Friday 16 August 2013

#NRL 2013: Round 23 Tips Late Mail Predictions Preview #NRLLateMail #NRLDT #Supercoach

ROUND 23 TIPS and LATE MAIL
Plus The Postman's NRL Dream Team/NRL Super Coach Picks

 2013 NRL Premiership

By W D Nicolson - August 16, 2013


EXTRA LATEST OF LATE MAIL ADDED THROUGHOUT ROUND
ALL EXPERT PICKS AND SPECIAL FRIED RICE ADDED AS RECEIVED
View 2013 @NRLTweet PLAYER OF THE YEAR Final Public LEADERBOARD

How did you survive?
| NRL LADDER |

For the first time this year www.wdnicolson.com was not the first place you could find the coming weekend's late mail on a Wednesday evening and judging by our research - you had to wait til Friday morning for anything resembling Late Mail.... note how it is usually Thursday?

I've done a trip to Dubbo and back for work and barely made it home last night before the flu (I acquired from my lovely nephews and nieces a few days ago) kicked in... so you are really lucky you are getting anything today (Friday) as I've got the shaky shakes deluxe.

Anyhoo - #NRLTweetPOTY Award voting allocation is below as is the rest of what you need for your weekend of footy.

It is a different 'quick hit' format below due to being pressed for time but normal service will resume for Round 24.

Latest of Late Mail and Round 23 Tips below!

For our analysis of Tuesday team selections for Round 23 - click here.

As far as Late Mail goes the rolling lockout for all you NRL Dream Team and NRL Super Coach nerds should have allowed you to make any last minute changes quite easily, but once again our Latest of Late Mail should help in any selections you make before the round begins.

The Postman has to take a week off his NRL Dream Team and NRL Super Coach tips... I know the timing isn't great but he's been hit for 6 by the flue after a business trip to Dubbo.  You're lucky you are getting Tips and Late Mail!
@NRLTweet Player of the Year
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY

 Check out the Round 20 Leaderboard before it goes silent

Voting Allocation for Round 23 of the NRL is below.

NRL TIPPING PREVIEW + LATE MAIL
ROUND 23, 2013
Wednesday Odds Courtesy of Sportingbet | NRL LADDER
Friday 7:45pm at Bluetongue Stadium
RABBITOHS $2.05 v $1.80 SEA EAGLES
FOOTYTAB: SOU +4.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Burgess is a gigantic loss to Souths - and we won't know until 6:45pm if Sutton is going to play either. Inglis will but is he enough of a force in his first game back from a knee injury to stop Manly's dynamic duo in the halves? Manly lose Watmough (or do they?) which is also a rather large subtraction but Manly's spine looks in better form right now so...
Sea Eagles by 7 points.
LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Inglis will play for Souths but Sutton is still not 100% confirmed - check the lineup an hour before the game. There's also a chance Walker might return and he could even come off the bench if Sutton misses out and Keary starts. Lima should also return. Manly might make Tom Symonds a late inclusion with the lack of Watmough, with Gower or Hasson missing out. STOP PRESS: Watmough is playing for Hasson. Sutton is also playing, while King drops out for Walker in the centres and Clark comes in for Lowe.
Friday 7:45pm at Suncorp Stadium
BRONCOS $1.16 v $5.50 EELS
FOOTYTAB: PAR +12.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Nigel Wilbow @parramatters Justin Davies @dragonpunk12 |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Just pick Brisbane and move on. By all means give Parra a chance if you want but Brisbane can't afford to lose and it was only the inclusion of Hayne that reminded Parra how to win.., against the Tigers.
Broncos by 14 points.
LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Brisbane have steadfastly claimed there will be 'no late changes' so Kahu plays for Drew and Stagg or Gillett will lineup in the centres. If they are truly 1-17 it means Anderson and J Wallace miss out. Parramatta may tweak things before kick-off but the squad is unlikely to have any new arrivals from the 19 named on Tuesday.
STOP PRESS: J Wallace comes in for Anderson/Slyney as final bench player.
Saturday 3:00pm at Canberra Stadium
RAIDERS $1.85 v $2.00 BULLDOGS
FOOTYTAB: CAN +2.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet Greg Delaney @gregdelaney84 |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Canberra lose and they prove they are a spent force as far as playoff footy is concerned (because they play the Warriors either next week or the week after who could have passed them by then). But the good news for Canberra is Canterbury aren't much chop without Ben Barba - duh! No Campese is an issue for the home team but Barba is a far bigger loss (as is Kasiano/Eastwood) for how Canterbury like to play and the Gold Coast showed that up on Monday night. Ummmmm....
Raiders by 4 points.
LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Learoyd-Lahrs was keen to play but like Campese, is out for the Raiders. Lahrs has strained his hamstring and will miss, while Williams (if his ankle is fine he'll play) will come in for Campese. Lee may also be a late inclusion to take advantage of Perrett's inability to catch a kick targeted at his wing or the forgotten Robinson might get recalled. Canterbury may shuffle things at kick-off again but it looks like the Morris at FB experiment continues for at least another week.
Saturday 5:35pm at 1300SMILES Stadium
COWBOYS $1.34 v $3.40 TITANS
FOOTYTAB: GLD +6.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Matt Spillane @devonhead Matthew Duncan @mrpeninsula |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Going the 'upset' based on realistic Top 8 calculations... Titans win they could move as high as 6th... Cowboys win they could move as high as 10th. To clarify: the Titans are 8th, the Cowboys are 12th. Pick the team in the Top 8. Zillman/Srama back helps. 
Titans by 4 points.
LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Doubt we'll see any changes for the Cowboys, while the Titans should get Zillman back for Dowling and check the flight records to see if there's another sneaky inclusion... ie Srama and one more.
Saturday 7:35pm at WIN Stadium
DRAGONS $4.10 v $1.25 SHARKS
FOOTYTAB: STI +12.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Matt Trodden @trods2906 Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Personally never find these games interesting... which is strange because Cronulla/Red V fans love it. I think it is stylistically neither play a game I like to watch. Gotta stick with the Sharks - even if Merrin and Dugan weren't hurt for the Dragons.
Sharks by 16 points.
LATEST OF LATE MAIL: With Nathan Fien announcing his retirement from the Dragons this week - will Josh Drinkwater get a crack at starting this week as Fien goes to the bench? Ryan and Tupou should return for the Sharks after being close last week, while Ross or Tagataese will miss out on the final bench spot. Graham wasn't listed but may yet play, while Fifita's status needs to be checked an hour before kick-off.
Sunday 4:00pm at Mt Smart Stadium (NZ Time)
WARRIORS $1.16 v $5.50 PANTHERS
FOOTYTAB: PEN +12.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Adrian McMurray @adrmcm Matt Trodden @trods2906 |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Pick the Warriors - especially if you saw any of what the Panthers dished up last week with their Top 8 hopes on the line against the Cowboys...
Warriors by 18 points.
LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Ropati is being talked up again as a key cog in the Warriors' finals run - so is this finally the week he comes in for Laumape and Hurrell goes to the wing? Packer may also be a late inclusion. Penrith may shuffle their lineup come kickoff with Coote and not John starting at five-eighth, while Segeyaro is likely to play off the bench this week.
Sunday 3:00pm at Hunter Stadium
KNIGHTS $3.00 v $1.41 STORM
FOOTYTAB: NEW +4.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Matt Spillane @devonhead Matt Vickers @mercurialmattyv |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Newcastle might put up a fight... they may even win. But you need to stick with the Storm - despite a win by the Knights being so key to their standing in the Top 8 improving. Can't pick Newcastle with the Big 3 playing.
Storm by 12 points.
LATEST OF LATE MAIL: McKinnon looks set to play for the Knights after getting through his NSW Cup warmup last week. Gower will probably miss out again. The Storm may bring Blair back in the centres but they play the Eels in Melbourne next Sunday - so they may not rush him back just yet. Griffin or Kenny Bromwich get the final bench spot.
Monday 7:00pm at Allianz Stadium
TIGERS $11.00 v $1.05 ROOSTERS
FOOTYTAB: WTG +26.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet Maria Tsialis @mtsialis |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Don't pick the Tigers. Pick the Roosters. Analysis over.
Roosters by 20 points.
LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Farah has til Monday to prove his fitness for the Tigers... and do you really think he's going to tell Twitter if he's playing or not after 3000 niff nuffs message him? Iosefa has been named so he could play even if Farah does as cover with Luani missing out. Nofoaluma hurt his ankle in the 2nd half last week and may just be right due to the wait between games. Tuqiri returns, while Sue is in doubt with a dizzy head. The Roosters may yet include Minichiello if he's confident in his knee after a couple of weeks off.
What are your tips for Round 23? 
Let us know by commenting below or replying on Twitter.


@NRLTWEET's 2013 TIPPING RECORD 
TIPPING TOTAL AFTER 21 ROUNDS - 102/160 @ 63.8%
FOOTYTAB TOTAL AFTER 21 ROUNDS - 86/160 @ 53.8%
SPECIAL FRIED RICE involves each tipster taking a 'certainty' in a set order, with the tipster with the highest score at the end of the year literally winning a mountain of Special Fried Rice. The SFR Order rotates every week and is a fun way to put your rice where your mouth is.
ROUND 23 SELECTIONS | The Awesome Foursome
@NRLTweet
Warrick D. Nicolson, The NRL Tweet
TIPPING:
Sea Eagles Broncos Raiders Titans Sharks Warriors Storm Roosters
LW: 5/8 | SEASON: 102/160
FOOTYTAB:
BRI -12.5 MAN -4.5 CAN +2.5 GLD +6.5
CRO -12.5 WAR -12.5 MEL -4.5 WTG +26.5
LW: 3/8 | SEASON: 86/160
Special Fried Rice: WARRIORS over Panthers (Has 2nd Pick)
Season SFR: 16.5/22
CAN4 CBY3 SOU2 MEL1 CRO4 MAN3 SYD2 SYD1 SOU4 MEL3 NQL2 SOU1 MEL4 CRO3 CBY2 SOU1 SOU4 CBY3 CAN2 CBY1 SOU4 BRI3 WAR2
TIPPING:
Sea Eagles Broncos Bulldogs Cowboys Dragons Warriors Storm Roosters
LW: 6/8 | SEASON: 89/160
FOOTYTAB:
MEL -10.5 PAR +4.5 CAN +10.5 NEW +8.5
MAN -10.5 BRI -6.5 NQL -2.5 CBY -10.5
LW: 6/8 | SEASON: 80/160
Special Fried Rice: BRONCOS over Eels (Has 4th Pick)
Season SFR: 15/22
SOU2 SOU1 MAN4 PAR3 NQL2 MEL1 BRI4 WAR3 STI2 BRI1 NEW4 NEW3 CBY2 SOU1 MEL4 NEW3 SYD2 BRI1 WAR4 BRI3 MEL2 MEL1 BRI4
@Horry37
Jake Hauritz, Channel 9 Darwin
TIPPING:
Rabbioths Broncos Raiders Cowboys Sharks Warriors Storm Roosters
LW: 6/8 | SEASON: 112/160
FOOTYTAB:
PAR +12.5 SOU +4.5 CAN +2.5 NQL -6.5
CRO -12.5 WAR -12.5 MEL -4.5 WTG +26.5
LW: 6/8 | SEASON: 86/160
Special Fried Rice: SHARKS over Dragons (Has 3rd Pick)
Season SFR: 15/22
MEL1 BRI4 MEL3 CRO2 MEL1 CAN4 NQL3 MEL2 MEL1 CAN4 MAN3 CBY2 SYD1 BRI4 CAN3 MEL2 MEL1 MAN4 MAN3 SOU2 MAN1 CBY4 CRO3
@MrDC
DC Chapman, League Lover
TIPPING:
Sea Eagles Broncos Bulldogs Cowboys Sharks Warriors Storm Roosters
LW: 5/8 | SEASON: 98/160
FOOTYTAB:
BRI -12.5 MAN -4.5 CBY -2.5 GLD +6.5
STI +12.5 PEN +12.5 MEL -4.5 WTG +26.5
LW: 4/8 | SEASON: 69/160
Special Fried Rice: ROOSTERS over Tigers (Has 1st Pick)
Season SFR: 15.5/21
NEW3 MAN2 CRO1 NEW4 SOU3 NEW2 MEL1 NEW4 BRI3 SOU2 SOU1 GLD4 PEN3 MEL2 SOU1 STI4 MAN3 PEN2 SOU1 MAN4 NEW3 SYD2 SYD1
The NRL Injury List is updated regularly during each week of the season, making it an invaluable Fantasy and Tipping Tool alongside our Weekly NRL Previews once again.
Remember if you want game-specific Late Mail every week, then check out our Round Previews Every Wednesday and they are updated with all the very latest Late Mail on Friday.
Who will take Ben Barba's mantle as champion in the 4th Annual @NRLTweet Player of the Year Awards?

 The Prestigious Award is closing in on naming a new champion in 2013.
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet | Nigel Wilbow @parramatters
Justin Davies @dragonpunk12 | Greg Delaney @gregdelaney84
Matt Spillane @devonhead | Matt Trodden @trods2906
Matt Vickers @mercurialmattyv | Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget
Adrian McMurray @adrmcm | Matthew Duncan @mrpeninsula
Maria Tsialis @mtsialis | Ben Jones @benwah87
Jake Hauritz @horry37

Review all of the voting results from 2012 right here

Remember you can track all the votes each week after each match in 2013 via the Twitter hashtag #nrltweetpoty
By Warrick D. Nicolson