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Thursday, 1 September 2011

NRL 2011 - Round 26 NRL Preview Tips Teams Predictions Late Mail Fantasy News Odds

ROUND 26 NRL PREVIEW - 2011 SEASON
The best NRL Preview on the net is back online with all the info you need to make an 'informed decision' in your Fantasy and Tipping Competitions.
Make sure you bookmark www.wdnicolson.com and compare your picks to the Podcast Panel's Tips every week. Download the Podcast and check back on Friday for the Latest Mail as it breaks.
NOT The Footy Show Episode 80
 - Round 26 Preview To Be Released September 1, 2011 -

Right Click Save Target As This Link if you don't have iTunes.
SPECIAL FRIED RICE - ROUND 26
- - Waz 14/25: Storm; Matt 21/25: Broncos; Dave 18/25: TigersNic 20/25: Dragons - -
Note: The order in which Special Fried Rice (the game we guarantee that team will win) is chosen rotates - this week Dave had 1st choice, Nic 2nd, Waz 3rd and Matt 4th. So it isn't as easy as it sounds to tip correctly each week.
You can check out who the NOT The Footy Show Experts picked for the 2011 Premiership via this link.
NOT The Footy Show Podcast is available every Thursday - subscribe now on iTunes so you don't miss out.
Check out the Round 26 Tipping Preview below...
Be sure to enter NOT The Footy Show's Finals Phase for Fantasy League
Pick your team from the positional tables and watch them score Tries for you throughout the Finals Series. There are triple points on offer for Grand Final Points and the winner walks away with a specially created NOT The Footy Show 'Old School Team Logo' T-Shirt.
Cut-off is 7:30pm before the 1st Qualifying Final on September 9.
ROUND 26 MATCHUPS
01/09 Odds are courtesy of Sportingbet Australia
$1.82 V $2.00Fri @ AusGrid | LINE: SOU +1.5 GAME STATS
$1.16 V $5.25Fri @ WIN | LINE: PEN +14.5 GAME STATS
$1.48 V $2.70Sat @ Mt Smart  | LINE: NQL +6.0 GAME STATS
$4.50 V $1.21Sat @ Toyota | LINE: CRO +12.0 GAME STATS
$2.00 V $1.82Sat @ Skilled | LINE: GLD +1.5 GAME STATS
$1.27 V $3.80Sun @ ANZ | LINE: CAN +10.0 GAME STATS
$1.23 V $4.25Sun @ Suncorp | LINE: MAN +11.5 GAME STATS
$3.10 V $1.38Sun @ SFS | LINE: SYD +7.5 GAME STATS
NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTES
The Leaderboard went silent as of Round 19 and the votes for Round 25 and 26 will also go silent ahead of the @NRLTweet Player of the Year Awards Show on Monday 5th September at 7:30pm.
THE NRL TWEET's ROUND 26 PREVIEW
Welcome to Season 2011... after an off-season that often feels longer (or shorter - depends if you like cricket or not) than it is - the footy is back. Here on www.wdnicolson.com we've got all the Tuesday Team News, Wednesday or Thursday Game Previews and Friday Late Mail (sourced from SMH and beyond) that will keep your Tipping and Fantasy habit well fed. This preview integrates our NRL Injured List - which if you haven't bookmarked by now - I suggest you do so.
FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:45pm (Local) 2 September @ AusGrid Stadium, Newcastle.
Coming In... 
8th KNIGHTS TEAM RECORD 11-12 for 26 Points, +19.
9th RABBITOHS TEAM RECORD 11-12 for 26 Points, -15.
Head to Head Last 10...
KNIGHTS 6 RABBITOHS 4 - Souths won 28-10 at Bluetongue in their last meeting but that was in Round 5 last year.
Tuesday Team News...
NEW: Gidley (c), McManus, Likiliki, MacDougall, Uate, Stig, Mullen, Tuimavave, De Gois, Kaufusi, Houston, Costigan, Edwards. Bench: Hilder, Ciraldo, Fa'aoso, Taufua, Tetevano.
[Team Changes - The Knights are without Keith Lulia this week after he suffered a knee injury against the Bulldogs. Siuatonga Likiliki keeps his spot in the centres with Adam MacDougall returning from a knee injury. Peter Mata'utia goes back to NSW Cup, with Kurt Gidley back at fullback. Matt Hilder is named to return from a serious head gash on the bench, while Mark Taufua joins an extended bench and Marvin Karawana drops off it. ]
SOU: Merritt, Farrell, Corrigan, McQueen, Talanoa, Sutton, Sandow, Ross, Luke, McPherson, Pettybourne, Taylor, Crocker (c). Bench: L Burgess, Tyrrell, Clark, Peats, Roberts.
[Team Changes - The Bunnies lost Greg Inglis to a season ending ankle injury in the loss to the Broncos but can still make the Finals if they beat the Knights on Friday. Nathan Merritt and John Sutton return from injury, while Roy Asotasi could be a late inclusion. Chris McQueen goes to the centres, Fetuli Talanoa comes onto the wing and James Roberts is on an extended bench. Eddy Pettybourne's eye injury will be monitored during the week. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
To find out the Panel's tips and why they are tipping them - listen to the Podcast or watch the Tipping Video.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 02/09 - The Bunnies may not risk Roy Asotasi this week, but Nathan Merritt (quad) and John Sutton (hand) will likely play tonight. Sutton will play with pain-killing injections. The Knights will have Matt Hilder and Adam MacDougall, with Zane Tetevano, Mark Taufua or Cameron Ciraldo dropping off the bench.
01/09 Sports News First is reporting... John Sutton and Nathan Merritt will play after coming through Thursday's session without complaint. Adam MacDougall and Matt Hilder are expected to play.
Player of the Year Voters: Rob Neilsen and Ben Hoese
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
RABBITOHS To Win By 1 Point.
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FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:45pm (Local) 2 September @ WIN Stadium, Wollongong.
Coming In... 
6th DRAGONS TEAM RECORD 13-9-1 for 31 Points, +122.
11th PANTHERS TEAM RECORD 9-14 for 22 Points, -67.
Head to Head Last 10...
DRAGONS 7 PANTHERS 3 - Penrith upset the Dragons 12-8 in their Round 17 clash in 2010 but the Dragons had won 6 straight before then. Penrith last won in Wollongong in 2006.
Tuesday Team News...
STI: Boyd, Morris, Gasnier, Cooper, Nightingale, Soward, Hornby (c), Hunt, Young, Weyman, Scott, Creagh, Prior. Bench: Green, Fien, Cuthbertson, Merrin, Rein.
[Team Changes - The Dragons have added Adam Cuthbertson to the bench for the second straight week despite not playing him against the Warriors. Kyle Stanley is out of the squad and will play Toyota Cup again. Dean Young starts at hooker with Mitch Rein and Nathan Fien on an extended bench. ]
PEN: Coote, Simmons, Vaivai, Tighe, Purtell, Burns, Walsh, McKendry, Seluini, Bell, Smith, Plum, Lewis (c). Bench: Kingston, Weston, Grant, Austin.
[Team Changes - The Panthers have not named Petero Civoniceva or Trent Waterhouse (both knee injuries) but both could actually play. Luke Lewis is named to return from concussion, while youngster Blake Austin gets another crack at the big time on the bench. If Civoniceva and Waterhouse don't play then Matt Bell and Nathan Smith would start. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
To find out the Panel's tips and why they are tipping them - listen to the Podcast or watch the Tipping Video.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 02/09 - There remains some chance that Trent Waterhouse could join Petero Civoniceva in the team despite both not being named on Tuesday. Civoniceva will almost certainly play, while Waterhouse remains in doubt. Mitch Rein looks set to play at the expense of Adam Cuthbertson. BREAKING: Waterhouse and Civoniceva WILL play, and Michael Jennings is some hope despite a shoulder injury.
01/09 Sports News First is reporting... Petero Civoniceva will play after training on Thursday. 
Player of the Year Voters: Matt Spillane and Haylen Southon
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
DRAGONS To Win By 10 Points.
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SATURDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:35pm (Local) 3 September @ Mt Smart Stadium, Auckland.
Coming In... 
7th WARRIORS TEAM RECORD 13-10 for 30 Points, +99.
5th COWBOYS TEAM RECORD 14-9 for 32 Points, +64.
Head to Head Last 10...
WARRIORS 4 COWBOYS 6 - The Cowboys won 30-10 in Round 15 at Dairy Farmers. The Cowboys have won 5 of the last 7 going back to 2007.
Tuesday Team News...
WAR: Locke, Tupou, Moon, Berrigan, Inu, Maloney, Johnson, Sam Rapira, Mara, Lillyman, Mateo, Mannering (c), Luck. Bench: Hohaia, Matulino, Ta'ai, Brown.
[Team Changes - The Warriors have lost key starting hooker Aaron Heremaia with a hand injury and have promoted Alehana Mara to hooker. Elijah Taylor has been dropped with Ukuma Ta'ai returning from suspension alongside Lewis Brown on the bench. Manu Vatuvei could be a late inclusion, as doubt surrounds Shaun Berrigan (Hip) for this game. ]
NQL: Bowen, Graham, Tate, Tonga, Fai-Fai Loa, Thompson, Thurston (c), Scott (c), Payne, Tamou, Cooper, Hall, Johnson. Bench: Segeyaro, Bolton, Taumalolo, A Sims, C Paterson.
[Team Changes - The Cowboys suffered a huge blow with Tariq Sims sidelined for the season with a broken ankle. Gavin Cooper goes back into the starting side for Sims, with Ashton Sims and Cory Paterson included on the bench. Matt Scott's back isn't 100% but he will play, as will Dallas Johnson (Concussion). ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
To find out the Panel's tips and why they are tipping them - listen to the Podcast or watch the Tipping Video.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 02/09 - The Warriors could bring Lewis Brown in at centre for Shaun Berrigan who is struggling with a hip injury, while the Cowboys lost Dallas Johnson to concussion. Leeson ah Mau is the new face in the squad. A gastro bug hit the Cowboys during the week but they should have recovered by Saturday. Matt Scott's back injury won't keep him from playing.
01/09 Sports News First is reporting... Dallas Johnson did not travel with the Cowboys due to concussion, with either Cory Paterson or Scott Bolton to replace him in the starting side and Leeson Ah Mau may be added to the bench.
Player of the Year Voters: Matthew Vickers and Craig Buchanan.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
COWBOYS To Win By 4 Points.
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SATURDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:35pm (Local) 3 September @ Toyota Stadium, Cronulla.
Coming In... 
13th SHARKS TEAM RECORD 7-16 for 18 Points, -121.
4th TIGERS TEAM RECORD 14-9 for 32 Points, +81.
Head to Head Last 10...
SHARKS 1 TIGERS 9 - The Tigers have dominated this clash for years. They have won the past 2 and 9 of the last 10.
Tuesday Team News...
CRO: Gordon, Mills, Collis, Best, Williams, Kelly, Graham, Snowden, Morris, Douglas, Smith, Tupou, Gallen (c). Bench: Tagataese, Tautai, Aiton, Cordoba, Pomeroy.
[Team Changes - The Sharks have named Dean Collis at centre again despite him failing to play there against the Cowboys. Ben Pomeroy who replaced Collis has gone back to the bench. Taulima Tautai is the new face on the bench, while John Mannah is omitted. ]
WTG: Moltzen, Ryan, Ayshford, Utai, Tuqiri, Marshall, Lui, Gibbs, Farah (c), Galloway, Fulton, Ellis, Heighington. Bench: Brown, Flanagan, Groat, Woods, Murdoch-Masila.
[Team Changes - The Tigers hope to get Bryce Gibbs back from a lacerated knee for the final game of the regular season but Todd Payten is probably another week away with a knee injury. Lote Tuqiri got knees in the back against the Titans but should be sweet and Matt Utai only suffered from cramp. Ben Murdoch-Masila holds his spot on the bench ahead of Mark Flanagan after both were late inclusions against the Titans. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
To find out the Panel's tips and why they are tipping them - listen to the Podcast or watch the Tipping Video.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 02/09 - The Tigers should get Bryce Gibbs back from a lacerated knee for this one, while Todd Payten won't return until the Finals. Mark Flanagan or Ben Murdoch-Masila will drop out. The Sharks hope Dean Collis can play after missing last week with back spasms.
01/09 Sports News First is reporting... Jeremy Smith has a virus but should play. Ben Pomeroy is on standby for Dean Collis (back).
Player of the Year Voters: Greg Delaney and Justin Davies
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
TIGERS To Win By 10 Points.
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SATURDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:35pm (Local) 3 September @ Skilled Park, Gold Coast.
Coming In... 
15th TITANS TEAM RECORD 6-17 for 16 Points, -246.
16th EELS TEAM RECORD 5-17-1 for 15 Points, -173.
Head to Head Last 10...
TITANS 4 EELS 2 - Parramatta won 22-18 in Round 7 at Parramatta Stadium and have won 2 of the last 3 since 2009.
Tuesday Team News...
GLD: Rankin, Michaels, Tonga, Toopi, Mead, Zillman, Campbell, Bailey (c), Srama, White, Laffranchi, Minichiello, Bird. Bench: Lawrence, Matthews, Thompson, O'Dwyer.
[Team Changes - The Titans cannot bring anyone new into their squad as they have been decimated with injuries. Clinton Toopi is named at centre again but he didn't last the whole match with the Tigers due to concussion, while Greg Bird's hand is badly broken. There are no changes to the 17 - but that's not necessarily by choice. ]
PAR: Burt, Morgan, Horo, Smith, Hicks, Hayne, McGuire, Mannah, Keating, MoiMoi, Hindmarsh (c), Lasalo, Maitua. Bench: Shackleton, Allgood, O'Hanlon, Poore.
[Team Changes - The Eels will have to make just the one enforced change with Tim Mannah (Hammy) named but long odds to play Saturday Night. Otherwise there are no other changes for the Eels who lost yet another game in golden point last Friday Night. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
To find out the Panel's tips and why they are tipping them - listen to the Podcast or watch the Tipping Video.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 02/09 - The Eels took Tim Mannah to the Gold Coast but he remains in serious doubt with a hamstring injury. Rory Brien would likely join the NRL squad from Toyota Cup if Mannah can't play. Esi Tonga is out and replaced by Ben Ridge for the Titans.
01/09 Sports News First is reporting... The Titans lost Esi Tonga (Hand) and will bring Bodene Thompson into start at centre and Ben Ridge onto the bench.
Player of the Year Voters: Nigel Wilbow and Greg Delaney.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
TITANS To Win By 1 Point.
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SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOOTBALL
              V
2:05pm (Local) 4 September @ ANZ Stadium, Sydney.
Coming In... 
10th BULLDOGS TEAM RECORD 11-12 for 26 Points, -54.
14th RAIDERS TEAM RECORD 6-17 for 16 Points, -186.
Head to Head Last 10...
BULLDOGS 5 RAIDERS 5 - Canberra shocked the Dogs 20-12 in Round 11 in Canberra and won at ANZ in Round 23 last year, but the Dogs had won 3 straight before then.
Tuesday Team News...
CBY: Barba, Turner, Morris, Idris, Wright, Romelo, Hodkinson, Tolman, Reynolds, Kasiano, Pritchard, Ryan (c), Stagg. Bench: Hodgson, Paea, Warburton, Keating.
[Team Changes - The Bulldogs will farewell Andrew Ryan in Round 26 and have added veteran Michael Hodgson to the bench for his final game in the NRL after a long stint in NSW Cup. Grant Millington had shoulder surgery on Monday. ]
CAN: Dugan, Ferguson, Croker, Galea, Robinson, McCrone, Williams, White, Tongue (c), Shillington, Papalii, Harrison, Fensom. Bench: M Picker, J Picker, Mataora, Tilse, Kennedy.
[Team Changes - Canberra decided not to contest a high tackle charge against Joel Thompson and he will miss the final regular season game of 2011. Danny Galea goes into the centres and Josh Papalii starts in the second row. Sam Mataora and Jarrad Kennedy are added to the bench that also has Dane Tilse. Josh Dugan should play]
Wednesday Game Preview...
To find out the Panel's tips and why they are tipping them - listen to the Podcast or watch the Tipping Video.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 02/09 - The Raiders will carry at least two players into the game needing surgery with Josh Dugan (Ankle) and Shaun Fensom (Shoulder) requiring off-season surgery. Canterbury's Trent Hodkinson should play despite his corked calf.
01/09 Sports News First is reporting... Trent Hodkinson's corked calf shouldn't stop him from playing.
Player of the Year Voters: Warrick Nicolson and Maria Tsialis
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
BULLDOGS To Win By 16 Points.
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SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOOTBALL
              V
3:05pm (Local) 4 September @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane.
Coming In... 
3rd BRONCOS TEAM RECORD 17-6 for 38 Points, +131.
2nd SEA EAGLES TEAM RECORD 18-5 for 40 Points, +216.
Head to Head Last 10...
BRONCOS 4 SEA EAGLES 6 - Brisbane were flogged 34-10 at Suncorp in Round 12 as Manly shifted their game from Brookie for a post-State of Origin double header. In fact Brisbane have won just one of the last 6 games going back to 2007.
Tuesday Team News...
BRI: Hoffman, Beale, Reed, Te'o, Yow Yeh, Lockyer (c), Wallace, McGuire, McCullough, Anderson, Glenn, Thaiday, Parker. Bench: Gillett, Hunt, Hannant, Hala.
[Team Changes - The Broncos will not play Justin Hodges again until the first week of the Finals due to a hamstring injury and as a result Ben Te'o holds his centre spot, and David Hala remains on the bench. So basically - the Broncos are unchanged. ]
MAN: Hopoate, Robertson, Lyon (c), Matai, Oldfield, Buhrer, Cherry-Evans, Galuvao, Ballin, Kite, Watmough, Rodney, G Stewart. Bench: Mauro, Harrison, Rose, T Williams, Seuseu, Robinson.
[Team Changes - Manly lose Glenn Stewart (they did name him), Kieran Foran and Darcy Lussick to suspension from the Donnybrook Oval incident, and would have lost Brett Stewart for a week if he wasn't already injured. David Williams has a broken neck and is out indefinitely. Will Hopoate is the new fullback, Michael Oldfield goes to the wing, Jamie Buhrer to five-eighth and Vic Mauro, Tim Robinson, Daniel Harrison and Terence Seuseu join the bench. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
To find out the Panel's tips and why they are tipping them - listen to the Podcast or watch the Tipping Video.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 02/09 - The Sea Eagles will be without Glenn Stewart for 3 games through suspension, Joe Galuvao will move to the backrow and Shane Rodney or Anthony Watmough will play lock. George Rose will probably start, with Tim Robinson getting a run on the bench. The Broncos won't risk Justin Hodges until the Finals.
Player of the Year Voters: Matthew Duncan and Michael McLucas
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
BRONCOS To Win By 6 Points.
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SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:05pm (Local) 4 September @ Sydney Football Stadium, Sydney.
Coming In... 
12th ROOSTERS TEAM RECORD 9-14 for 22 Points, -115.
1st STORM TEAM RECORD 19-4 for 42 Points, +245.
Head to Head Last 10...
ROOSTERS 3 STORM 7 - The Storm won 21-4 despite being heavily under-manned in Round 14. Melbourne have also won 4 of the last 5.
Tuesday Team News...
SYD: Minichiello, Perrett, J Carney, Leilua, Graham, Anasta (c), Pearce, Ryles, Friend, Tasi, Guerra, Cordner, Nu'uausala. Bench: Mitchell, Masoe, Takairangi, Arona, Waerea-Hargreaves.
[Team Changes - The Roosters have named Sam Perrett to return from an ankle injury and Jared Waerea-Hargreaves to return from suspension, while Shaun Kenny-Dowall (Groin) is the only omission from the team that beat the Eels in golden point. Frank-Paul Nu'uausala is named at lock, while Waerea-Hargreaves comes back on the bench. Joseph Leilua replaces Kenny-Dowall in the centres. ]
MEL: Slater, Duffie, Nielsen, Champion, Quinn, Widdop, Cronk, Bromwich, Smith (c), Norrie, Proctor, Hinchcliffe, Lowrie. Bench: Kostjasyn, Vea, Woolnough, Lowe.
[Team Changes - The Storm have accepted bans for Sika Manu and Sisa Waqa for their involvement in the Donnybrook Oval incident, and Adam Blair could have played his last game for the club as he is facing 2 sets of suspensions. Cooper Cronk and Jesse Bromwich return from injury while, Atelea Vea is the new face on the bench. Maurice Blair may not be risked until the semi finals. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
To find out the Panel's tips and why they are tipping them - listen to the Podcast or watch the Tipping Video.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 02/09 - Troy Thompson replacing Jesse Bromwich (elbow) is the only change likely in this one. There was a report that Maurice Blair's shoulder injury will keep him out for the rest of the season.
01/09 Sports News First is reporting... Jesse Bromwich is still no certainty with an elbow complaint, Troy Thompson could come into the 17.
Player of the Year Voters: Warrick Nicolson and Ben Hoese
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
STORM To Win By 12 Points.
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ROUND 26 BYES
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FANTASY LEAGUE SCORE UPDATE
PHASE THREE LEADERBOARD AFTER 7 ROUNDS (RD19-26)
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2011 TIPPING TIPS:
This year not only do you get The NRL Tweet's Tips each week but the whole NOT The Footy Show team will have their picks listed by Thursday so you can back a smoky or a favourite by seeing who we all picked (or didn't pick). Truthfully there is no perfect formula but here's a vital tip to help you cope with the copious amounts of NRL Tipping Comp's
@NRLTWEET's 2011 TIPPING RECORD 
TOTAL AFTER 25 ROUNDS - 111/184 @ 60.3%
The NRL Tweet finished with 125 correct tips from 192 Games in 2010 at a strike rate of 65%.

ROUND 26 SELECTIONS
Warrick Nicolson, The NRL Tweet + NTFS Host
Rabbitohs
Dragons
Cowboys
Tigers
Titans
Bulldogs
Broncos
Storm
| SEASON 111/184
Nic McInerney, NTFS Co-Host
Knights
Dragons
Warriors
Tigers
Eels
Bulldogs
Broncos
Storm
| SEASON 127/184
Knights
Panthers
Warriors
Tigers
Eels
Bulldogs
Broncos
Storm
| SEASON 114/184
DC Chapman, NTFS Co-Host
Knights
Dragons
Warriors
Tigers
Eels
Bulldogs
Broncos
Storm
| SEASON 120/184
Maria Tsialis, Big League Magazine
Rabbitohs
Dragons
Warriors
Tigers
Eels
Bulldogs
Broncos
Storm
| SEASON 106/184
Andy Raymond, Fox Sports Commentator
Knights
Dragons
Warriors
Tigers
Eels
Bulldogs
Broncos
Storm
| SEASON 105/184
Eyes, The Kid Who Sees All
Rabbitohs
Dragons
Cowboys
Tigers
Titans
Raiders
Sea Eagles
Roosters
| SEASON 96/184
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]-[ There is just 1 week left in NOT The Footy Show's Tipping Competition and the outright winner walks away with an Official Steeden Match ball.

TIPS DONE, GO OUT AND ENJOY THE FOOTY!
]-[ ]-[ ]-[
NOT The Footy Show 2011
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