Wednesday 21 August 2013

#NRL 2013: Round 24 Tips Late Mail Predictions Preview #nrlsoucby #NRLLateMail #NRLDT #Supercoach

ROUND 24 TIPS and LATE MAIL
Plus The Postman's NRL Dream Team/NRL Super Coach Picks

 2013 NRL Premiership

By W D Nicolson - August 21, 2013


EXTRA LATEST OF LATE MAIL ADDED THROUGHOUT ROUND
ALL EXPERT PICKS AND SPECIAL FRIED RICE ADDED AS RECEIVED
View 2013 @NRLTweet PLAYER OF THE YEAR Final Public LEADERBOARD

Top 8 Scenarios - 3 Rounds to Go
Crunch time... how will you pick from here on out?
| NRL LADDER |

If you are entering the final 3 weeks of your Tipping Season and have a sniff at the title... here's the rub:

1. If you lead... PICK FAVOURITES.

2. If you are behind by 1 or 2 tips... PICK FAVOURITES and think about only one point of difference each week.

3. If you are 3 or more back... BACK THE SEMI-UNDERDOG as much as possible, because those above you are going to be taking the favourites.

That being said - stick with the Roosters and Storm the rest of the way, but the Rabbitohs or Manly are back againstable... as are the rest of the current Top 8.

And the final bit of advice - don't pick Parramatta.

There you go... victory is at hand!

Anyhoo - #NRLTweetPOTY Award voting allocation is below as is the rest of what you need for your weekend of footy.

Latest of Late Mail and Round 24 Tips below!

For our analysis of Tuesday team selections for Round 24 - click here.

As far as Late Mail goes the rolling lockout for all you NRL Dream Team and NRL Super Coach nerds should have allowed you to make any last minute changes quite easily, but once again our Latest of Late Mail should help in any selections you make before the round begins.

The Postman took a week off with his NRL Dream Team and NRL Super Coach tips... and almost as a result my DT squad was cut to ribbons by injuries without trades to compensate so the one league I wanted to try and defend as champion in... I was bounced in the first week. The other 3 - still breathing despite no trades left.
Dominating the dojo in both SC comps however... plus I've got 1 trade left. Thursday I might have something for you.
@NRLTweet Player of the Year
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY

 Check out the Round 20 Leaderboard before it goes silent

Voting Allocation for Round 24 of the NRL is below.

NRL TIPPING PREVIEW + LATE MAIL
ROUND 24, 2013
Wednesday Odds Courtesy of Sportingbet | NRL LADDER
Friday 7:45pm at Centrebet Stadium
PANTHERS $2.12 v $1.75 BRONCOS
FOOTYTAB: PEN +4.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Matthew Duncan @mrpeninsula Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
The Penrith team I've watched the last two weeks confuses me... Brisbane with Prince in the #6 don't impress me and really haven't all year... so it pains me to pick the Panthers at home... again. They aren't a good team but they can play good footy every few weeks and Brisbane are a team that could be a real threat if they had a strike playmaker in the halves... but they don't. That said - Penrith had more to play for in Round 22 when they hosted the Cowboys than they did last week in New Zealand - and this week there's 'more to play for again' so they could well fall in a heap... Brisbane's pack is very good but Hoffman, Gillett and McCullough are their only real avenues to points: i.e. not their halves. Home team for me.
Panthers by 7 points.
LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Penrith look fairly settled now Moylan likely to stay as 18th man. Brisbane may squeeze Alex Glenn on the plane but he says he's another week away.
PRE-GAME UPDATE? Latimore starts, Grant to bench. Anderson in for Jarrod Wallace on bench.
Friday 7:45pm at ANZ Stadium
RABBITOHS $1.38 v $3.15 BULLDOGS
FOOTYTAB: CBY +6.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet Matt Spillane @devonhead |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Souths were good in the 2nd half against Manly but that game was over if Matai's try is rightly awarded... Reynolds played very well for the first time in weeks, while Sutton was so-so but at least a presence of some sort. They'll miss Burgess again (Sam that is) but the Dogs haven't been playing with any real desire of late and unless Barba suits up - the Bunnies should win this relatively comfortably. Plus GI is playing = that helps.
Rabbitohs by 13 points.
LATEST OF LATE MAIL: After winning last week Souths probably go in with the same 17 assuming Inglis is okay, Canterbury will start Jackson and bench Williams as per normal, but Burr may get a run ahead of Taupau or Browne come Friday. Oh and Barba might be back too... Lafai or Brown would miss out.
PRE-GAME UPDATE? Lowe to bench, Tom Burgess starts. Williams to bench, Jackson starts. Yes Inglis is playing, no Barba isn't.
Saturday 3:00pm at Sydney Cricket Ground
DRAGONS $1.41 v $3.00 TIGERS
FOOTYTAB: WTG +4.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Maria Tsialis @mtsialis Matt Vickers @mercurialmattyv |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Yep... here's the boldest pick of the year on www.wdnicolson.com:
Benji Marshall will win this game for the Tigers... and ride off into the distance once he hits 200 games for the club. I know he's struggling but the Dragons aren't going to recover well from blowing another game - this time to the Sharks - late because they can't score when they need to put someone away... and the Tigers... well they got royally parcelled up for Christmas by the Roosters but the Roosters are slightly better than the Dragons... Back Benji - because you don't want to be backing the Dragons.
Tigers by 2 points.
LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Dragons may shuffle two or eight positions around... Steve Price likes to do that to catch out opposition coaches... worked a treat so far this year right? The Tigers played Monday so they probably have a change or two in them... namely the possible return of Farah - who will have had a good break for his ouchie knuckle by this Saturday... no guarantee he plays though but the SCG/Benji's last 3 games thing looms as a plus. Sounds like Luke Brooks could debut at halfback with Anasta moving to lock or going to the bench... while Nathan Brown is a young prop who may also play.
Sounds like Brooks will start in the halves and Benji moves to... the centres? Thompson would miss out in all likelihood. While Sironen may finally be reinstated to the starting team for Anasta. Drinkwater a late inclusion? Not sure if Mr Price loves a late change?
PRE-GAME UPDATE? 
Saturday 5:30pm at Skilled Park
TITANS $1.83 v $2.02 WARRIORS
FOOTYTAB: GLD +2.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Adrian McMurray @adrmcm Matt Trodden @trods2906 |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Given Kelly's back and the Warriors choked deluxe at home with their playoff destiny about to be in their own hands.... take the Titans. If Bird withdraws with his back no good - only then will I lean back towards the Aucklanders. And lean back I have... TIP CHANGE!
Warriors by 4 points.
LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Gold Coast named Bird, Harrison and Kelly so they'll be given every chance - Bird the most in doubt after back spasms left him unable to walk last weekend. Bailey is another week away probably. The Warriors will likely play Ropati at right centre and Hurrell on the right wing, but otherwise should be unchanged.
Bird was ruled out on Friday... Zillman was sore after returning last week and is also out. Don comes onto the wing, Mead to fullback and Michaels onto the bench.
PRE-GAME UPDATE? 
Saturday 7:35pm at 1300SMILES Stadium
COWBOYS $1.57 v $2.45 KNIGHTS
FOOTYTAB: NEW +2.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Justin Davies @dragonpunk1 Adrian McMurray @adrmcm |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Got burned too many times this year by the Cowboys to be able to bring myself to pick them... so Knights it is. Gidley back at five-eighth is one step to making this pick look even tastier... the Cowboys are one bad start in a game from being the same old Cowboys I reckon... over to you Newcastle.
Knights by 1 point.
LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Cowboys are probably 1-17 with Lowe as 18th man. Newcastle may finally switch Gidley and Roberts, while check the airport to see if Mason travels. Smith will not play with a sternum injury.
Gower and Smith are OUT and Mason looks very unlikely, but Gidley may still start and move into hooker when Buderus goes off.
PRE-GAME UPDATE? 
Sunday 2:00pm at Canberra Stadium
RAIDERS $3.00 v $1.41 SEA EAGLES
FOOTYTAB: CAN +6.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Matt Spillane @devonhead Greg Delaney @gregdelaney84 |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
You want to believe the Raiders might actually have a dig this week with a new coach finally... but then you realise Manly are in town and you pick the visitors.
Sea Eagles by 4 points.
LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Canberra's new coach made his changes at the Tuesday team announcement... but don't rule Cornish out completely with Campese injured and the young halfback not named for NYC or NSW Cup. Then there's Ferguson... watch this space later in the week (Dunemann said on Thursday Ferguson will not play but...) - or check a Sutherland shire pub. Manly may add Tom Symonds to the travelling squad but the real question is just how injured is Anthony Watmough this week? Really?
Sounds like Brett Stewart may not make the trip to Canberra - so Peta Hiku likely gets the call. No update on Watmough yet, while Kite's wrist remains a concern.
PRE-GAME UPDATE? 
Sunday 3:00pm at AAMI Park
STORM $1.03 v $14.00 EELS
FOOTYTAB: PAR +24.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Melbourne... don't make me write why - think of the Parra fans.
Storm by 26 points.
LATEST OF LATE MAIL: If Melbourne were going to rest anyone for a game at the end of the year - THIS IS IT. Beware the late change. Parramatta could have changes... Ricky likes changes.
PRE-GAME UPDATE?
Monday 7:00pm at Remondis Stadium
SHARKS $2.85 v $1.45 ROOSTERS
FOOTYTAB: CRO +4.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Nigel Wilbow @parramatters Greg Delaney @gregdelaney84 |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
I really really really really really like Cronulla for an upset here like they did earlier in the season when the Bunnies were on fire... but I can't do it. I'm light years behind Jake Hauritz in the tipping comp here on the website but I still can't pick against the Chooks - even though injuries and suspension mean the Cronulla pack should really take it to Easts on Monday. Sticking with the favourites...
Roosters by 2 points.
LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Cronulla expect to be 1-17 with Tagataese as 18th man. For the Roosters - Minichiello will either return at fullback forcing the three-quarter line shuffle or Langi will get a 2nd gig in the centres with Aubusson going to the pack. Either player would replace the now suspended O'Donnell.
PRE-GAME UPDATE?
What are your tips for Round 24? 
Let us know by commenting below or replying on Twitter.


@NRLTWEET's 2013 TIPPING RECORD 
TIPPING TOTAL AFTER 23 ROUNDS - 106/168 @ 63.1%
FOOTYTAB TOTAL AFTER 23 ROUNDS - 87/168 @ 51.8%
SPECIAL FRIED RICE involves each tipster taking a 'certainty' in a set order, with the tipster with the highest score at the end of the year literally winning a mountain of Special Fried Rice. The SFR Order rotates every week and is a fun way to put your rice where your mouth is.
ROUND 24 SELECTIONS | The Awesome Foursome
@NRLTweet
Warrick D. Nicolson, The NRL Tweet
TIPPING:
Panthers Rabbitohs Tigers Warriors Knights Sea Eagles Storm Roosters
LW: 4/8 | SEASON: 106/168
FOOTYTAB:
PEN +4.5 SOU -6.5 WTG +4.5 WAR -2.5
NEW +2.5 CAN +6.5 MEL -24.5 CRO +4.5
LW: 1/8 | SEASON: 87/168
Special Fried Rice: STORM over Eels (Has 1st Pick)
Season SFR: 16.5/23
CAN4 CBY3 SOU2 MEL1 CRO4 MAN3 SYD2 SYD1 SOU4 MEL3 NQL2 SOU1 MEL4 CRO3 CBY2 SOU1 SOU4 CBY3 CAN2 CBY1 SOU4 BRI3 WAR2 MEL1
TIPPING:
Broncos Bulldogs Dragons Titans Knights Raiders Storm Roosters
LW: 5/8 | SEASON: 94/168
FOOTYTAB:
BRI -4.5 CBY +6.5 STI -4.5 GLD +2.5
NEW +2.5 CAN +6.5 MEL -24.5 SYD -4.5
LW: 5/8 | SEASON: 85/168
Special Fried Rice: No SFR received (Has 3rd Pick)
Season SFR: 16/23
SOU2 SOU1 MAN4 PAR3 NQL2 MEL1 BRI4 WAR3 STI2 BRI1 NEW4 NEW3 CBY2 SOU1 MEL4 NEW3 SYD2 BRI1 WAR4 BRI3 MEL2 MEL1 BRI4 NA3
@Horry37
Jake Hauritz, Channel 9 Darwin
TIPPING:
No Tips received - away teams minus 1.
LW: 6/8 | SEASON: 118/168
FOOTYTAB:
No Tips received - away teams minus 1.
LW: 4/8 | SEASON: 90/168
Special Fried Rice: No SFR received (Has 2nd Pick)
Season SFR: 16/23
MEL1 BRI4 MEL3 CRO2 MEL1 CAN4 NQL3 MEL2 MEL1 CAN4 MAN3 CBY2 SYD1 BRI4 CAN3 MEL2 MEL1 MAN4 MAN3 SOU2 MAN1 CBY4 CRO3 NA2
@MrDC
DC Chapman, League Lover
TIPPING:
Panthers Rabbitohs Dragons Titans Cowboys Sea Eagles Storm Roosters
LW: 6/8 | SEASON: 104/168
FOOTYTAB:
PEN +4.5 SOU -6.5 STI -4.5 GLD +2.5
NQL -2.5 MAN -6.5 MEL -24.5 SYD -4.5
LW: 4/8 | SEASON: 73/168
Special Fried Rice: ROOSTERS over Sharks (Has 4th Pick)
Season SFR: 16.5/23
NEW3 MAN2 CRO1 NEW4 SOU3 NEW2 MEL1 NEW4 BRI3 SOU2 SOU1 GLD4 PEN3 MEL2 SOU1 STI4 MAN3 PEN2 SOU1 MAN4 NEW3 SYD2 SYD1 SYD4
The NRL Injury List is updated regularly during each week of the season, making it an invaluable Fantasy and Tipping Tool alongside our Weekly NRL Previews once again.
Remember if you want game-specific Late Mail every week, then check out our Round Previews Every Wednesday and they are updated with all the very latest Late Mail on Friday.
Who will take Ben Barba's mantle as champion in the 4th Annual @NRLTweet Player of the Year Awards?

 The Prestigious Award is closing in on naming a new champion in 2013.
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet | Nigel Wilbow @parramatters
Justin Davies @dragonpunk12 | Greg Delaney @gregdelaney84
Matt Spillane @devonhead | Matt Trodden @trods2906
Matt Vickers @mercurialmattyv | Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget
Adrian McMurray @adrmcm | Matthew Duncan @mrpeninsula
Maria Tsialis @mtsialis | Ben Jones @benwah87
Jake Hauritz @horry37

Review all of the voting results from 2012 right here

Remember you can track all the votes each week after each match in 2013 via the Twitter hashtag #nrltweetpoty
By Warrick D. Nicolson