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Tuesday, 27 March 2018

NRL Round 4 Tips from The Postman | 2018 Season

The Postman's Round 4 NRL Tips
2018 National Rugby League Premiership
By W D Nicolson - March 27 2018


4 from 8 = what a performance!

After back to back 3/8s to start the year, yes I'll celebrate one more tip this week.

Surely a 5/8 isn't far away...

Alternatively there's a fresh NOT The Footy Show Podcast up.

Stream the New Podcast Episode 184 below:

Subscribe to the show on iTunes 
Download the mp3 version


Tips for Round 4 2018

Cowboys over Panthers
Townsville and no Nathan Cleary is good enough for me.

Bulldogs over Rabbitohs

No idea. No idea at all. 

Storm over Sharks

Actually think Cronulla could spring an upset here... but am not tipping it.

Roosters over Warriors

Well done Warriors - 3-0 is great and all but the Chooks are the tip.

Sea Eagles over Raiders

Manly I guess.

Dragons over Knights

Newcastle bursting the St. George-Illawarra bubble would be great but don't think it happens this week.

Broncos over Titans
Titans gave up last week... Broncos didn't.

Eels over Tigers
Should respect the Tigers more but Parra... surely they are better than them even without Hayne and French?? This tip could change if I come to my senses.

There's my tips - got your own?
Comment below or reply on Twitter


2018 SEASON TIPS: 

10/24 at 41.2%

Round by Round Results: 3/8 | 3/8 | 4/8

2017 Tipping: 125/192 at 65.1%
2017 Round by Round: 5/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 2/8 | 7/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 6/8 | 3/4 | 6/7 | 4/8 | 4/4 | 3/7 | 4/8 | 4/4 | 5/6 | 7/8 | 5/8 | 4/8 | 5/8 | 6/8 | 4/8 | 6/8
2016 Tipping: 136/192 at 70.8%
2016 Round by Round: 5/8 | 6/8 | 4/8 | 5/8 | 7/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 7/8 | 4/8 | 4/8 | 3/4 | 5/7 | 5/8 | 4/4 | 6/8 | 3/4 | 5/6 | 7/8 | 7/8 | 4/8 | 4/8 | 6/8 | 5/8 | 7/8
2015 Tipping: 115/192 at 59.9%
2014 Tipping: 122/192 at 63.5%
2013 Tipping: 121/192 at 63.0%
2012 Tipping: 115.5/192 at 60.2%
2011 Tipping: 115/192 at 59.9%
2010 Tipping: 125/192 at 65.1%



We are back again in 2018!

NOT The Footy Show Episode 184: Enter the Dragons... | NRL Podcast

Stream the New Podcast Episode 184 below:

Subscribe to the show on iTunes 
Download the mp3 version

Join Robb Cox and Warrick Nicolson as they dissect the Dragons and Warriors bright starts (and Canberra and Parra's not so bright start), refereeing crackdowns, Manly's cap penalty and the Australian Cricket Team's deplorable decision making. Plus the prize music gets a workout in this week's mailbag.

Also please jump onto iTunes and give us a review - because it's the right thing to do.

Follow NOT The Footy Show on Twitter: @NRLTweet and Facebook: www.facebook.com/nrlpodcast

Tuesday, 20 March 2018

NRL Round 3 Tips from The Postman | 2018 Season

The Postman's Round 3 NRL Tips
2018 National Rugby League Premiership
By W D Nicolson - March 21 2018


DOUBLE YIKES!

3/8 and 3/8 to open season 2018... there's no doubt this is a horrendous start, so take the below tips with my 37.5% success rate to start the year in mind!

But as always - will keep doing my best!


Tips for Round 3 2018

Storm over Cowboys
Yeah... so this should be an out and out blockbuster of a sporting event in Melbourne... pity the MCG will be packed with 100,000 people at the same time. Seriously - this is so badly scheduled by the NRL it is genuinely humorous. Storm to win.

Panthers over Bulldogs

Don't trust the Panthers despite them being 2-0... definitely don't trust the Bulldogs at 0-2. 

Broncos over Tigers

Not respecting the Tigers enough I know but the Broncos bounced back very well to beat the Cowboys - so Broncos.

Raiders over Warriors

I'd be dirty at myself if I picked the Warriors on the road and they let me down yet again... then again I've picked Canberra both weeks so far and they've done nothing for me.

Sea Eagles over Rabbitohs

Manly crushed Parra by 54... the Bunnies blew a 14-0 lead at Penrith. I guess Manly...?

Eels over Sharks

Parra to rebound... yeah from a 54 point loss. But Cronulla blew their own 14-0 lead over Saints at home so... Parra.

Dragons over Titans
I really like what the Titans are capable of but things have to go right across the board for them to beat most teams. Dragons start the year 3-0 if they are actually any good - even if this is on the Gold Coast.

Roosters over Knights
Easts please. But feel free to shock me with a 3-0 start Newcastle.

There's my tips - got your own?
Comment below or reply on Twitter


2018 SEASON TIPS: 

6/16 at 37.5%

Round by Round Results: 3/8 | 3/8

2017 Tipping: 125/192 at 65.1%
2017 Round by Round: 5/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 2/8 | 7/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 6/8 | 3/4 | 6/7 | 4/8 | 4/4 | 3/7 | 4/8 | 4/4 | 5/6 | 7/8 | 5/8 | 4/8 | 5/8 | 6/8 | 4/8 | 6/8
2016 Tipping: 136/192 at 70.8%
2016 Round by Round: 5/8 | 6/8 | 4/8 | 5/8 | 7/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 7/8 | 4/8 | 4/8 | 3/4 | 5/7 | 5/8 | 4/4 | 6/8 | 3/4 | 5/6 | 7/8 | 7/8 | 4/8 | 4/8 | 6/8 | 5/8 | 7/8
2015 Tipping: 115/192 at 59.9%
2014 Tipping: 122/192 at 63.5%
2013 Tipping: 121/192 at 63.0%
2012 Tipping: 115.5/192 at 60.2%
2011 Tipping: 115/192 at 59.9%
2010 Tipping: 125/192 at 65.1%



We are back again in 2018!

Wednesday, 14 March 2018

NRL Round 2 Tips from The Postman | 2018 Season

The Postman's Round 2 NRL Tips
2018 National Rugby League Premiership
By W D Nicolson - March 14 2018


YIKES!

3/8 to open season 2018... going 0/2 on Sunday really killed the score potential - thanks Parra and Canberra.

Less said about last week the better. Onto Round 2.



Tips for Round 2 2018

Sharks over Dragons
Home ground only.

Roosters over Bulldogs

Roosters don't start the year 0-2 surely?

Cowboys over Broncos

Bring it on - love this contest early in the season. Brisbane certainly capable at home but Cowboys for me.

Warriors over Titans

Not believing for a second the Warriors are world-beaters but picking the Titans on the road is a tough request.

Panthers over Rabbitohs

Home team please.

Storm over Tigers

Tigers showed a heck of a lot of ticker last week v the Roosters... Storm by 20.

Eels over Sea Eagles
Putting a lot of faith in Parra... misplaced I fear. Not picking Manly at Brookie on a Sunday arvo... what am I thinking?

Raiders over Knights
Game is in Canberra... only reason I'm going with the Raiders. They blew 2 points last week and Newcastle found a way to get 2 v Manly... Canberra I guess.

There's my tips - got your own?
Comment below or reply on Twitter


2018 SEASON TIPS: 

3/8 at 37.5%

Round by Round Results: 3/8

2017 Tipping: 125/192 at 65.1%
2017 Round by Round: 5/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 2/8 | 7/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 6/8 | 3/4 | 6/7 | 4/8 | 4/4 | 3/7 | 4/8 | 4/4 | 5/6 | 7/8 | 5/8 | 4/8 | 5/8 | 6/8 | 4/8 | 6/8
2016 Tipping: 136/192 at 70.8%
2016 Round by Round: 5/8 | 6/8 | 4/8 | 5/8 | 7/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 7/8 | 4/8 | 4/8 | 3/4 | 5/7 | 5/8 | 4/4 | 6/8 | 3/4 | 5/6 | 7/8 | 7/8 | 4/8 | 4/8 | 6/8 | 5/8 | 7/8
2015 Tipping: 115/192 at 59.9%
2014 Tipping: 122/192 at 63.5%
2013 Tipping: 121/192 at 63.0%
2012 Tipping: 115.5/192 at 60.2%
2011 Tipping: 115/192 at 59.9%
2010 Tipping: 125/192 at 65.1%



We are back again in 2018!

Wednesday, 7 March 2018

NRL Round 1 Tips from The Postman | 2018 Season

The Postman's Round 1 NRL Tips
2018 National Rugby League Premiership
By W D Nicolson - March 7 2018


Welcome back to the NINTH year of NRL Tipping on www.wdnicolson.com - your friendly Postman put together a respectable 65% success rate in 2017 (after going nuts with nearly 71% in 2016) and let's see if we can't finish somewhere in-between for the 2017 edition.

My 2018 Season Predictions are here.

And my Round 1 Tips are below.



Tips for Round 1 2018

Dragons over Broncos
Home ground factor the ONLY reason I'm going with Saints.

Sea Eagles over Knights

Newcastle's going to be the sexy pick at home but Manly should be your pick. Let's see what the Knights have in store for us first before we hand them a Top 8 spot yeah?

Cowboys over Sharks

Cracking first Friday Night Footy prime time game - Cowboys on the back of JT and Townsville thanks.

Roosters over Tigers

Tedesco to score a hat-trick and Roosters by a fair margin in the end.

Rabbitohs over Warriors

Toss a coin. Don't rate either team... neutral ground. R comes before W and so does S.

Storm over Bulldogs

No Slater, no Cronk. Still going the Storm with authority in Perth.

Eels over Panthers
Have changed this pick multiple times this week - Penrith in Penrith is a factor but Parra have more strikepower in them, something I didn't think I'd ever say but you can't jettison Moylan and Cartwright and be the same threat with the ball no matter how good Maloney is at what he does. Parra on Sunday arvo footy hopefully in front of a packed Penrith Park.

Raiders over Titans
I like the Titans a lot this year - they'll play some football and beat their share of average teams. Question is how average a team is Canberra without Hodgson and playing Austin off the bench? You are well within your rights to go with the Gold Coast here - and I almost encourage it if you've gone a few roughies before Sunday night rolls around.

There's my tips - got your own?

Comment below or reply on Twitter


2018 SEASON TIPS: 

0/0 at 0%

Round by Round Results: 

2017 Tipping: 125/192 at 65.1%
2017 Round by Round: 5/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 2/8 | 7/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 6/8 | 3/4 | 6/7 | 4/8 | 4/4 | 3/7 | 4/8 | 4/4 | 5/6 | 7/8 | 5/8 | 4/8 | 5/8 | 6/8 | 4/8 | 6/8
2016 Tipping: 136/192 at 70.8%
2016 Round by Round: 5/8 | 6/8 | 4/8 | 5/8 | 7/8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 7/8 | 4/8 | 4/8 | 3/4 | 5/7 | 5/8 | 4/4 | 6/8 | 3/4 | 5/6 | 7/8 | 7/8 | 4/8 | 4/8 | 6/8 | 5/8 | 7/8
2015 Tipping: 115/192 at 59.9%
2014 Tipping: 122/192 at 63.5%
2013 Tipping: 121/192 at 63.0%
2012 Tipping: 115.5/192 at 60.2%
2011 Tipping: 115/192 at 59.9%
2010 Tipping: 125/192 at 65.1%



We are back again in 2018!

The Postman's 2018 NRL Season Predictions + Grand Final and Dally M Winner

2018 NRL Predictions
2018 National Rugby League Premiership
By W D Nicolson - March 7, 2018


The Postman is back with another 16 dart throws for the 2018 NRL Premiership - we got 6 of the 8 teams in the Top 8 last year and had the Cowboys in the Grand Final... but also had them winning it all.

My Round 1 Tips will follow and for the record 2017 was tipped at a 65% success rate... just average enough to warrant giving me another chance in 2018 yeah?

Before you get into the predictions - huge shout out to the Warriors for showing how you do a membership call to arms... it's just so much better than the same old same old 'be part of the team' stuff that players get asked to trot out every off-season - do yourself a favour and watch it.


Predicted NRL Ladder 2018
  1. STORM
    I just can't put them any lower and why would you even with Cooper Cronk's departure? Brodie Croft looks the goods and that backline around him is superb. Tohu Harris leaves a gap in the backrow but he did miss a lot of last year anyway. Team to beat... funny that given they are the reigning premiers.
  2. ROOSTERS
    Tedesco and Cronk. Cronk and Tedesco. Yes it cost them Mitchell Pearce and co but the ins outweigh the outs. They are going to be really really good.
  3. COWBOYS
    JT and Matt Scott come back and Jordan McLean is a fine addition. Thing is their forward pack did a wonderful job without them during the Finals last year and their opportunistic attack won them games. But make no mistake that backline isn't as dangerous as it could be - Coote in particular needs a big bounce back year to make them better - even if JT is JT again.
  4. EELS
    Jarryd Hayne comes in, Mitch Moses gets a whole off-season with Corey Norman and Clinton Gutherson will return from injury... the Eels are stacked for this campaign. Still a question mark over their front row - and Kane Evans could be anything... he just hasn't been much of anything yet. Brad Arthur's game plan rocks when he lets his team play footy... they look joe average when he asks them to grind.
  5. BRONCOS
    Anthony Milford and Darius Boyd will carry them as far as they can in 2018 - it won't be enough for a title challenge I don't think but they will make the Finals. How Andrew McCullough fares returning from an ACL injury dictates how high they finish ahead of September but they aren't quite on the level of the best sides in this competition.
  6. SHARKS
    I really don't think they are that good but that applies to the rest of the teams below them even more. Chad Townsend needs to be better than he was in 2016 and feed the backline which is brimming with talent but the key will be James Segeyaro being the player we remember, not the one we saw in a cameo role last season. Fringe contenders - a ways off the Top 5 for mine.
  7. RAIDERS
    Too high but see above as to why no one else is higher - no Josh Hodgson til July (at best you'd think) means the pressure on the 6 and 7 is more than just a little significant. Sam Williams better be the player Ricky Stuart thinks he can be because Austin off the bench is a head-scratcher... but Aidan Sezer not being below average again is the biggest variable that has to turn around for this talented team, in order for them to be a threat at all by the time Hodgson returns.
  8. DRAGONS
    Hate myself but they have a really really good starting 13. It's cost me putting Penrith in the Top 8 but 1-13 the Dragons have some quality pieces and Matt Dufty could be anything sniffing around this forward pack. Only question is depth up front if they get any injuries but this team will be as good as how flexible Paul McGregor allows their game plan to be. Let them play footy Mary!
  9. PANTHERS
    Sorry Panther fans - James Maloney in for Bryce Cartwright and Matt Moylan is a negative transaction. Don't get me wrong - Maloney is a quality player and Nathan Cleary will benefit from him but the Panthers just lost two uber creative individuals that made the sum of their parts a lot more dangerous. Trent Merrin and RCG need to be unbelievable for their pack to match their opposition each week and the three-quarter line is somewhat overrated. Good enough to put egg on my face but they regressed badly last year and only turned it around over a 6 week period to make the Finals... not this year.
  10. SEA EAGLES
    A good team but not a great one. Fell away sharply at the end of 2017 after playing above themselves for much of the season and I'm not sold on them being better this time around. That said watching Tommy Trbojevic, Marty Taupau and DCE run around each week isn't a hard thing to do - they'll be there or thereabouts for most of the year but on the outside looking in after 25 Rounds.
  11. TITANS
    Reaching? Maybe but they have a sneaky good roster with some game-breaking talent and a new coach who won't play it safe in the situation he is in. Cartwright, Taylor, Hurrell, James, Proctor, Wallace, Gordon and Peats is a very handy core - not Top 8 bound this year but I'm expecting about 6 points to seperate 6th and 14th this year so this is a good landing spot for the Titans.
  12. KNIGHTS
    They won't make the Top 8 like some are being tricked into believing (remember for a team to jump from 16th to 8th means more than one current Top 8 team needs to fall by the wayside and probably two. That said - great job assembling the new roster and Kalyn Ponga is the business. Mitchell Pearce and Connor Watson could be a great combo as well plus they've bought really well but they've gotta win like 13 games to make the Top 8 and they won 5 last year. It's a tall order.
  13. RABBITOHS
    Greg Inglis being Greg Inglis could get them to that 8-10 range but no higher. They've freshened up their bench which is great to see but this team just doesn't do it for me. George Burgess returning to the form of old would be fantastic to see but this seems the right place for South Sydney to land.
  14. BULLDOGS
    Sorry Doggies fans - there's some good players on this roster but no out and out star and that's a problem. I'm a massive fan of Kieran Foran but he's an outstanding #2 guy - he's not the #1 playmaker the Dogs need him to be. Aaron Woods and David Klemmer will start games superbly for the Dogs but won't win games by themselves. Also have a bad feeling Dean Pay might play it safe with the game plan and not let this unit play footy... which was the crime that Des Hasler kept repeating during his tenure.
  15. WARRIORS
    Every year people ask if this is the year the Warriors put it altogether... short answer: it isn't this year. They recruited Tohu Harris which was a great move and have re-signed RTS but Blake Green, Adam Blair and Gerard Beale are ho hum moves... had they kept Foran and picked up Harris I'd be bullish about them taking a forward step. But Stephen Kearney seems unwilling to be adventurous with his style and they've recruited to be more safe in their style so 15th it is. And I love what RTS and Shaun Johnson are capable of but they won't be enough. 
  16. TIGERS
    It is the worst roster in the comp... and it's not really Ivan Cleary's fault. The Tigers had to spend their fortune of cap space once James Tedesco, Aaron Woods and Mitchell Moses left but it was on mostly bit-parts not top end quality. Ben Matulino is their best pickup and Tui Lolohea was great for them late last year but the rest of the signings are underwhelming... and the Tigers only won 7 games last year. Spoon favourites unfortunately.
Grand Final Prediction: 
Cowboys v Roosters.
(Cowboys beat Melbourne and the Chooks beat Parra in the Prelims)

Premiers: North Queensland Cowboys.
JT does it again.

Dally M: Cameron Smith and James Tedesco.
It's another tie! The NRL loves it when there's a tie!

Top Try-Scorer: Suliasi Vunivalu.
Josh Addo-Carr and James Tedesco to be his main threats.

Rookie of the Year: Sione Katoa, Victor Radley, Enari Tuala or Tom Wright 
From what is very slim pickings at this stage. 
Brodie Croft has two seasons of appearances (5 games) so I believe he is ineligible and a few others people may think are eligible aren't because they played NRL in 2016 (and not in 2017) like Luciano Leilua,  and Lachlan Croker.
But the beauty of the NRL is youngsters come through all the time - so watch this space.

Good luck to your team in 2018 - for your sake I hope I'm way off!
We are back again in 2018!
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