROUND 20 SELECTIONS | The Awesome Foursome
@NRLTweet
Warrick D. Nicolson, The NRL Tweet
TIPPING:
Cowboys Bulldogs Raiders Rabbitohs Storm Sharks Roosters Sea Eagles
LW: 3/6 | SEASON: 85/136
FOOTYTAB:
BRI +6.5 CBY -20.5 CAN -4.5 SOU -8.5
MEL -2.5 PEN +6.5 SYD -4.5 WTG +12.5
LW: 3/6 | SEASON: 74/136
Special Fried Rice: BULLDOGS over Eels (Has 1st Pick)
Season SFR: 14.5/19
CAN4 CBY3 SOU2 MEL1 CRO4 MAN3 SYD2 SYD1 SOU4 MEL3 NQL2 SOU1 MEL4 CRO3 CBY2 SOU1 SOU4 CBY3 CAN2 CBY1
TIPPING:
Broncos Bulldogs Raiders Titans Storm Panthers Knights Sea Eagles
LW: 6/6 | SEASON: 74/136
FOOTYTAB:
BRI +6.5 PAR +20.5 CAN -4.5 GLD +8.5
MEL -2.5 PEN +6.5 NEW +4.5 MAN -12.5
LW: 5/6 | SEASON: 66/136
Special Fried Rice: BRONCOS over Cowboys (Has 3rd Pick)
Season SFR: 12/19
SOU2 SOU1 MAN4 PAR3 NQL2 MEL1 BRI4 WAR3 STI2 BRI1 NEW4 NEW3 CBY2 SOU1 MEL4 NEW3 SYD2 BRI1 WAR4 BRI3
@Horry37
Jake Hauritz, Channel 9 Darwin
TIPPING:
Broncos Bulldogs Raiders Rabbitohs Storm Sharks Roosters Sea Eagles
LW: 4/6 | SEASON: 92/136
FOOTYTAB:
BRI +6.5 CBY -20.5 CAN -4.5 SOU -8.5
MEL -2.5 CRO -6.5 SYD -4.5 MAN -12.5
LW: 5/6 | SEASON: 67/136
Special Fried Rice: RABBITOHS over Titans (Has 2nd Pick)
Season SFR: 13/19
MEL1 BRI4 MEL3 CRO2 MEL1 CAN4 NQL3 MEL2 MEL1 CAN4 MAN3 CBY2 SYD1 BRI4 CAN3 MEL2 MEL1 MAN4 MAN3 SOU2
@MrDC
DC Chapman, League Lover
TIPPING:
Cowboys Bulldogs Raiders Rabbitohs Storm Sharks Roosters Sea Eagles
LW: 5/6 | SEASON: 82/136
FOOTYTAB:
NQL -6.5 CBY -20.5 CAN -4.5 SOU -8.5
MEL -2.5 CRO -6.5 SYD -4.5 MAN -12.5
LW: 3/6 | SEASON: 56/136
Special Fried Rice: SEA EAGLES over Tigers (Has 4th Pick)
Season SFR: 13/19
NEW3 MAN2 CRO1 NEW4 SOU3 NEW2 MEL1 NEW4 BRI3 SOU2 SOU1 GLD4 PEN3 MEL2 SOU1 STI4 MAN3 PEN2 SOU1 MAN4
The NRL Injury List is updated regularly during each week of the season, making it an invaluable Fantasy and Tipping Tool alongside our Weekly NRL Previews once again.
Remember if you want game-specific Late Mail every week, then check out our Round Previews Every Wednesday and they are updated with all the very latest Late Mail on Friday.
Who will take Ben Barba's mantle as champion in the 2013 @NRLTweet Player of the Year Awards?

 The Prestigious Award is underway for a 4th season in 2013.
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet | Nigel Wilbow @parramatters
Justin Davies @dragonpunk12 | Greg Delaney @gregdelaney84
Matt Spillane @devonhead | Matt Trodden @trods2906
Matt Vickers @mercurialmattyv | Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget
Adrian McMurray @adrmcm | Matthew Duncan @mrpeninsula
Maria Tsialis @mtsialis | Ben Jones @benwah87
Jake Hauritz @horry37

Review all of the voting results from 2012 right here

Remember you can track all the votes each week after each match in 2013 via the Twitter hashtag #nrltweetpoty
By Warrick D. Nicolson