Wednesday 19 June 2013

#NRL 2013: Round 15 Tips Late Mail Predictions Preview #NRLLateMail #NRLDT #Supercoach

ROUND 15 TIPS and LATE MAIL
Plus The Postman's NRL Dream Team/NRL Super Coach Picks

2013 NRL Premiership

By W D Nicolson - June 19, 2013


EXTRA LATEST OF LATE MAIL ADDED THROUGHOUT ROUND
ALL EXPERT PICKS AND SPECIAL FRIED RICE ADDED AS RECEIVED
Continue reading below for the Round 15 Tipping Preview.

A man walks into a bar...

Was it Blake, Josh, George or Mal?!

Anyhoo... onto the footy. Origin 2 is next Wednesday in Brisbane - so only 8 teams are playing in Round 15,  and of those 8 teams - they don't have their Origin stars.

So realistically - don't expect much in terms of quality this weekend, but hopefully a game or two is half decent and the stars who are still playing do the business.

To the tips!
Enjoy

For our analysis of Tuesday team selections for Round 15 - click here.

As far as Late Mail goes the rolling lockout for all you NRL Dream Team and NRL Super Coach nerds should have allowed you to make any last minute changes quite easily, but once again our Latest of Late Mail should help in any selections you make before the round begins.

The Postman has did a bunch of NRL Dream Team and NRL Super Coach gems last week... no soup for you - 1 week!

@NRLTweet Player of the Year
Voting Allocation for Round 15 of the NRL is below.
NRL TIPPING PREVIEW + LATE MAIL
ROUND 15, 2013
Wednesday Odds Courtesy of Sportingbet | NRL LADDER
Friday 7:45pm at ANZ Stadium
BULLDOGS $1.41 v $3.00 ROOSTERS
FOOTYTAB: SYD +8.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet Matt Spillane @devonhead |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Given the Roosters had the bye during Origin 1 only now do you really see how much they'll miss without Jennings, Maloney and Pearce. Their replacements? Guerra, Aubusson and Mortimer. OUCH.
The Bulldogs on the other hand lose Josh Reynolds and Josh Morris - losses sure, but the Dogs won't change how they play too much without them. The Roosters on the other hand - with only one genuine half who can kick in general play - will have to direct everything through Mortimer. That's a recipe for Des Hasler to aim his big forwards at Daniel all night and get a shooter to keep pressure on Mortimer when he's getting ready to kick. Even if Trent Robinson moves SBW to five-eighth - Gotta tip the Bulldogs by 6 points. Oh and SBW plays in front of a pro-Doggies crowd on Friday... happy days.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL:
BULLDOGS: Tony Williams didn't look 100% against Manly so he might come off the bench again with Josh Jackson starting. Kris Keating is not the flavour of the month at all if Joel Romelo is getting the five-eighth jumper back.
LATE UPDATE? Not expecting any new faces in the lineup, bar the pack reshuffle.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: No soup for you - 1 week!
ROOSTERS: There's a huge chance the Roosters play SBW at five-eighth, move Mitch Aubusson to centre and start Aidan Guerra in the backrow. While in some good news for the Roosters - Tautau Moga makes his return to the NYC after a knee injury in the pre-season... he would normally slot straight in for Jennings but needs a few weeks before he's a serious chance at ousting Shaun 'Can't hold the ball' Kenny-Dowall.
LATE UPDATE? So how is SBW's hamstring? Find out at about 6:30pm Friday night.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: No soup for you - 1 week!
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Saturday 7:30pm at Campbelltown Stadium
TIGERS $3.15 v $1.38 RAIDERS
FOOTYTAB: WTG +6.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Adrian McMurray @adrmcm Matthew Duncan @mrpeninsula |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
The Tigers will try and muscle up against Canberra after failing to do so in Brisbane... so don't think Canberra are good things here by any stretch. Upside for the Raiders is they are only technically missing one Origin player in Josh Papalii but Blake Ferguson's idiocy hasn't helped the cause. Canberra's pack does look handy here though, especially with Aaron Woods and Robbie Farah playing Origin for the Tigers. Benji Marshall once again represents the Tigers' best hope but if Canberra are fair dinkum about getting a bit of a roll on during this period of the year - you've got to tip the Raiders by 6 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL:
TIGERS: Do we see Chris Lawrence this week? Neither Joel Reddy (form) or Tim Simona (copped a knock last Monday) look safe, so don't rule it out. Bodene Thompson isn't a sure thing to return from an ankle injury. Remember this team was named after a MNF game - so could certainly change.
LATE UPDATE? Lawrence and Meaney come in, Tedesco and Pettybourne go out.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: No soup for you - 1 week!
RAIDERS: Sami Sauiluma gets first crack at the opening out wide with Edrick Lee's injury and Ferguson's idiocy... there are a few options for David Furner in NSW Cup and NYC - but Sami gets his chance. Jarrad Kennedy has been named to play it seems 3 or 4 times and hasn't got a run - so don't be stunned if Joe Picker or Jake Foster get a call up at the poor kid's expense!
LATE UPDATE? 1-17.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: No soup for you - 1 week!
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Sunday 3:00pm at ANZ Stadium
EELS $3.85 v $1.28 RABBITOHS
FOOTYTAB: PAR +8.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget Matt Trodden @trods2906 |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Parramatta started well against Cronulla but they were not match for the Sharks in the end. Same goes here - even with South Sydney minus four Origin players. Parra's only avenue to points looks like Chris Sandow... so this preview could end now really. Expect Jacob Loko to start - so that gives Parra two avenues. But Souths have John Sutton, Adam Reynolds and Issac Luke in good form... and enough replacements of good enough quality to make them firm favourites here (even with George Burgess and his idiocy out as well). Bunnies by 16 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL:
EELS: The Eels won't leave Loko out of the starting lineup, so he'd come in for Williame or Blair. Also Roberts is about due a second chance at starting, with Paulo moving into the pack. O'Hanlon would get a run on the bench if Loko starts.
LATE UPDATE?
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: No soup for you - 1 week!
RABBITOHS: There are a lot of changes for the Bunnies in the actual lineup - so don't expect many more on gameday. It is however surprising to see no Jason Clark on the bench - don't rule him out as a late addition.
LATE UPDATE?
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: No soup for you - 1 week!
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Monday 7:00pm at Skilled Park
TITANS $1.38 v $3.15 STORM 
FOOTYTAB: MEL +6.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Nigel Wilbow @parramatters Greg Delaney @gregdelaney84 |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Tipping against Melbourne? Well these pre-Origin weeks are the only time all season you should feel moderately like tipping against the Storm. Don't get me wrong - they'll still put out a good team but the Titans have enough depth in their pack to allow their quality halves/fullback mix tip this game in their favour. If the Titans play some footy - I don't think the Storm have enough points in them without the Big 3 to run with the home team. Titans by 13 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL:
TITANS: The loss of Myles and Bird hurts, but if Minichiello is over a hamstring strain - they get solid replacements in Mini and Ioane who has impressed in his limited chances. The other advantage the Titans have is at hooker with the one two punch of Srama-Irwin (assuming Irwin gets a run ahead of O'Dwyer).
LATE UPDATE?
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: No soup for you - 1 week!
STORM: Good to see Ben Hampton get a run but he'll be tested. The three-quarter line is settled despite Fonua's presence on the bench, while the pack represents Melbourne's best chance at winning. So much so that Lagi Setu, Junior Moors and Kenny Bromwich (who were not named) could all join the bench by gameday.
LATE UPDATE?
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: No soup for you - 1 week!
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
What are your tips for Round 15? 
Are you taking any advice from our Awesome Foursome panel this year?
Let us know by commenting below or replying on Twitter.
@NRLTWEET's 2013 TIPPING RECORD 
TIPPING TOTAL AFTER 14 ROUNDS - 67/107 @ 62.6%
FOOTYTAB TOTAL AFTER 14 ROUNDS - 56/107 @ 52.3%
SPECIAL FRIED RICE involves each tipster taking a 'certainty' in a set order, with the tipster with the highest score at the end of the year literally winning a mountain of Special Fried Rice. The SFR Order rotates every week and is a fun way to put your rice where your mouth is.
ROUND 15 SELECTIONS | The Awesome Foursome
@NRLTweet
Warrick D. Nicolson, The NRL Tweet
TIPPING:
Bulldogs Raiders Rabbitohs Titans
LW: 5/8 | SEASON: 67/107
FOOTYTAB:
SYD +8.5 WTG +6.5 SOU -8.5 GLD -6.5
LW: 2/8 | SEASON: 56/107
Special Fried Rice: BULLDOGS over Roosters (Has 2nd Pick)
Season SFR: 10.5/14
CAN4 CBY3 SOU2 MEL1 CRO4 MAN3 SYD2 SYD1 SOU4 MEL3 NQL2 SOU1 MEL4 CRO3 CBY2
TIPPING:
Roosters Raiders Eels Storm
LW: 4/8 | SEASON: 57/107
FOOTYTAB:
SYD +8.5 CAN -6.5 PAR +8.5 MEL +6.5
LW: 3/8 | SEASON: 49/107
Special Fried Rice: STORM over Titans (Has 4th Pick)
Season SFR: 9/14 
SOU2 SOU1 MAN4 PAR3 NQL2 MEL1 BRI4 WAR3 STI2 BRI1 NEW4 NEW3 CBY2 SOU1 MEL4
@Horry37
Jake Hauritz, Channel 9 Darwin
TIPPING:
Bulldogs Raiders Rabbitohs Titans
LW: 6/8 | SEASON: 72/107
FOOTYTAB:
SYD +8.5 CAN -6.5 SOU -8.5 MEL +6.5
LW: 1/8 | SEASON: 49/107
Special Fried Rice: RAIDERS over Tigers (Has 3rd Pick)
Season SFR: 10/14
MEL1 BRI4 MEL3 CRO2 MEL1 CAN4 NQL3 MEL2 MEL1 CAN4 MAN3 CBY2 SYD1 BRI4 CAN3
@MrDC
DC Chapman, League Lover
TIPPING:
Bulldogs Raiders Rabbitohs Titans
LW: 6/8 | SEASON: 61/107
FOOTYTAB:
SYD +8.5 CAN -6.5 SOU -8.5 GLD -6.5
LW: 1/8 | SEASON: 40/107
Special Fried Rice: RABBITOHS over Eels (Has 1st Pick)
Season SFR: 10/14
NEW3 MAN2 CRO1 NEW4 SOU3 NEW2 MEL1 NEW4 BRI3 SOU2 SOU1 GLD4 PEN3 MEL2 SOU1
The NRL Injury List is updated regularly during each week of the season, making it an invaluable Fantasy and Tipping Tool alongside our Weekly NRL Previews once again.

Remember if you want game-specific Late Mail every week, then check out our Round Previews Every Wednesday and they are updated with all the very latest Late Mail on Friday.

If we are missing any players on this list - please comment below, reply on Twitter or email this address.
Who will take Ben Barba's mantle as champion in the 2013 @NRLTweet Player of the Year Awards?

 The Prestigious Award is underway for a 4th season in 2013.
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet | Nigel Wilbow @parramatters
Justin Davies @dragonpunk12 | Greg Delaney @gregdelaney84
Matt Spillane @devonhead | Matt Trodden @trods2906
Matt Vickers @mercurialmattyv | Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget
Adrian McMurray @adrmcm | Matthew Duncan @mrpeninsula
Maria Tsialis @mtsialis | Ben Jones @benwah87

Review all of the voting results from 2012 right here

Remember you can track all the votes each week after each match in 2013 via the Twitter hashtag #nrltweetpoty
By Warrick D. Nicolson