Thursday 6 June 2013

#NRL 2013: Round 13 Tips Late Mail Predictions Preview #NRLLateMail #NRLDT #Supercoach

ROUND 13 TIPS and LATE MAIL
Plus The Postman's NRL Dream Team/NRL Super Coach Picks

2013 NRL Premiership

By W D Nicolson - June 6, 2013


EXTRA LATEST OF LATE MAIL ADDED THROUGHOUT ROUND
ALL EXPERT PICKS AND SPECIAL FRIED RICE ADDED AS RECEIVED
Continue reading below for the Round 13 Tipping Preview.

Game 1 @ ANZ Stadium
NSW 14 QLD 6
So who backs up?

With Origin 1 in the books and NSW taking a rather commanding 1-0 lead (as 1-0 leads go after losing 7 straight series) after a 14-6 win over QLD - attention turns to which Origin players will backup in Round 13 of the NRL this weekend.

Origin 1 wasn't as brutal as ones we have seen in the past, but a number of stars are in doubt to backup and at least one - Robbie Farah - might not be right even for Game 2 in Brisbane in late June.

For those playing at home - South Sydney are the unofficial Minor Premiers of the halfway mark of the competition, as they have a bye this weekend and will maintain at least a one point lead on Melbourne through 13 rounds.

The reason this went up Thursday night instead of its usual Wednesday afternoon slot - ORIGIN. No point putting out Late Mail before a game like Origin... and of course, injuries/resting players impact who we all tip right?

To the tips!

For our analysis of Tuesday team selections for Round 13 - click here.

As far as Late Mail goes the rolling lockout for all you NRL Dream Team and NRL Super Coach nerds should have allowed you to make any last minute changes quite easily, but once again our Latest of Late Mail should help in any selections you make before the round begins.

The Postman has just some NRL Dream Team and NRL Super Coach gems for you this week - remember the Bunnies and Titans have the bye.

@NRLTweet Player of the Year
Voting Allocation for Round 13 of the NRL is below.
NRL TIPPING PREVIEW + LATE MAIL
ROUND 13, 2013
Wednesday Odds Courtesy of Sportingbet | NRL LADDER
Friday 7:45pm at Parramatta Stadium
EELS $3.65 v $1.30 ROOSTERS
FOOTYTAB: PAR +8.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Maria Tsialis @mtsialis Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Jarryd Hayne's high from Origin 1 was short-lived... learning his club is axing half the first grade squad would have put a damper on his winning experience. There's not a lot to suggest Parra will give the Roosters much of a scare but for Easts - lifting themselves for a relatively minor opponent is stark contrast to their matchup with the Storm two weeks ago. Hayne gives Parra hope, Sandow standing up and taking control gives them a chance... but you can't pick Parra - a trend in 2013. Roosters by 16 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Track via #NRLLateMail
EELS: Hayne is good to go. Let's see if Stuart cuts any of the 2014 deadweight as soon as this weekend.
LATE UPDATE? Will Reni Maitua really pull out? Decent way to justify Stuart's decision... FINAL 17: Maitua/Edwards out, Mullaney to 1, Kelly to 6, Paulo to 11, Hayne to bench.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
ROOSTERS: Maloney's mouth cut won't heal but he'll play, as will Pearce and Jennings.
LATE UPDATE? 1-16 with Isaac Liu replacing Lama Tasi in #17.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Saturday 5:30pm at Hunter Stadium
KNIGHTS $1.42 v $2.95 DRAGONS
FOOTYTAB: STI +6.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Matt Spillane @devonhead Adrian McMurray @adrmcm |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Yikes... don't want to tip either team on current form. Newcastle are going to be totally reliant on Mullen's kicking game, while the Dragons might be a whole new attacking beast now they've punted Soward to NSW Cup. If I knew Saints would give a youngster like Drinkwater a run in the halves instead of recycling a centre in Stanley... I'd lean Saints. But right now, Mullen's kicking game and Newcastle's defence (at home) gets them across the line. Knights by 10 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Track via #NRLLateMail
KNIGHTS: Uate trained this week but the Knights may give him another week just to be sure his ribs are healed. Boyd got through Origin but the quick turnaround might catch him out... at this stage he hopes to play.
LATE UPDATE? Boyd trained on Friday... looks good to go. Beau Scott might also make his comeback this week, Uate still yet to be confirmed. Scott in for Cuthbertson is only change.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
DRAGONS: Merrin and Morris will backup, while there is still a chance Steve Price is about to pull off another smokescreen and give Drinkwater a run... with Vidot as 18th man - he still could end up in the centres with Stanley. Cooper's toe still isn't right apparently...
LATE UPDATE? Merrin is a certainty, Morris is now a maybe. Are 1-17.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Saturday 7:30pm at 1300SMILES Stadium
COWBOYS $2.12 v $1.75 BULLDOGS
FOOTYTAB: NQL +2.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Matthew Duncan @mrpeninsula Matt Trodden @trods2906 |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Thurston is nowhere near fit... even if he plays how good can he be with a rotten groin? The Dogs were ordinary in beating the Dragons last Friday but getting Reynolds back makes me go with Canterbury on the road. Just don't know where the points will come from for the Cowboys... whereas the Dogs have a few more options. Bulldogs by 12 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Track via #NRLLateMail
COWBOYS: Thurston is going to struggle to play given he barely made it on the field for Origin 1. Morgan would start at five-eighth, while Tate, Scott and Tamou will all likely backup.
LATE UPDATE?
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
BULLDOGS: Reynolds is a certain starter, Morris is likely. Lafai would give way to Morris, while Romelo misses for Reynolds.
LATE UPDATE? T-Rex flew to Townsville... does he have any relatives there? Mark him down for Browne's spot on the bench.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Sunday 4:00pm at Mt Smart Stadium (NZ Time)
WARRIORS $2.20 v $1.70 SEA EAGLES
FOOTYTAB: WAR +3.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Justin Davies @dragonpunk12  Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Okay all you geniuses who picked the Warriors as 'good things' against Brisbane on the road... pick the Warriors at home against Manly. Go on... I dare you. Not easy is it? They were great to watch throw the ball around in Brisbane but the Broncos just didn't stick on first contact and the Warriors got to play with freedom they havne't had all year... Manly won't accept defence like that - plus DCE has a sniff of an Origin spot - expect Manly to win but the Warriors shouldn't shy away from the contest. Sea Eagles by 14 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Track via #NRLLateMail
WARRIORS: Hard to make any changes to a team that won by 40 last start... but if Lowrie is fit he'd come in for Ikihihifo.
LATE UPDATE? Packer has withdrawn with a chest injury... Matagi will come in for him.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
SEA EAGLES: Watmough will backup.
LATE UPDATE? Expect them to be 1-17.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Sunday 3:00pm at Centrebet Stadium
PANTHERS $1.25 v $4.10 TIGERS
FOOTYTAB: WTG +4.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Matt Vickers @mercurialmattyv Adrian McMurray @adrmcm |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Wanted to pick the Tigers before Origin... and Farah's injury. Now I almost have to settle for the Panthers - even if they aren't anything near an impressive footy team. That being said - they are winning right now, and the Tigers got a little fortunate to beat the Cowboys last start... want to say Marshall can win this on his own... but I've got a tipping percentage to improve. Take the Panthers by 2 points... take a punt on the Tigers if you are chasing tips.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Track via #NRLLateMail
PANTHERS: Plenty of first graders in NSW Cup this week... but this group of Panthers are winners of 3 in a row.
LATE UPDATE? Moylan has to play NSW Cup per NRL instructions re: Salary Cap, and Robinson might follow him. That would see Naiqama and probably Mansour reinstated as they are now fit. And in another blow - Grant is out with a broken hand and Roberts has an eye socket injury. Ciraldo comes in for Grant, Naiqama for Moylan and Mansour may end up in the run on team with Brown moving into the pack.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
TIGERS: Farah is out with a swollen face, replaced by Iosefa. There's also a chance a notable outside back returns from injury a week ahead of schedule... Simona would make way.
LATE UPDATE? Anasta is apparently in doubt.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Sunday 6:30pm at AAMI Park
STORM $1.30 v $3.65 SHARKS
FOOTYTAB: CRO +8.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Nigel Wilbow @parramatters Matt Trodden @trods2906 |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Gallen is out and Smith plays his 250th game... milestones aren't always a huge factor in league like they seem to be in AFL (in terms of impacting team performance) but the Sharks will miss Gallen in a contest like this. If Lewis also misses and at least Cronk and Smith play for the Storm - have to stick with Melbourne by 10 points. Let's see what Carney has for us after watching Maloney's performance in Origin 1.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Track via #NRLLateMail
STORM: Smith plays his 250th game this weekend - at home - so he will backup. Cronk will as well, as should Hoffman. Only concern would be Slater, but the game is Sunday so they are all likely to play.
LATE UPDATE?
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
SHARKS: Gallen takes a week off for Myles headbutting his fist twice, but Fifita will backup and Lewis is a possible. Peachey probably replaces Gallen with Heighington starting. Gallen wasn't named in any grade, so may come in for Gallen or a bench player.
LATE UPDATE?
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
Monday 7:00pm at Canberra Stadium
RAIDERS $1.38 v $3.15 BRONCOS
FOOTYTAB: BRI +5.5
Tuesday Teams Analysed on NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
| Greg Delaney @gregdelaney84 Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Canberra have had a long break and the Broncos just got smashed by the team coming 16th... This is a classic game that the current Raiders lose... so pick Canberra at your peril. I will be. Brisbane get their Origin stars back who will have a bee in their bonnet, but Prince and Wallace just do nothing for me as a combination. Campese's looked good in recent weeks, so Raiders by 10 points.
 LATEST OF LATE MAIL: Track via #NRLLateMail
RAIDERS: Shillington is fine, and Buttriss will most likely return from a calf injury at hooker for Shaun Berrigan. Edwards probably misses with a hamstring strain, while Croker may overcome his own hammy strain.
LATE UPDATE? Buttriss and Edwards look likely, Croker in doubt with Earl on standby.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
BRONCOS: Thaiday, Gillett and Parker are good to go, Hodges is the question mark. Reed left training on Thursday - so is in doubt. Maranta probably comes in to the squad.
LATE UPDATE? Hodges has travelled... the other 3 Origin players are good to go.
The Postman's DT/SC TIP: To come...
If you have a DT/SC question grab The Postman on Twitter @NRLTweet and I'll answer there.
What are your tips for Round 13? 
Are you taking any advice from our Awesome Foursome panel this year?
Let us know by commenting below or replying on Twitter.
@NRLTWEET's 2013 TIPPING RECORD 
TIPPING TOTAL AFTER 12 ROUNDS - 58/92 @ 63.1%
FOOTYTAB TOTAL AFTER 11 ROUNDS - 49/92 @ 53.3%
SPECIAL FRIED RICE involves each tipster taking a 'certainty' in a set order, with the tipster with the highest score at the end of the year literally winning a mountain of Special Fried Rice. The SFR Order rotates every week and is a fun way to put your rice where your mouth is.
ROUND 13 SELECTIONS | The Awesome Foursome
@NRLTweet
Warrick D. Nicolson, The NRL Tweet
TIPPING:
Roosters Knights Bulldogs Sea Eagles Panthers Storm Raiders
LW: 3/4 | SEASON: 58/92
FOOTYTAB:
SYD -8.5 NEW -6.5 CBY -2.5 MAN -3.5
WTG +4.5 MEL -8.5 CAN -5.5
LW: 2/4 | SEASON: 49/92
Special Fried Rice: STORM over Sharks (Has 4th Pick)
Season SFR: 8.5/12
CAN4 CBY3 SOU2 MEL1 CRO4 MAN3 SYD2 SYD1 SOU4 MEL3 NQL2 SOU1 MEL4
TIPPING:
Roosters Knights Bulldogs Sea Eagles Panthers Storm Broncos
LW: 0/4 | SEASON: 50/92
FOOTYTAB:
SYD -8.5 NEW -6.5 CBY -2.5 MAN -3.5
PEN -4.5 MEL -8.5 BRI +5.5
LW: 2/4 | SEASON: 43/92
Special Fried Rice: BULLDOGS over Cowboys (Has 2nd Pick)
Season SFR: 7/12 
SOU2 SOU1 MAN4 PAR3 NQL2 MEL1 BRI4 WAR3 STI2 BRI1 NEW4 NEW3 CBY2
@Horry37
Jake Hauritz, Channel 9 Darwin
TIPPING:
Roosters Dragons Bulldogs Sea Eagles Panthers Storm Raiders
LW: 4/4 | SEASON: 61/92
FOOTYTAB:
SYD -8.5 STI +6.5 CBY -2.5 MAN -3.5
PEN -4.5 CRO +8.5 BRI +5.5
LW: 2/4 | SEASON: 45/92
Special Fried Rice: ROOSTERS over Eels (Has 1st Pick)
Season SFR: 8/12
MEL1 BRI4 MEL3 CRO2 MEL1 CAN4 NQL3 MEL2 MEL1 CAN4 MAN3 CBY2 SYD1
@MrDC
DC Chapman, League Lover
TIPPING:
Roosters Knights Bulldogs Sea Eagles Panthers Storm Raiders
LW: 3/4 | SEASON: 51/92
FOOTYTAB:
SYD -8.5 STI +6.5 CBY -2.5 MAN -3.5
PEN -4.5 MEL -8.5 BRI +5.5
LW: 2/4 | SEASON: 35/92
Special Fried Rice: PANTHERS over Tigers (Has 3rd Pick)
Season SFR: 9/12
NEW3 MAN2 CRO1 NEW4 SOU3 NEW2 MEL1 NEW4 BRI3 SOU2 SOU1 GLD4 PEN3
The NRL Injury List is updated regularly during each week of the season, making it an invaluable Fantasy and Tipping Tool alongside our Weekly NRL Previews once again.

Remember if you want game-specific Late Mail every week, then check out our Round Previews Every Wednesday and they are updated with all the very latest Late Mail on Friday.

If we are missing any players on this list - please comment below, reply on Twitter or email this address.
Who will take Ben Barba's mantle as champion in the 2013 @NRLTweet Player of the Year Awards?

 The Prestigious Award is underway for a 4th season in 2013.
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters:
Warrick Nicolson @NRLTweet | Nigel Wilbow @parramatters
Justin Davies @dragonpunk12 | Greg Delaney @gregdelaney84
Matt Spillane @devonhead | Matt Trodden @trods2906
Matt Vickers @mercurialmattyv | Ben Hoese @gunnermcdagget
Adrian McMurray @adrmcm | Matthew Duncan @mrpeninsula
Maria Tsialis @mtsialis | Ben Jones @benwah87

Review all of the voting results from 2012 right here

Remember you can track all the votes each week after each match in 2013 via the Twitter hashtag #nrltweetpoty
By Warrick D. Nicolson