Wednesday 10 July 2013

#NRL 2013: Round 18 Tips Late Mail Predictions Preview #NRLLateMail #NRLDT #Supercoach

ROUND 18 TIPS and LATE MAIL
Plus The Postman's NRL Dream Team/NRL Super Coach Picks

 2013 NRL Premiership

By W D Nicolson - July 10, 2013


EXTRA LATEST OF LATE MAIL ADDED THROUGHOUT ROUND
ALL EXPERT PICKS AND SPECIAL FRIED RICE ADDED AS RECEIVED
Here's a tip... don't change your tip.

Remember last week how I lamented not changing from Cronulla to North Queensland and Manly to the Roosters after late withdrawals in Round 16... so when Michael Gordon and Beau Ryan withdrew from Cronulla's team against the Tigers before kick-off on Friday...

I changed my tip.

Good one Waz!

If you are counting at home - the two games I chose not to change in the hour before the game saw me lose both tips, and the game I did change - I lost again.

Stick with your gut and it hurts less. Believe me.

Just 4 games this weekend with Origin 3 next Wednesday so there's not a great deal of Late Mail to report, but report it we will.

To the tips!

For our analysis of Tuesday team selections for Round 18 - click here.

As far as Late Mail goes the rolling lockout for all you NRL Dream Team and NRL Super Coach nerds should have allowed you to make any last minute changes quite easily, but once again our Latest of Late Mail should help in any selections you make before the round begins.


The Postman will have more NRL Dream Team and NRL Super Coach picks before Round 19
@NRLTweet Player of the Year

 Voting Allocation for Round 18 of the NRL is below.
NRL TIPPING PREVIEW + LATE MAIL
ROUND 18, 2013
Wednesday Odds Courtesy of Sportingbet | NRL LADDER
Friday 7:45pm at Suncorp Stadium
BRONCOS $2.40 v $1.60 SHARKS
FOOTYTAB: BRI +2.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Greg Delaney @gregdelaney84 Nigel Wilbow @parramatters |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Cronulla had this game last year v an Origin-less Broncos - and won convincingly. Realistically despite Lewis, Gallen and Fifita missing for the Sharks - they should do the job again on the QLDer-less Broncos. Brisbane can't create genuine chances with Peter Wallace and Scott Prince together - but we've discussed this before haven't we? If Andrew McCullough and Corey Norman have stunners - Brisbane are a chance... but Todd Carney went alright last week - so stick with the Sharks by 10 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL:
BRONCOS: Hannant is the big concern as he apparently 'tore' his calf before the Warriors game in Round 16. Lama Tasi probably gets a run regardless, while David Stagg and Jordan Kahu also return from long injury layoffs. Would be surprised not to see Scott Anderson in the final 17.
LATE UPDATE? Hannant is OUT. Hala starts, Anderson onto final bench.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky next week...
SHARKS: Everyone wants to know about Michael Gordon's calf... but from his own tweets - he's not sure about it either. Friday night might come a little early for him to play this week... so for his sake - hopefully he's back next week (you've heard that before). Nathan Stapleton - not Stewart Mills - would go to fullback and Ben Pomeroy would move in to the centres with Mills to the wing.
LATE UPDATE? Gordon IS playing. Pomeroy drops out.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky next week...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Saturday 7:35pm at Parramatta Stadium
EELS $3.40 v $1.34 PANTHERS
FOOTYTAB: PAR +4.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Matt Trodden @trods2906 Adrian McMurray @adrmcm |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Parra just dropped Chris Sandow... for the awe-inspiring halves combo of Luke Kelly and Ben Roberts. The Panthers on the other hand have opened up the game plan and even Luke Walsh looks like a good footy player in the ad-lib structure... translation: pick Penrith. Panthers by 16 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL:
EELS: Jarryd Hayne will not play... check his status for Round 19 come Round 19. Willie Tonga expects to play his first game of the year, while yes Ben Roberts looks like he'll play five-eighth. Will there be late changes? Expect at least one, remember the Eels played Monday night footy - so this didn't have to be their actual team given it was named less than 24 hours later.
LATE UPDATE? Sandow won't play NSW Cup... or the NRL for that matter. Hayne reckons he's a chance as well! Sio OUT/Radradra IN.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky next week...
PANTHERS: Matt Moylan probably holds his spot despite a so-so game last week, while Lewis Brown's hamstring is all that stands between Ryan Simpkins and another run off the bench.
LATE UPDATE?
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky next week...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Sunday 3:05pm at ANZ Stadium
BULLDOGS $1.25 v $4.15 STORM
FOOTYTAB: MEL +10.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Matt Spillane @devonhead Matt Vickers @mercurialmattyv |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Look Canterbury need to have a serious look at how they 'attack' inside the attacking 20m zone... but they should still win this game. I say should... I didn't say will. I can't pick Melbourne because scoring points without their Big 3 is tougher than picking a broken nose but Canterbury's attack is woeful inside the 20m zone. Just give it to Barba and things might go better Des Hasler... and yes it might be that simple. Bulldogs by 12 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL:
BULLDOGS: The Dogs expect Mitch Brown to play despite a sickening head on knee clash last weekend. Sam Kasiano and Greg Eastwood should play after missing through injury against the Knights, meaning Tim Browne and Martin Taupau drop out.
LATE UPDATE? Josh Reynolds is back after being released from the NSW squad. He'll play 5/8, Romelo out. Kasiano is ill and Pritchard is still dusty after a head knock last week - so Browne and Taupau join the squad.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky next week...
STORM: Craig Bellamy loves a late change and given he named a 19 man squad - you won't know til kick-off what changes he'll make. Cagey customer, especially naming Ben Hampton at halfback after playing him at fullback against the Gold Coast last time they played in an Origin week.
LATE UPDATE? 1-17.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky next week...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Monday 7:00pm at 1300SMILES Stadium
COWBOYS $3.050 v $1.40 SEA EAGLES
FOOTYTAB: NQL +4.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Cowboys without JT... Manly without DCE. One has happened a lot... the other is about to happen for the first time since he made his debut. Manly will miss Cherry-Evans big time - after he rebounded from a barren patch of form with a quality dissection of Parramatta, while North Queensland's promising two match winning streak came to an end in the 1st half in Canberra. Manly miss DCE and Watmough, Nth Qld miss JT, Tate, Scott and Tamou... might be in Townsville but you have to pick Manly - especially with the way Foran and Brett Stewart played last Monday. Sea Eagles by 10 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL:
COWBOYS: Dallas Johnson copped yet another head knock last weekend so not convinced he was entirely dropped this week. So he might actually be a late starter given the game is Monday. Michael Morgan is long odds with a bad shoulder, so expect the Lui/Thompson combo on gameday. Only question is whether or not Sims and Cooper start despite being named on the bench.
LATE UPDATE? Sounds like Bowen is playing after all. Greenshields out. Morgan starts at 6.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky next week...
SEA EAGLES: Manly will settle on their squad by the time they fly out on the weekend - giving George Rose (ankle) a few more days to prove his fitness. Does Peta Hiku play halfback? Don't see why not - there's not many other options for Manly actually. Glenn Stewart should be fine after a poke in the eye on Monday.
LATE UPDATE? Hiku to centres, Lyon to five-eighth and Foran to half mentioned. Hasson starts, Buhrer to bench, Rose out, Skinner in.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: You might be lucky next week...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
What are your tips for Round 18? 
Are you taking any advice from our Awesome Foursome panel this year?
Let us know by commenting below or replying on Twitter.


@NRLTWEET's 2013 TIPPING RECORD 
TIPPING TOTAL AFTER 17 ROUNDS - 78/126 @ 61.9%
FOOTYTAB TOTAL AFTER 17 ROUNDS - 67/126 @ 53.2%
SPECIAL FRIED RICE involves each tipster taking a 'certainty' in a set order, with the tipster with the highest score at the end of the year literally winning a mountain of Special Fried Rice. The SFR Order rotates every week and is a fun way to put your rice where your mouth is.
ROUND 18 SELECTIONS | The Awesome Foursome
@NRLTweet
Warrick D. Nicolson, The NRL Tweet
TIPPING:
Sharks Panthers Bulldogs Sea Eagles
LW: 5/8 | SEASON: 78/126
FOOTYTAB:
CRO -2.5 PEN -4.5 CBY -10.5 MAN -4.5
LW: 5/8 | SEASON: 67/126
Special Fried Rice: BULLDOGS over Storm (Has 3rd Pick)
Season SFR: 12.5/17
CAN4 CBY3 SOU2 MEL1 CRO4 MAN3 SYD2 SYD1 SOU4 MEL3 NQL2 SOU1 MEL4 CRO3 CBY2 SOU1 SOU4 CBY3
TIPPING:
Broncos Eels Bulldogs Sea Eagles
LW: 5/8 | SEASON: 66/126
FOOTYTAB:
BRI +2.5 PAR +4.5 CBY -10.5 MAN -4.5
LW: 3/8 | SEASON: 58/126
Special Fried Rice: BRONCOS over Sharks (Has 1st Pick)
Season SFR: 11/17
SOU2 SOU1 MAN4 PAR3 NQL2 MEL1 BRI4 WAR3 STI2 BRI1 NEW4 NEW3 CBY2 SOU1 MEL4 NEW3 SYD2 BRI1
@Horry37
Jake Hauritz, Channel 9 Darwin
TIPPING:
Sharks Bulldogs Panthers Sea Eagles
LW: 5/7 | SEASON: 84/126
FOOTYTAB:
CRO -2.5 PEN -4.5 CBY -10.5 MAN -4.5
LW: 5/8 | SEASON: 59/126
Special Fried Rice: SEA EAGLES over Cowboys (Has 4th Pick)
Season SFR: 11/17
MEL1 BRI4 MEL3 CRO2 MEL1 CAN4 NQL3 MEL2 MEL1 CAN4 MAN3 CBY2 SYD1 BRI4 CAN3 MEL2 MEL1 MAN4
@MrDC
DC Chapman, League Lover
TIPPING:
Sharks Panthers Bulldogs Sea Eagles
LW: 6/8 | SEASON: 73/126
FOOTYTAB:
CRO -2.5 PEN -4.5 MEL +10.5 MAN -4.5
LW: 6/8 | SEASON: 51/126
Special Fried Rice: PANTHERS over Eels (Has 2nd Pick)
Season SFR: 12/17
NEW3 MAN2 CRO1 NEW4 SOU3 NEW2 MEL1 NEW4 BRI3 SOU2 SOU1 GLD4 PEN3 MEL2 SOU1 STI4 MAN3 PEN2
The NRL Injury List is updated regularly during each week of the season, making it an invaluable Fantasy and Tipping Tool alongside our Weekly NRL Previews once again.

Remember if you want game-specific Late Mail every week, then check out our Round Previews Every Wednesday and they are updated with all the very latest Late Mail on Friday.
Who will take Ben Barba's mantle as champion in the 2013 @NRLTweet Player of the Year Awards?

 The Prestigious Award is underway for a 4th season in 2013.
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet | Nigel Wilbow @parramatters
Justin Davies @dragonpunk12 | Greg Delaney @gregdelaney84
Matt Spillane @devonhead | Matt Trodden @trods2906
Matt Vickers @mercurialmattyv | Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget
Adrian McMurray @adrmcm | Matthew Duncan @mrpeninsula
Maria Tsialis @mtsialis | Ben Jones @benwah87

Review all of the voting results from 2012 right here

Remember you can track all the votes each week after each match in 2013 via the Twitter hashtag #nrltweetpoty
By Warrick D. Nicolson