Wednesday 15 May 2013

NRL 2013: Round 10 Tips Late Mail Predictions Preview for #womeninleague Round #NRLLateMail #NRLDT #Supercoach

ROUND 10 TIPS and LATE MAIL
Plus The Postman's NRL Dream Team/NRL Super Coach Picks

2013 NRL Premiership

By W D Nicolson - May 15, 2013


EXTRA LATEST OF LATE MAIL ADDED THROUGHOUT ROUND
ALL EXPERT PICKS AND SPECIAL FRIED RICE ADDED AS RECEIVED
Make sure you check out the Predicted NSW Game 1 Team we believe coach Laurie Daley is set to announce for the June 5 clash with Queensland at ANZ Stadium.
Plus Mal Meninga's Queensland Team has also been predicted... though injuries are playing havoc with both lineups.
Continue reading below for the Round 10 Tipping Preview.

It is Women in League Round people...

Just make sure you keep on thanking your mum, wife, partner or sisters/daughters for letting you love your footy...

On the field the Storm have stumbled, the Roosters have kept winning and the Bunnies keep making statements that they are determined to make this their year.

Conversely the 'other' of the best four teams in the competition (as declared a fortnight ago by all and sundry) - Manly have struggled since getting outplayed at home by the Bunnies in Round 7.

The Sea Eagles did manage to hold out the Dragons in Round 8 at Kogarah, but they showed a worrying lack of urgency when the game was there to be won in Round 10 against the Roosters.

Easts had just lost Jared Waerea-Hargreaves to an intentional high tackle on George Rose with 11 minutes left, but instead of racing to set a scrum and grab the lead quickly - Manly wandered around like they figured they'd score for a sure at two scrums they had within the 20m zone over the next few minutes.

Manly lost the ball early in the second set they had and never looked like scoring again.

Manly now head to Melbourne - again on a Monday night but if you play every Monday you get full training weeks so Geoff Toovey isn't complaining - then face the Raiders at Brookvale and head to Auckland to play the Warriors without Anthony Watmough (who will be in the NSW Team).

Now I'm not saying they won't win those games - but they need to win at least two of those three to remain firmly in the discussion for the best teams in the league.

And one big upside for Manly is that although Brett Stewart is injured, they will only miss Watmough at Origin time. Barring Glenn Stewart completely reversing his form since coming back from injury.

Having your first choice halves not playing Origin is a HUGE factor at this time of year.

PS - Before you go down to the Tips and Late Mail people - we have news on a temporary (and I stress temporary) NOT The Footy Show return...
We're BACK!
New Podcast June 1st
Admittedly only for a State of Origin Special but after getting a lot of feedback that people had missed our combination of footy chat and I guess you'd call it 'analysis' - a few of your NOT The Footy Show regulars are reuniting on May 31st to produce an hour long podcast previewing Game 1 on June 5 at ANZ Stadium.
We are not returning full time, this is just a chance to talk some footy with old friends and hopefully - remind you all of what you've missed!
So keep an eye on @NRLTweet for more details, but the hope is to have DC Chapman, Jake Hauritz, Maria Tsialis, Nic McInerney and Matthew Duncan join host Warrick Nicolson for a little more NOT The Footy Show fun.
The Origin 1 Podcast should be available on www.wdnicolson.com and iTunes by early afternoon Saturday June 1st.

For our analysis of Tuesday team selections for Round 10 - click here.

As far as Late Mail goes the rolling lockout for all you NRL Dream Team and NRL Super Coach nerds should have allowed you to make any last minute changes quite easily, but once again our Latest of Late Mail should help in any selections you make before the round begins.

The Postman will also have one or two NRL Dream Team and NRL Super Coach picks for you to consider entering Round 10.

@NRLTweet Player of the Year - Round 9 Results here
Voting Allocation for Round 10 of the NRL is below.
NRL TIPPING PREVIEW + LATE MAIL
ROUND 10, 2013
Wednesday Odds Courtesy of Sportingbet | NRL LADDER
Friday 7:15pm at Suncorp Stadium
BRONCOS $1.52 v $2.55 TITANS
FOOTYTAB: GLD +4.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget Matthew Duncan @mrpeninsula |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Yikes... do I have to pick either team? The Broncos ruled out any serious title threat (not that they were anyway) but losing a very winnable game at Parramatta, while the Titans struggled mightily to beat another dud side in the Dragons - by a point. Truly good sides have to beat the duds - home or away, and to compound the Broncos' situation - they lose Ben Hannant and Scott Prince to leg injuries, while Justin Hodges and Josh McGuire are battling to be fit for Friday. If there is an upside for the Broncos it is Peter Wallace will run the show on his own - the Wallace-Prince combination left both players neutered in terms of effectiveness, but the game plan will remain 'get Hodges the ball'. I haven't mentioned the Titans for a while and that's because they aren't very good but they also aren't very bad, so if Nate Myles can overcome a calf problem - I'll tip the Gold Coast by 4 points at Suncorp.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Track via #NRLLateMail
BRONCOS: Hodges and McGuire are going to race the clock to play with hip and calf injuries, with Lachlan Maranta likely to get a reprieve on the wing for Hodges if he's out and Scott Anderson would start for McGuire. If they do play however, expect Jarrod Wallace to hold his spot ahead of Mitchell Dodds. Jake Granville looks set to get a utility spot on the bench, with Wallace and Dodds the obvious choices to make way.
LATE UPDATE? Hodges is not going to play - and the Broncos confirm our prediction that Maranta would join the backline. It looks like Scott Anderson and not Jarrod Wallace will make way for Granville. Maranta and Granville in, Anderson and Hodges out.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
TITANS: Myles is the concern after a calf strain, he's played injured before however so expect him to play. Luke Douglas will decide later in the week if he will play after his mother passed away. Brad Takairangi and William Zillman have niggles but should play. Matt Srama might have to wait another week with a finger injury.
LATE UPDATE? Douglas will play, and Srama has been given the green light by his coach to play as well. ARE 1-17
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Friday 7:15pm at ANZ Stadium
RABBITOHS $1.07 v $8.50 TIGERS
FOOTYTAB: WTG +16.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet Nigel Wilbow @parramatters |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
You will be tipping South Sydney by as many as you want... now move along to the Saturday games. Any possible impact Benji can bring from the bench will be irrelevant if Souths lead by 20 after 15 minutes... I'll take the Rabbitohs by 24 points, because the Tigers can't tackle right now bar when people run at Farah and Woods, so the South Sydney game plan may involve not running at them.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Track via #NRLLateMail
RABBITOHS: John Sutton and Beau Champion's hamstrings will be monitored closely... Sutton is more likely to play, but if Champion cannot go - then Dylan Farrell gets a reprieve in the top grade. Jeff Lima needs an injury up front to get a run it seems...
LATE UPDATE? No news yet on Sutton and Champion. There is chat that Dylan Walker could come in for either Champion or Hunt. Hunt and Tyrrell out, Walker and Lima in.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
TIGERS: Benji Marshall isn't 100% which is why he's on the bench as much as Mick Potter thinks picking Liam Fulton at five-eighth is a smart defensive move. Shaun Spence will probably miss out on the final bench spot, while Ben Murdoch-Masila might get a late start despite being named as 19th man.
LATE UPDATE? Matt Utai is out, replaced by rookie winger David Nofoaluma. Utai and Spence out, Nofoaluma and Murdoch-Masila in.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Saturday 5:30pm at WIN Stadium
DRAGONS $1.45 v $2.75 EELS
FOOTYTAB: PAR +6.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Justin Davies @dragonpunk12 Matt Spillane @devonhead |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Don't like the play of either team... and though Hayne and Sandow were pretty good last week together - still can't trust them on the road against a fellow struggler. The Dragons are back at home and unveil Josh Dugan at fullback so I'll lean their way... As a stand-alone game this might actually be quite entertaining as the Eels will chance their hand and the Dragons will get plenty of latitude around the ruck from Parramatta... I'm picking the Dragons by 4 points, as long as Jamie Soward doesn't have to win the game with his goal or field goal kicking... who is left for him to blame for his misses this week?
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Track via #NRLLateMail
DRAGONS: Dugan got a crash-course in St George Illawarra tactics this week and will line up at fullback. Matt Cooper's toe is a concern but was named again, so he'll get til Saturday to prove his fitness. Though Matt Prior filled in for him last week, expect Nathan Green to get the call if Cooper can't go. If Cameron King gets a spot on the final bench it will be at the expense of Bronson Harrison, Jack Stockwell or Jack de Belin.
LATE UPDATE? Again it's only chat but Mitch Rein's ankle is apparently a concern, so King might start in the end. Rein and Cooper out, Cook in on bench.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
EELS: Ryan Morgan was named in NSW Cup and although that means his hamstring might be okay, expect Api Pewhairangi to hold his spot after dealing with Jack Reed last week. Junior Paulo might have been named to debut but Ricky Stuart has promoted a veteran at a named rookie's expense in the past.
LATE UPDATE? ARE 1-17.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Saturday 7:30pm at Centrebet Stadium
PANTHERS $1.65 v $2.25 WARRIORS
FOOTYTAB: WAR +2.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Ben Jones @benwah87 Greg Delaney @gregdelaney84 |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
This is much like the 5:30pm game... neither team has that much going for them based on what we've seen so far in 2013. Penrith got Melbourne on an off-night and made them pay last Sunday, while the Warriors did everything but win their Wellington game against the Bulldogs. Penrith might actually have a bit of self-belief in their defence after beating Melbourne, so that's the factor I value here and the Warriors still don't scream 'pick us to win on the road' even with Thomas Leuluai playing well alongside Shaun Johnson finally. Warriors win this if they win the forward battle... but I can't rely on that on the road. Penrith get my tip by 7 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Track via #NRLLateMail
PANTHERS: The likes of Josh Mansour, Wes Naiqama and Jeremy Latimore are due back soon but Ivan Cleary is likely to stick solid with the group that beat the Storm.
LATE UPDATE? There is talk Luke Capewell has joined from Brisbane but it would be surprising if he played this week.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
WARRIORS: Both Konrad Hurrell and Jerome Ropati were named to play for the Auckland Vulcans in NSW Cup - Ropati most interestingly at fullback... Don't rule either out of a trip across the ditch. Sam Rapira hopes to return from a hand injury, which would mean Suaia Matagi misses out.
LATE UPDATE? Check the flight records before you rule out changes here... Ropati and Hurrell won't play.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Saturday 7:30pm at 1300SMILES Stadium
COWBOYS $1.95 v $1.85 ROOSTERS
FOOTYTAB: NQL +2.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Matt Trodden @trods2906 Adrian McMurray @adrmcm |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Following a reasoned gut feeling here... and picking North Queensland for one big reason. No one questions the fact that in Matt Scott and James Tamou the Cowboys have the best starting front row in the competition, but though the Roosters are flying high right now - their starting front row from all season is NOT PLAYING. First Sam Moa got hut in Round 8 and now Jared Waerea-Hargreaves is suspended... so up against Scott-Tamou is Kennedy-O'Donnell... that's a massive advantage for the Cowboys. Granted they need things to go their way one after another - given how they play is momentum based - but I'm not confident tipping the potent Roosters (they can still score points) on the road facing this battle for the middle of the field... Cowboys by 2 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Track via #NRLLateMail
COWBOYS: Jason Taumalolo's presence is not good news for Ashton Sims or Scott Bolton. Glenn Hall is a Neil Henry favourite so he'll stick and Scott Moore deserves another shot at hooker. Michael Morgan (shoulder) might also be a late chance of playing with the game in Townsville.
LATE UPDATE? Nothing yet...
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
ROOSTERS: Jared Waerea-Hargreaves took the 5 week's off and will spend it learning what attacking the head illegally means hopefully... Lama Tasi, Isaac Liu, Kane Evans or Dylan Napa look like his most obvious replacements on the bench with Luke O'Donnell or Frank-Paul Nuuausala starting at prop.
LATE UPDATE? Napa and Tasi have travelled with the team, expect Tasi to get the last spot on the bench.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Sunday2:00pm at Sharks Stadium
SHARKS $1.65 v $2.25 RAIDERS
FOOTYTAB: CAN +4.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Maria Tsialis @mtsialis Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Both teams have actually played rather good footy in recent weeks - the Sharks have beaten the Knights and the Tigers and the Raiders dusted the Storm and the Knights in back to back rounds. Todd Carney has been firing for Cronulla, while the return of Terry Campese to the starting team has been the reason Canberra have woken up. Paul Gallen is unlikely to play so Canberra certainly match up well in the forward battle, while Blake Ferguson could have a field day against Johnathan Wright on Cronulla's left edge. If the forwards cancel each other out - and more importantly Canberra coach David Furner lets the Raiders play attacking footy from the get go - Cronulla doesn't have the outside backs to run with Canberra's. But it will come down to game plan... if Canberra play it safe - Cronulla and Carney could give the Raiders a rude shock. Canberra by 4 points on the road.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Track via #NRLLateMail
SHARKS: Paul Gallen has openly said he plans to return in Round 11, so he has at least one game under his belt before Origin 1. That means the Sharks should be unchanged - bar a late swap of Sam Tagataese for Mark Taufua.
LATE UPDATE? Gallen is beyond unlikely... but it's still hard to rule him out entirely. Gallen won't play and Lewis looks set to miss through injury with Tyrone Peachey debuting.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
RAIDERS: Joel Thompson has the best shot of being a late inclusion on the bench for Paul Vaughan, while Jake Foster and Shaun Berrigan would be the 18th and 19th men if Thompson is not available. Glenn Buttriss and Jarrod Croker are not ready to return.
LATE UPDATE? Thompson remains a chance... Croker and Buttriss none.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Sunday 3:00pm at Hunter Stadium
KNIGHTS $2.15 v $1.70 BULLDOGS
FOOTYTAB: NEW +2.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Matt Vickers @mercurialmattyv Matt Trodden @trods2906 |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Defence will be the order of the day when these teams meet in Newcastle. Last year when Canterbury were riding a long winning streak they raced out of the gates with a flurry of tries and then held off the Knights - who had the ball for 60 minutes - in front of nearly 30,000 fans at Hunter Stadium. The Knights won't have forgotten how a bad start consigned them to a costly loss in Round 22 (they missed the finals by 2 wins) and Wayne Bennett has gone into siege mode this week after their capitulation to the Raiders in Canberra after leading 14-0. Canterbury have quietly turned a 1-5 start into a 4-5 ledger with 3 straight wins and Ben Barba is showing signs of life again. Jarrod Mullen's return is a big in for Newcastle, as his kicking game will be huge - especially if the Canterbury pack (which has lifted recently) has its way in the middle. I've flipped between the teams all week... right now I'm leaning to the Bulldogs - just because the Knights pack has it all to do here. Bulldogs by 2 points (at the moment) in a low scoring game.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Track via #NRLLateMail
KNIGHTS: Jarrod Mullen should play, while Akuila Uate's ankle injury is a worry. Check back later in the week for an update on the winger's status - Kevin Naiqama would probably come in as his replacement.
LATE UPDATE? Uate is likely to withdraw and will be replaced by - as we said above - Naiqama.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
BULLDOGS: No real issues for the Dogs at the moment. Dene Halatau is a utility safety net on the bench, so he probably holds his spot over Martin Taupau and Tim Browne despite not having much game time recently.
LATE UPDATE? Nothing yet...
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Monday 7:00pm at AAMI Park
STORM $1.48 v $2.65 SEA EAGLES
FOOTYTAB: MAN +8.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet Nigel Wilbow @parramatters |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
If Craig Bellamy wants to re-energise his group then adding Brett Finch would be the perfect tonic. Melbourne were outplayed by Canberra (the Storm weren't bad that night) but they were terribly short in intensity against Penrith and the Panthers pounced. Bellamy faced this situation last year and playing Manly is the right opposition to remind his charges of what intensity means. Last time these two teams played was a bloodbath... you can bet Geoff Toovey has that game running on repeat in the Manly gym this week. Manly need to respect their chances - they didn't late in their loss to the Roosters - and they can push Melbourne all the way here. Still I'm picking the home team Storm by 6 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Track via #NRLLateMail
STORM: If Finch plays, then Gareth Widdop might get a rest this week. The only bench forward who made any impact last week for Melbourne was Jason Ryles - so there might be a few new faces on the pine this week. Siosaia Vave is also off the injured list for the Storm so he may be a chance as well.
LATE UPDATE? Finch played NSW Cup. Whispers Ryan Hinchcliffe is ready to return...
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
SEA EAGLES: Peta Hiku might find himself on the wing this week after an ineffective running game at fullback... that would see Jorge Taufua move to the custodian role with Brett Stewart out. Brent Kite left the field groggy after a Jake Friend high tackle on Monday so he might be in a little doubt. Manly need to find another prop to pick alongside George Rose on that bench asap - especially with Jason King likely done for much of the season (the reliable Joe Galuvao is also done for the year).
LATE UPDATE? Symonds is no certainty with a quad strain, while Steve Matai's got something sore... surely. James Hasson is 18th man.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
What are your tips for Round 10? 
Are you taking any advice from our Awesome Foursome panel this year?
Let us know by commenting below or replying on Twitter.
@NRLTWEET's 2013 TIPPING RECORD 
TIPPING TOTAL AFTER 9 ROUNDS - 47/72 @ 65.3%
FOOTYTAB TOTAL AFTER 9 ROUNDS - 39/72 @ 54.2%
SPECIAL FRIED RICE involves each tipster taking a 'certainty' in a set order, with the tipster with the highest score at the end of the year literally winning a mountain of Special Fried Rice. The SFR Order rotates every week and is a fun way to put your rice where your mouth is.
ROUND 10 SELECTIONS | The Awesome Foursome
@NRLTweet
Warrick D. Nicolson, The NRL Tweet
TIPPING:
Titans Rabbitohs Dragons Cowboys Panthers Raiders Bulldogs Storm
LW: 5/8 | SEASON: 47/72
FOOTYTAB:
GLD +4.5 SOU -16.5 PAR +6.5 NQL +2.5
PEN -2.5 CAN +4.5 NEW +2.5 MAN +8.5
LW: 3/8 | SEASON: 39/72
Special Fried Rice: STORM over Sea Eagles (Has 3rd Pick)
Season SFR: 7/9
CAN4 CBY3 SOU2 MEL1 CRO4 MAN3 SYD2 SYD1 SOU4 MEL3
TIPPING:
Broncos Rabbitohs Eels Roosters Warriors Raiders Knights Storm
LW: 1/8 | SEASON: 41/72
FOOTYTAB:
BRI -4.5 WTG +16.5 PAR +6.5 SYD -2.5
WAR +2.5 CAN +4.5 NEW +2.5 MAN +8.5
LW: 2/8 | SEASON: 33/72
Special Fried Rice: BRONCOS over Titans (Has 1st Pick)
Season SFR: 6/9 
SOU2 SOU1 MAN4 PAR3 NQL2 MEL1 BRI4 WAR3 STI2 BRI1
@Horry37
Jake Hauritz, Channel 9 Darwin
TIPPING:
Titans Rabbitohs Eels Cowboys Panthers Raiders Knights Storm
LW: 5/8 | SEASON: 50/72
FOOTYTAB:
GLD +4.5 SOU -16.5 PAR +6.5 NQL +2.5
PEN -2.5 CAN +4.5 NEW +2.5 MEL -8.5
LW: 5/8 | SEASON: 36/72
Special Fried Rice: RAIDERS over Sharks (Has 4th Pick)
Season SFR: 6/9
MEL1 BRI4 MEL3 CRO2 MEL1 CAN4 NQL3 MEL2 MEL1 CAN4
@MrDC
DC Chapman, League Lover
TIPPING:
Broncos Rabbitohs Dragons Roosters Panthers Raiders Bulldogs Storm
LW: 4/8 | SEASON: 38/72
FOOTYTAB:
GLD +4.5 SOU -16.5 STI -6.5 SYD -2.5
PEN -2.5 CAN +4.5 CBY -2.5 MAN +8.5
LW: 4/8 | SEASON: 24/72
Special Fried Rice: RABBITOHS over Tigers (Has 2nd Pick)
Season SFR: 7/9
NEW3 MAN2 CRO1 NEW4 SOU3 NEW2 MEL1 NEW4 BRI3 SOU2
The NRL Injury List is updated regularly during each week of the season, making it an invaluable Fantasy and Tipping Tool alongside our Weekly NRL Previews once again.

Remember if you want game-specific Late Mail every week, then check out our Round Previews Every Wednesday and they are updated with all the very latest Late Mail on Friday.

If we are missing any players on this list - please comment below, reply on Twitter or email this address.
Who will take Ben Barba's mantle as champion in the 2013 @NRLTweet Player of the Year Awards?

 The Prestigious Award returns for a 4th season in 2013.
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet | Nigel Wilbow @parramatters
Justin Davies @dragonpunk12 | Greg Delaney @gregdelaney84
Matt Spillane @devonhead | Matt Trodden @trods2906
Matt Vickers @mercurialmattyv | Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget
Adrian McMurray @adrmcm | Matthew Duncan @mrpeninsula
Maria Tsialis @mtsialis | Ben Jones @benwah87

Review all of the voting results from 2012 right here

Remember you can track all the votes each week after each match in 2013 via the Twitter hashtag #nrltweetpoty
By Warrick D. Nicolson