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Thursday, 14 July 2011

NRL 2011 - Round 19 NRL Preview Tips Teams Predictions Late Mail Fantasy News Odds

ROUND 19 NRL PREVIEW - 2011 SEASON
The best NRL Preview on the net is back online with all the info you need to make an 'informed decision' in your Fantasy and Tipping Competitions.
Make sure you bookmark www.wdnicolson.com and compare your picks to the Podcast Panel's Tips every week. Download the Podcast and check back on Friday for the Latest Mail as it breaks.
NOT The Footy Show Episode 73
- Round 19 Preview Released July 14, 2011 -
Right Click Save Target As This Link if you don't have iTunes.
TIPPING VIDEO PREVIEW
SPECIAL FRIED RICE - ROUND 19
- Waz 9/18: Broncos; Matt 14/18: Warriors; Dave 12/18: DragonsNic 14/18: Storm -
Note: The order in which Special Fried Rice (the game we guarantee that team will win) is chosen rotates - this week Nic had 1st choice, Waz 2nd, Matt 3rd and Dave 4th. So it isn't as easy as it sounds to tip correctly each week.
You can check out who the NOT The Footy Show Experts picked for the 2011 Premiership via this link.
NOT The Footy Show Podcast is available every Thursday - subscribe now on iTunes so you don't miss out.
Check out the Round 19 Tipping Preview below...
Cut off time is 6:30pm Friday July 15th
ROUND 19 MATCHUPS 
14/07 Odds are courtesy of Sportingbet Australia
$1.52 V $2.55 Fri @ Mt Smart | LINE: CBY +5.5 GAME STATS
$1.22 V $4.35 Fri @ Suncorp | LINE: GLD +12.0 GAME STATS
$1.82 V $2.00 Sat @ ANZ | LINE: SYD +1.5 GAME STATS
$1.70 V $2.20 Sat @ Centrebet | LINE: PAR +2.5 GAME STATS
$2.00 V $1.82 Sat @ Dairy Farmers | LINE: NQL +1.5 GAME STATS$2.35 V $1.60 Sun @ Canberra | LINE: CAN +4.0 GAME STATS
$2.60 V $1.50 Sun @ AusGrid | LINE: NEW +6.0 GAME STATS
$1.38 V $3.10 Mon @ WIN Jubilee | LINE: CRO +8.0 GAME STATS
NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTES
The Leaderboard has gone silent... we will however still be posting the Votes each week in the Results Blog.
THE NRL TWEET's ROUND 19 PREVIEW
Welcome to Season 2011... after an off-season that often feels longer (or shorter - depends if you like cricket or not) than it is - the footy is back. Here on www.wdnicolson.com we've got all the Tuesday Team News, Wednesday or Thursday Previews and Friday Late Mail (sourced from SMH and beyond) that will keep your Tipping and Fantasy habit well fed. This preview integrates our NRL Injured List - which if you haven't bookmarked by now - I suggest you do so.
FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
8:35pm (Local) 14 July @ Mt Smart Stadium, Auckland. (Starts 6:30pm NSW/QLD Time)
Coming In... 
6th WARRIORS TEAM RECORD 8-8 for 20 Points, +7.
11th BULLDOGS TEAM RECORD 7-9 for 18 Points, -41.
Head to Head Last 10...
WARRIORS 3 BULLDOGS 7 - The Warriors won their only clash in Round 5 last year 30-24 at ANZ and have actually won 3 of the last 5.
Tuesday Team News...
WAR: Locke, Tupou, Moon, Berrigan, Vatuvei, Maloney, Johnson, Packer, Heremaia, Lillyman, Mateo, Mannering (c), Luck. Bench: Hohaia, Sam Rapira, Matulino, Taylor, Steve Rapira.
[Team Changes - The Warriors lost Lewis Brown early in their game against the Gold Coast to an ankle injury and he is replaced by Joel Moon here. There is no reprieve for Krisnan Inu. Steve Rapira is once again the 18th man in an otherwise unchanged lineup. ]
CBY: Barba, Turner, Idris, Morris, Wright, Keating, Hodkinson, Tolman, Halatau, Kasiano, Pritchard, Ryan (c), Stagg. Bench: Eastwood, Taupau, Warburton, Millington.
[Team Changes - The Bulldogs still don't have Michael Ennis back after his throat/lung injury in Origin 3. Corey Payne was a late scratching in Adelaide and is not named, so Gary Warburton keeps his spot and Grant Millington is the new 18th man. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
To hear the Panel's tips and why they are tipping them - listen to the Podcast or watch the Tipping Video.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 15/07 - The Bulldogs have changed coaches... assistant coach Jim Dymock comes in for outgoing head coach Kevin Moore. Both teams should be 1-17 with Steve Rapira and Grant Millington the likely 18th men. Ben Barba has a hand complaint but will play.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
WARRIORS To Win By 4 Points.
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FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:45pm (Local) 14 July @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane.
Coming In... 
5th BRONCOS TEAM RECORD 11-5 for 26 Points, +50.
16th TITANS TEAM RECORD 4-12 for 12 Points, -147.
Head to Head Last 10...
BRONCOS 7 TITANS 3 - The Broncos won 14-8 in Round 3 and have won 6 of the last 7 and the last 4 games.
Tuesday Team News...
BRI: Hoffman, Beale, Reed, Hodges, Yow Yeh, Lockyer (c), Wallace, Hannant, McCullough, Anderson, Glenn, Thaiday, Parker. Bench: Gillett, Hunt, Dodds, McGuire, Baptiste, Lui.
[Team Changes - The Broncos had the Bye in RD18 but return of key Origin players see Dale Copley, Dane Gagai, Nick Kenny, Corey Norman and David Hala make way. Mitchell Dodds, Josh McGuire and Ben Hunt look the most likely to join Matt Gillett on the final bench. ]
GLD: Capewell, Michaels, Toopi, Thompson, Mead, Zillman, Prince (c), Bailey, Srama, Laffranchi, Bird, Minichiello, Harrison. Bench: White, Henderson, O'Dwyer, Campbell, Lawrence.
[Team Changes - The Titans get Greg Bird back from being rested and promote Luke Capewell to fullback after the one game comeback of Mat Rogers (foot) ended and Jordan Rankin was dropped. Anthony Laffranchi has once again been named at prop with Michael Henderson going to the bench. Preston Campbell is listed to return from injury on the bench, while Esi Tonga is not recalled. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
To hear the Panel's tips and why they are tipping them - listen to the Podcast or watch the Tipping Video.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 15/07 - The Broncos lost Scott Anderson to illness and Dunamis Lui is favoured to beat out David Hala and Nick Kenny for a spot on the bench. Brenton Lawrence is likely to get cut by the Titans if Preston Campbell is fit.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
BRONCOS To Win By 16 Points.
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SATURDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
5:35pm (Local) 16 July @ ANZ Stadium, Sydney.
Coming In... 
12th RABBITOHS TEAM RECORD 6-10 for 16 Points, -63.
15th ROOSTERS TEAM RECORD 5-11 for 14 Points, -103.
Head to Head Last 10...
RABBITOHS 3 ROOSTERS 7 - The Roosters have won the last 3 games and also won a wild game in Round 1 this year 40-29.
Tuesday Team News...
SOU: Wesser, Merritt, Farrell, Inglis, McQueen, Sutton, Sandow, Ross, Luke, McPherson, Clark, Pettybourne, Crocker (c). Bench: L Burgess, Tyrrell, Lowe, Peats, Corrigan.
[Team Changes - The Bunnies have doubts over Rhys Wesser and Nathan Merritt but have named both in an unchanged 17 that lost to Manly last Sunday. Shaun Corrigan is the extra man on the bench. ]
SYD: Graham, Perrett, Linnett, Kenny-Dowall, Leilua, T Carney, Pearce, Ryles, Friend, Myles, Anasta (c), Symonds, Nu'uausala. Bench: Mitchell, Arona, Takairangi, Guerra.
[Team Changes - The Roosters still are without Anthony Minichiello (illness) and Jared Waerea-Hargreaves was not named at all after missing last weekend with a shoulder injury. Phil Graham keeps his spot at fullback and Nate Myles shifts to the front row to accommodate Tom Symonds in the backrow. Aiden Guerra gets a recall on the bench for Mose Masoe. Mitchell Pearce has a shoulder injury but is expected to play. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
To hear the Panel's tips and why they are tipping them - listen to the Podcast or watch the Tipping Video.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 15/07 - The Roosters won't have Anthony Minichiello due to illness and he may not be back next week either. Rhys Wesser (knee) is still no certainty to play but Nathan Merritt (wrist) and Ben Ross (Foot) should play and Shaun Corrigan could come in for Wesser.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
RABBITOHS To Win By 7 Points.
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SATURDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:35pm (Local) 16 July @ Centrebet Stadium, Penrith
Coming In... 
8th PANTHERS TEAM RECORD 7-9 for 18 Points, -5.
13th EELS TEAM RECORD 5-10-1 for 15 Points, -91.
Head to Head Last 10...
PANTHERS 5 EELS 5 - Penrith won 20-6 in Round 2 in a total reverse of Round 1 form earlier this year. Parramatta won 34-28 in the Jarryd Hayne Show in Round 19 last year.
Tuesday Team News...
PEN: Coote, Simmons, Jennings, Tighe, Purtell, Burns, Walsh, McKendry, Kingston, Civoniceva (c), Waterhouse, Plum, Lewis. Bench: Seluini, Weston, Smith, Grant, Bell.
[Team Changes - The Panthers have named Michael Jennings to return from a serious ankle injury but might lose Trent Waterhouse to a knee injury sustained in the clash with the Roosters. Junior Vaivai makes way for Jennings, while Nathan Smith would likely start for Waterhouse if he misses. Matthew Bell is the new face on an extended bench. ]
PAR: Hayne, Burt, Morgan, Smith, Atkins, McGuire, Robson, Mannah, Keating, MoiMoi, Hindmarsh (c), Lasalo, Horo. Bench: Shackleton, Allgood, Manuokafoa, Maitua.
[Team Changes - The Eels might get Jeff Robson back from a hammy injury and that could see Jarryd Hayne's one match at five-eighth become a cameo - but in position only. Etu Uaisele was left out to accommodate Robson. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
To hear the Panel's tips and why they are tipping them - listen to the Podcast or watch the Tipping Video.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 15/07 - Trent Waterhouse may yet be ruled out with a knee injury and Nathan Smith would start for him if out. Jeff Robson is considered a good chance to play.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
PANTHERS To Win By 2 Points.
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SATURDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:35pm (Local) 16 July @ Dairy Farmers Stadium, Townsville.
Coming In... 
4th COWBOYS TEAM RECORD 11-5 for 26 Points, +84.
9th TIGERS TEAM RECORD 7-9 for 18 Points, -12.
Head to Head Last 10...
COWBOYS 3 TIGERS 7 - The Tigers have won 6 of the last 7 and won both games in 2010.
Tuesday Team News...
NQL: Bowen, Graham, Tate. Tonga, Fai-Fai Loa, Thompson, Morgan Scott (c), Payne, Tamou, Cooper, Hall, Johnson. Bench: Segeyaro, Riethmuller, A Sims, T Sims, C Paterson, W Tupou, L Ah Mau, .
[Team Changes - The Cowboys won't have Johnathan Thurston until Round 22 probably so Michael Morgan starts at halfback again. Willie Tonga has been named despite a corked thigh and will be partnered for the first time in the centres this year by Brent Tate who is back from a knee injury. Scott Bolton might be a late starter and to add to the embarrassment of riches in the backrow - Tariq Sims returns from suspension. Aaron Payne has also been named after missing the Newcastle clash with a hand injury, Clint Amos makes way as does Will Tupou. ]
WTG: Moltzen, Ryan, Ayshford, Lawrence, Brown, Marshall, Lui, Gibbs, Farah (c), Galloway, Fulton, Ellis, Heighington. Bench: Meaney, Payten, Woods, Fifita.
[Team Changes - The Tigers have lost (or dropped) Wade McKinnon (ribs) and put Tim Moltzen in at fullback. Liam Fulton is back in from a concussion for Ben Murdoch-Masila (Leg) and Sean Meaney is the new utility on the bench. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
To hear the Panel's tips and why they are tipping them - listen to the Podcast or watch the Tipping Video.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 15/07 - The Tigers almost had Lote Tuqiri for the trip to Townsville after he underwent a fitness test this week but talk early Friday is that Mark Flanagan will go to Townsville as the 18th man. Aaron Payne (hand) and Willie Tonga (Rib/thigh) are considered decent chances to play meaning Will Tupou, Joel Riethmuller and Leeson Ah Mau likely to miss out. Todd Payten was ruled out on Friday with Flanagan or Matt Groat to replace him.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
TIGERS To Win By 10 Points.
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SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOOTBALL
              V
2:05pm (Local) 17 July @ Canberra Stadium, Canberra.
Coming In... 
14th RAIDERS TEAM RECORD 5-11 for 14 Points, -76.
1st STORM TEAM RECORD 13-3 for 30 Points, +163.
Head to Head Last 10...
RAIDERS 2 STORM 8 - Melbourne had dominated the Raiders for years but the Raiders have won 2 of the last 4 and ended a long losing streak in Round 10 by winning 20-12 in Melbourne.
Tuesday Team News...
CAN: Dugan, Ferguson, Croker, Thompson, Vidot, McCrone, Williams, White, Tongue (c), Tilse, Galea, Harrison, Fensom. Bench: Buttriss, Picker, Mataora, Thurling, Miller.
[Team Changes - Canberra finally get Josh Dugan back and he replaces Nathan Massey at fullback. Daniel Vidot comes in for the injured Reece Robinson and Bronson Harrison and Danny Galea come in for the injured Josh Papalii and benched Joe Picker in the backrow. Josh Miller is the new face on the bench. ]
MEL: Slater, Duffie, Nielsen, M Blair, Waqa, Widdop, Cronk, Bromwich, Smith (c), Norrie, A Blair, Manu, Proctor. Bench: Kostjasyn, Hinchcliffe, Woolnough, Lowe.
[Team Changes - The Storm have retained the same 17 that beat the Bulldogs in Adelaide. Sika Manu starts in the backrow and Ryan Hinchcliffe goes to the bench. There may be changes closer to kick off with a host of quality players named in the NSW Cup affiliate and Craig Bellamy loves to shuffle in order to rest players when he can. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
To hear the Panel's tips and why they are tipping them - listen to the Podcast or watch the Tipping Video.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 15/07 - The Raiders will finally get Josh Dugan back from an ankle injury and Josh Miller will miss out on the 17. Todd Lowrie could be a late addition to the squad for Jaiman Lowe, while Anthony Quinn and Justin O'Neill are close to getting a run soon. Matt Orford could play in the Canberra Cup this weekend.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
STORM To Win By 10 Points.
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SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOOTBALL
              V
3:05pm (Local) 17 July @ AusGrid Stadium, Newcastle.
Coming In... 
7th KNIGHTS TEAM RECORD 8-8 for 20 Points, -1.
2nd SEA EAGLES TEAM RECORD 12-4 for 28 Points, +133.
Head to Head Last 10...
KNIGHTS 4 SEA EAGLES 6 - Manly won 26-12 in Round 3 to end Newcastle's strong start to the season. Manly have won 4 from the last 6.
Tuesday Team News...
NEW: W Naiqama, McManus, Sa'u, Lulia, Uate, Stigg, Mullen, Fa'aoso, Hilder, Tuimavave, Houston, Edwards, Southern. Bench: Stig, Kaufusi, Ciraldo, Tolar, Taufua, Roberts.
[Team Changes - The Knights lost Kurt Gidley to a hammy injury in the loss to the Cowboys but have named Isaac De Gois, Neville Costigan, Evarn Tuimavave and Keith Lulia to return from injury. Adam MacDougall makes way for Lulia, while Hilder drops to the bench for De Gois. Tuimavave starts for Dan Tolar and Costigan comes in for Steve Southern. Ryan Stig starts at five-eighth for Gidley. ]
MAN: B Stewart, Robertson, Lyon (c), Matai, D Williams, K Foran, Cherry-Evans, King (c), Ballin, Kite, Watmough, Galuvao, G Stewart. Bench: Mauro, Buhrer, Rodney, Rose, Robinson, Lussick.
[Team Changes - Jason King has been named despite a hammy injury and is in serious doubt. Glenn Stewart played 80 minutes with his own hammy injury but should play. Steven Matai is back from suspension with Michael Oldfield making way. Darcy Lussick and Tim Robinson are the extra men on the bench. There is still no William Hopoate who is out with a hammy injury. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
To hear the Panel's tips and why they are tipping them - listen to the Podcast or watch the Tipping Video.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 15/07 - Kurt Gidley (Hammy) is extremely unlikely to play, Richie Fa'aoso has the flu but will play and Neville Costigan (Knee) and Evarn Tuimavave (Hammy) are still in doubt. Adam MacDougall has an ongoing knee issue but despite being named on the bench could come in late for Keith Lulia. Jason King (Hammy) is in doubt for Manly.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
SEA EAGLES To Win By 10 Points.
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MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:05pm (Local) 18 July @ WIN Jubilee Stadium, Kogarah.
Coming In... 
3rd DRAGONS TEAM RECORD 11-4-1 for 27 Points, +115.
10th SHARKS TEAM RECORD 7-9 for 18 Points, -13.
Head to Head Last 10...
DRAGONS 5 SHARKS 5 - Cronulla produced a huge upset in Round 2 this year winning 16-10 at Toyota but the Dragons had won the 4 games before that.
Tuesday Team News...
STI: Boyd, Morris, Gasnier, Cooper, Nightingale, Soward, Fien, Hunt, Young, Weyman, Scott, Creagh, Prior. Bench: Green, Rein, Cuthbertson, Merrin.
[Team Changes - The Dragons are boosted by the return of Matt Cooper and Beau Scott but have lost skipper Ben Hornby with a hand injury. Given their last game was pre-Origin 3 there are a host of changes but the key INS are Brett Morris, Mark Gasnier, Darius Boyd, Jamie Soward and Ben Creagh. Nathan Fien goes to halfback for Hornby and Dean Young starts at hooker. Kyle Stanley has a groin injury so Mitch Rein is the preferred utility on the bench. ]
CRO: Gardner, M Wright, Pomeroy, Best, Stapleton, Graham, Townsend, Cordoba, Morris, Douglas, Smith, Bukuya, Gallen (c). Bench: Tupou, Tagataese, Flanagan, Tautai, Mannah.
[Team Changes - The Sharks have rested Paul Gallen from training until Friday to let his body recoup after Origin. Kade Snowden has not been named this week due to a persistent neck injury. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
To hear the Panel's tips and why they are tipping them - listen to the Podcast or watch the Tipping Video.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 15/07 - The Dragons will farewell Mark Gasnier at the end of the season after he announced his retirement on Thursday. Matt Cooper is expected to return from injury, while Kade Snowden could be a late addition for the Sharks. Beau Scott is expected to play but don't be surprised if he is given another week off.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
DRAGONS To Win By 14 Points.
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ROUND 19 BYES
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Phase Two of NOT The Footy Show's Fantasy League
Congrats to JAMES DOWDING for WINNING Phase 2!
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2011 TIPPING TIPS:
This year not only do you get The NRL Tweet's Tips each week but the whole NOT The Footy Show team will have their picks listed by Thursday so you can back a smoky or a favourite by seeing who we all picked (or didn't pick). Truthfully there is no perfect formula but here's a vital tip to help you cope with the copious amounts of NRL Tipping Comp's
@NRLTWEET's 2011 TIPPING RECORD 
TOTAL AFTER 18 ROUNDS - 69/127 @ 54.3%
The NRL Tweet finished with 125 correct tips from 192 Games in 2010 at a strike rate of 65%.

ROUND 19 SELECTIONS
Warrick Nicolson, The NRL Tweet + NTFS Host
Warriors
Broncos
Rabbitohs
Tigers
Panthers
Storm
Sea Eagles
Dragons
| SEASON 69/128
Nic McInerney, NTFS Co-Host
Warriors
Broncos
Rabbitohs
Tigers
Panthers
Storm
Sea Eagles
Dragons
| SEASON 83/128
Warriors
Broncos
Roosters
Cowboys
Panthers
Storm
Knights
Sharks
| SEASON 77/128
Dave Chapman, NTFS Co-Host
Warriors
Broncos
Roosters
Cowboys
Panthers
Storm
Sea Eagles
Dragons
| SEASON 79/128
Maria Tsialis, Big League Magazine
Bulldogs
Broncos
Roosters
Cowboys
Eels
Storm
Sea Eagles
Sharks
| SEASON 71/128
Andy Raymond, Fox Sports Commentator
To Come...
| SEASON 68/128
Eyes, The Kid Who Sees All
Bulldogs
Titans
Roosters
Tigers
Panthers
Raiders
Knights
Dragons
| SEASON 61/128
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]-[ It's not too late to join our Tipping Competition as long as you're already signed up for Tipping on the Daily Telegraph Website. We use that site because their overall prize is pretty good and you'll be on there for Super Coach anyway. Our League Code is 446386 and you can invite as many people as you want to take on the boys and girls from NOT The Footy Show.
1st Prize is an Official Steeden Match ball.
Fantasy League Enter Phase 3 Here
Phase 3 Begins in NRL Round 19 - your final chance to win some Rugby League Clothing.
SO GO OUT AND ENJOY THE FOOTY

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