Latest NOT The Footy Show Podcasts

Thursday, 19 May 2011

NRL 2011 - Round 11 NRL Preview Tips Teams Predictions Late Mail Fantasy News Odds

ROUND 11 NRL PREVIEW - 2011 SEASON


The best NRL Preview on the net is back online with all the info you need to make an 'informed decision' in your Fantasy and Tipping Competitions.
Make sure you bookmark www.wdnicolson.com and compare your picks to the Podcast Panel's Tips every week. Download the Podcast and check back on Friday for the Latest Mail as it breaks.

NOT The Footy Show's Round 11 Podcast

Released 19/05/2011: Episode 62 NRL Podcast

SPECIAL FRIED RICE - ROUND 11
- Waz 4/10: Tigers, Matt 8/10: Roosters, Dave 7/10: Bulldogs; Nic 8/10: Warriors -
Note: The order in which Special Fried Rice is chosen rotates - this week Nic had 1st choice, Waz 2nd, Matt 3rd and Dave 4th.
You can check out who the NOT The Footy Show Experts picked for the 2011 Premiership via this link.
NOT The Footy Show Podcast is available every Thursday - subscribe now on iTunes so you don't miss out.
Check out the Round 11 Tipping Preview below...
ROUND 11 MATCHUPS 
19/05 Odds are courtesy of Sportingbet Australia
$2.55 V $1.52 Fri @ Canberra | LINE: CAN +5.5
$1.34 V $3.35 Sat @ Campbelltown | LINE: PEN +8.5
$1.40 V $3.00 Sun @ Mt Smart | LINE: SOU +8.0
$1.80 V $2.05 Sun @ SFS | LINE: NEW +1.5
$1.45 V $2.80 Mon @ Parramatta | LINE: CRO +6.5
STATE OF ORIGIN 1
$1.50 V $2.60 Wed @ Suncorp | LINE: NSW +6.0
ROUND 11 BYES

THE NRL TWEET's ROUND 11 PREVIEW
Welcome to Season 2011... after an off-season that often feels longer (or shorter - depends if you like cricket or not) than it is - the footy is back. Here on www.wdnicolson.com we've got all the Tuesday Team News, Wednesday Previews and Friday Late Mail that will keep your Tipping and Fantasy habit well fed. This preview integrates our NRL Injured List - which if you haven't bookmarked by now - I suggest you do so.
FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:45pm (Local) 20 May @ Canberra Stadium, Canberra.
Coming In... 
RAIDERS 16th - TEAM RECORD 2-8 for 4 Points, -92.
BULLDOGS 7th - TEAM RECORD 5-4 for 12 Points, +9.
Head to Head Last 10...
RAIDERS 4 BULLDOGS 6 - The Raiders were on a roll by the time the two team's clashed late in 2010 and the Bulldogs were sliding the other way at an alarming rate. Canberra won 28-14 but the Dogs had won the previous three before that.
Tuesday Team News...
CAN: Massey, Ferguson, Croker, Thompson, Robinson, McCrone, Williams, Tilse, Tongue (c), White, Galea, Harrison, Fensom. Bench: Buttriss, Miller, Papalii, Mataora.
[Team Changes - Canberra finally won a game after two long months of losses but now lose fullback Josh Dugan to Origin duty for NSW. Rookie Nathan Massey is at fullback in the only change for the Raiders. Rookie forward Josh Papalii keeps his spot on the bench ahead of Trevor Thurling. ]
CBY: Barba, Turner, Morris, Idris, Goodwin, Keating, Hodkinson, Tolman, Reynolds, Kasiano, Pritchard, Ryan (c), Stagg. Bench: Eastwood, Foster, Payne, Halatau.
[Team Changes - Bryson Goodwin returns from injury for the injured Michael Lett on the wing and rookie half/hooker Josh Reynolds starts at #9 for NSW bound Michael Ennis. Mickey Paea's knee injury keeps him out and Sam Kasiano gets another chance at prop. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
Well well well the Raiders can play attacking footy after all... but can David Furner leave the shackles off for a 2nd straight week? That's doubtful and without Josh Dugan against a barely touched by representative duties Canterbury outfit - Canberra just don't look like they can run with the Doggies. Take Canterbury on the road but have faith in the Raiders if you think Furner lets them play footy again.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH + Other Late Mail 20/05 - Danny Galea is out with a hamstring strain and Joe Picker returns from an ankle injury to start in his place. Jarrod Croker's hip is giving him some grief but should play. The Bulldogs should be 1-17 with NSW 18th Man Jamal Idris a definite starter.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
BULLDOGS To Win By 6 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
SATURDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:35pm (Local) 21 May @ Campbelltown Stadium, Campbelltown.
Coming In... 
TIGERS 8th - TEAM RECORD 4-5 for 10 Points, +21.
PANTHERS 12th - TEAM RECORD 3-6 for 8 Points, -40.
Head to Head Last 10...
TIGERS 3 PANTHERS 7 - The Tigers won convincingly in Round 23 last year but was all Penrith since 2008 - with the Panthers winning 5 straight.
Tuesday Team News...
WTG: McKinnon, Brown, Ayshford, Moltzen, Utai, Marshall, Lui, Fifita, Farah (c), Galloway, Dwyer, Fulton, Heighington. Bench: Ryan, A Schirnack, Murdoch-Masila, Woods, Gibbs.
[Team Changes - There is only one addition to the Tigers team that was torn apart by the Rabbitohs last Saturday night with prop Bryce Gibbs coming back from an foot injury on the bench. Simon Dwyer picked up his own ankle injury against Souths but should play. ]
PEN: Coote, Simmons, Tighe, Purtell, Earl, Burns, Walsh, Grant, Kingston, McKendry, Waterhouse, Plum, Lewis (c). Bench: Weston, Bell, Y Gordon, Smith, Iosefa.
[Team Changes - The club has been rocked by the loss of Michael Gordon (knee) and Timana Tahu (pectoral) for the season and lose skipper Petero Civoniceva to QLD. Luke Lewis however didn't get picked for NSW which is a bonus and Lachlan Coote returns from injury at fullback and Sandor Earl comes onto the wing. Tim Grant hurt his hammy in the warm up last Friday and is touch and go here despite being named to start. Matthew Bell and Masada Iosefa come on to the bench as Nafe Seluini misses out. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
Which Wests Tigers team turns up this week? The one that blew the Raiders off the park before the bye or the one that capitulated meekly to the Rabbitohs after the bye? The Panthers played great on Friday to beat the Broncos but lost Petero Civoniceva and Michael Jennings to Origin and are now without Michael Gordon and Timana Tahu for the rest of the season due to injury. The Tigers have no Origin players in Game 1 - so they have no excuses and will win well at Campbelltown.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH + Other Late Mail 20/05 - The Tigers should have Bryce Gibbs back from a toe injury after he got through a training run. Alan Schirnack or Ben Murdoch-Masila will likely miss out. The Panthers will leave Masada Iosefa off their bench.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
TIGERS To Win By 16 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOOTBALL
              V
4:05pm (Local) 22 May @ Mt Smart Stadium, Auckland.
Coming In... 
WARRIORS 6th - TEAM RECORD 6-4 for 12 Points, +24.
RABBITOHS 10th - TEAM RECORD 4-5 for 10 Points, -26
Head to Head Last 10...
WARRIORS 6 RABBITOHS 4 - The Bunnies have won 3 of the last 4 meetings including a high scorer 38-28 in Round 20 last year.
Tuesday Team News...
WAR: Locke, Inu, Brown, Mannering (c), Vatuvei, Maloney, Seymour, Packer, Heremaia, Matulino, Mateo, Taylor, Luck. Bench: Berrigan, Hohaia, Latimore, Mara, Moon, Ta'ai.
[Team Changes - Lance Hohaia continues to be beaten out for the fullback spot by Kevin Locke and if Lewis Brown is fit (knee injury) he will start ahead of Shaun Berrigan in the centres. Aaron Heremaia might return from a two week absence at hooker with Alehana Mara back to the bench. Ben Matulino starts for QLD bound Jacob Lillyman and Joel Moon and Ukuma Ta'ai join the bench. ]
SOU: Wesser, Merritt, Farrell, Corrigan, Talanoa, Sutton, Sandow, Ross, Luke, McPherson, Taylor, Tyrrell, Crocker (c). Bench: Pettybourne, Clark, McQueen, Peats.
[Team Changes - The Bunnies are sticking with the same 17 man squad that beat the Tigers in Round 10. Dave Taylor has been named 18th Man for QLD but will play on Sunday. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
The Warriors are coming off their 4th straight victory and although they didn't put in a complete performance to beat the Knights - they won the game with their goal-line defence in the 2nd half. The Bunnies beat the Tigers with a superb game plan by coach John Lang and Issac Luke executed it beautifully. Unfortunately for the Rabbitohs the Warriors pack won't take it as lightly on them as the Tigers did - so you pick the Warriors to make it 5 straight at home.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH + Other Late Mail 20/05 - The Warriors will make a final decision on their bench on game-day, while the Bunnies may be without Fetuli Talanoa who is battling the flu - youngster James Roberts may replace him if the club is satisfied he has served enough penance for his disciplinary breach a week ago. 
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
WARRIORS To Win By 10 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOOTBALL
              V
3:05pm (Local) 22 May @ Sydney Football Stadium, Sydney.
Coming In... 
ROOSTERS 14th - TEAM RECORD 2-7 for 6 Points, -55.
KNIGHTS 9th - TEAM RECORD 4-5 for 10 Points, -6.
Head to Head Last 10...
ROOSTERS 5 KNIGHTS 5 - Split down the middle over the last 10 meetings and no team has won 2 in a row since the Knights in 2006-2007.
Tuesday Team News...
SYD: Minichiello, Naughton, J Carney, Kenny-Dowall, Leilua, Anasta (c), T Carney, Ryles Friend, Waerea-Hargreaves, Guerra, Nu'uausala, Arona. Bench: Tasi, Masoe, Riddell, Mataka, Khierallah.
[Team Changes - Justin Carney comes back in at centre and Braith Anasta moves back to five-eighth and Todd Carney shifts to halfback. Jason Ryles comes in at prop and Frank-Paul Nu'uausala is joined by Aiden Guerra and Tinirau Arona in a new look back row. Willie Mataka and Mark Khierallah are the new faces on the bench. ]
NEW: McDonnell, McManus, Sa'u, W Naiqama, Lulia, Henry, Mullen (c), Fa'aoso, Hilder, Tuimavave, Houston, Costigan, Edwards. Bench: De Gois, Taufua, Filipo, Tolar, Kaufusi.
[Team Changes - With Akuila Uate on NSW duty - Keith Lulia comes onto the wing. Beau Henry returns from a leg injury and forces fellow rookie Tyrone Roberts out of the squad. Isaac De Gois is named to return from an arm injury on the bench. After being a curious omission on Sunday against the Warriors - Cory Paterson failed to be named again. He has been told to explore other options for 2012. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
Having been stung by the Roosters on more than one occasion this season (again last week against the Sharks) I can no longer give them the benefit of the doubt and think that Newcastle showed enough variety with the footy against the Warriors to suggest they can beat an under-strength Sydney team at the SFS. Todd Carney was good in his return and is the visitors biggest concern but Jarrod Mullen is going very well and the Knights look stronger up front. Knights for me.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH + Other Late Mail 20/05 - Jason Ryles should return from a hamstring injury but the bench is still yet to be finalised. The Knights may be without Junior Sa'u (ankle) and Shannon McDonnell (shoulder) with Kevin Naiqama and Peter Mata'uita on standby.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
KNIGHTS To Win By 4 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:05pm (Local) 23 May @ Parramatta Stadium, Sydney.
Coming In... 
EELS 13th - TEAM RECORD 3-6 for 8 Points, -118.
SHARKS 11th - TEAM RECORD 3-6 for 8 Points, -31.
Head to Head Last 10...
EELS 4 SHARKS 6 - Cronulla won both games in upsets last year 22-18 in Round 11 and 11-0 in Round 4, and have actually won 5 of the last 6 since 2007.
Tuesday Team News...
PAR: Hayne, Burt, Morgan, Loko, Atkins, Mortimer, Robson, Shackleton, McGuire, MoiMoi, Hindmarsh (c), Lasalo, Smith. Bench: Rogers, Webb, Allgood, Horo.
[Team Changes - Jarryd Hayne is available after missing NSW selection - as is Nathan Hindmarsh. Bad news for the players but a massive boost for the Eels. Tim Mannah is in the Blues team and Shane Shackleton starts for him with Carl Webb being added to the bench. Joel Reddy has a possible pectoral tear and has been replaced by Ryan Morgan who returns from an ankle injury suffered in Round 4. ]
CRO: Gordon, M Wright, Pomeroy, Best (c), Mills, Graham, Porter, Cordoba, Morris (c), Douglas, Bukuya, Tupou, Tautai. Bench: Vave, Mannah, Flanagan, B Wright, Frizell.
[Team Changes - The loss of Paul Gallen and Kade Snowden to NSW opens the door for Josh Cordoba and Taulima Tautai to start. John Mannah and Broderick Wright join the bench along with rookie Tyson Frizell. John Morris and Colin Best are co-captains in Gallen's absence. Morris comes in for the injured Paul Aiton at hooker. Scott Porter retains the halfback job ahead of Tim Smith. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
If the Eels cannot win with a snubbed Jarryd Hayne and what must be a clearly perplexed Nathan Hindmarsh playing for their club instead of NSW - then Parra cannot enter any game for the rest of this year with the favourites tag. Cronulla don't have Nathan Gardner, Jeremy Smith, Kade Snowden or Paul Gallen so you have to pick the Eels at home. Hayne should carve up - just like he did last week against the Cowboys before his team-mates stopped tackling.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH + Other Late Mail 20/05 - The Eels should be 1-17 and the Sharks may yet give young backrower Tyson Frizell his debut off the bench.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
EELS To Win By 8 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
8:05pm (Local) 25 May @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane.
Coming In... 
QLD TEAM RECORD 47 Games Won, 15 Series Wins, 168 Players Used.
NSW TEAM RECORD 41 Games Won, 12 Series Wins, 234 Players Used.
Stats courtesy of the great website RUGBYLEAGUEPROJECT.ORG
Head to Head Last 10...
MAROONS 7 BLUES 3 - The Maroons won the 2010 Series 3-0 and have won 7 of the last 8 games dating back to Game 2 of the 2008 Series. The Blues are therefore struggling big time...
Tuesday Team News...
QLD: Slater, Boyd, Nielsen, Tonga, Yow Yeh, Lockyer (c), Thurston, Scott, Smith, Civoniceva, Myles, Thaiday, Harrison. Bench: Cronk, Parker, Lillyman, Hannant, Taylor (18th Man).
[Team Changes - Dave Taylor is 18th man and is likely to play for South Sydney against the Warriors on Sunday in the NRL. ]
NSW: Dugan, B Morris, Jennings, Gasnier, Uate, Soward, Pearce, King, Ennis, Snowden, Scott, Bird, Gallen (c), Bench: Creagh, Merrin, Mannah, Young, Idris (18th Man).
[Team Changes - Jamal Idris is 18th man but will play for Canterbury against Canberra on Friday Night in the NRL. ]
Origin 1 Game Preview...
To come next Monday...
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
You'll have to wait until next week...
|-| |-| |-|
ROUND 11 BYES
|-| |-| |-|
NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTES
 AFTER ROUND 10 
SCORE UPDATES for Phase Two of NOT The Footy Show's Fantasy League will come very soon.
|-| |-| |-|
TIPPING TIPS:
This year not only do you get The NRL Tweet's Tips each week but the whole NOT The Footy Show team will have their picks listed by Thursday so you can back a smoky or a favourite by seeing who we all picked (or didn't pick). Truthfully there is no perfect formula but here's a vital tip to help you cope with the copious amounts of NRL Tipping Comp's you are already in - PICK ON TUESDAY and enter your tips into all the sites no later than Wednesday. The reason for this is you can A. There is nothing worse than trying to cram your picks in late on a Friday afternoon and B. If you pick on Tuesday you can always change your mind and you would have given the Round some thought before Friday 7:29pm.
@NRLTWEET's 2011 TIPPING RECORD 
TOTAL AFTER 10 ROUNDS - 40/76 @ 52.6%
The NRL Tweet finished with 125 correct tips from 192 Games in 2010 at a strike rate of 65%.

ROUND 11 SELECTIONS
Warrick Nicolson, The NRL Tweet + NTFS Host
Bulldogs
Tigers
Warriors
Knights
Eels
| SEASON 40/76
Nic McInerney, NTFS Co-Host
Bulldogs
Tigers
Warriors
Knights
Eels
| SEASON 48/76
Raiders
Tigers
Warriors
Roosters
Sharks
| SEASON 43/76
Dave Chapman, NTFS Co-Host
Bulldogs
Tigers
Warriors
Knights
Eels
| SEASON 45/76
Maria Tsialis, Big League Magazine
Bulldogs
Tigers
Warriors
Knights
Eels
| SEASON 39/76
Andy Raymond, Fox Sports Commentator
Bulldogs
Tigers
Warriors
Knights
Eels
| SEASON 35/76
Eyes, The Kid Who Sees All
Raiders
Tigers
Rabbitohs
Knights
Sharks
| SEASON 34/76
|-| |-| |-|
]-[ It's not too late to join our Tipping Competition as long as you're already signed up for Tipping on the Daily Telegraph Website. We use that site because their overall prize is pretty good and you'll be on there for Super Coach anyway. Our League Code is 446386 and you can invite as many people as you want to take on the boys and girls from NOT The Footy Show.
1st Prize is an Official Steeden Match ball.
Fantasy League Phase 2 is underway... 
Phase 3 Begins in NRL Round 19 - your final chance to win some Rugby League Clothing.
As an added bonus - here is a Fantasy League BYE Week Cheat Sheet. Especially for the NRL Dream Team, Super Coach or Fantasy NRL minded crew.
SO GO OUT AND ENJOY THE FOOTY!

No comments: