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Thursday, 30 June 2011

NRL 2011 - Round 17 NRL Preview Tips Teams Predictions Late Mail Fantasy News Odds

ROUND 17 NRL PREVIEW - 2011 SEASON
The best NRL Preview on the net is back online with all the info you need to make an 'informed decision' in your Fantasy and Tipping Competitions.
Make sure you bookmark www.wdnicolson.com and compare your picks to the Podcast Panel's Tips every week. Download the Podcast and check back on Friday for the Latest Mail as it breaks.
NOT The Footy Show Episode 70
 - Round 17 Preview Podcast Released June 30, 2011 -

Right Click Save Target As This Link if you don't have iTunes.

SPECIAL FRIED RICE - ROUND 17
- Waz 8/16: Bulldogs; Matt 12/16: Raiders; Dave 11/16: Panthers; Nic 13/16: Dragons -
Note: The order in which Special Fried Rice (the game we guarantee that team will win) is chosen rotates - this week Matt had 1st choice, Dave 2nd, Nic 3rd and Waz 4th. So it isn't as easy as it sounds to tip correctly each week.
You can check out who the NOT The Footy Show Experts picked for the 2011 Premiership via this link.
NOT The Footy Show Podcast is available every Thursday - subscribe now on iTunes so you don't miss out.
Check out the Round 17 Tipping Preview below...
ROUND 17 MATCHUPS 
30/06 Odds are courtesy of Sportingbet Australia
$1.65 V $2.25 Fri @ Parramatta | LINE: BRI +3.5 GAME STATS
$2.35 V $1.60 Sat @ Centrebet | LINE: PEN +4.0 GAME STATS
$2.02 V $1.80 Sun @ Toyota | LINE: CRO +1.5 GAME STATS
$1.70 V $2.20 Sun @ WIN | LINE: NEW +2.5 GAME STATS
$2.00 V $1.82 Mon @ SFS | LINE: SYD +1.5 GAME STATS
- ROUND 17 BYES - 
NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTES
 AFTER ROUND 16
THE NRL TWEET's ROUND 17 PREVIEW
Welcome to Season 2011... after an off-season that often feels longer (or shorter - depends if you like cricket or not) than it is - the footy is back. Here on www.wdnicolson.com we've got all the Tuesday Team News, Wednesday or Thursday Previews and Friday Late Mail (sourced from SMH and beyond) that will keep your Tipping and Fantasy habit well fed. This preview integrates our NRL Injured List - which if you haven't bookmarked by now - I suggest you do so.
FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:45pm (Local) 1 July @ Parramatta Stadium, Parramatta.
Coming In... 
13th EELS TEAM RECORD 4-9-1 for 13 Points, -103.
5th BRONCOS AWAY TEAM RECORD 10-5 for 22 Points, +46.
Head to Head Last 10...
EELS 5 BRONCOS 5 - Parramatta won their last clash 30-14 in Round 23 last year, while the Broncos have won 3 of the last 5.
Tuesday Team News...
PAR: Burt, Uaisele, Walker, Loko, Atkins, McGuire, Robson, Allgood, Keating, MoiMoi, Hindmarsh (c), Lasalo, Smith. Bench: Shackleton, Manuokafoa, Webb, Horo, Maitua.
[Team Changes - The Eels lose Tim Mannah and Jarryd Hayne to Origin 3 duty, while Ryan Morgan did a hamstring v Canberra. Etu Uaisele, Chris Walker, Manase Manuokafoa and Reni Matiua are the new faces in the team. Luke Burt shifts to fullback and Mitchell Allgood starts at prop. ]
BRI: Hoffman, Copley, Reed, Beale, Gagai, Norman), Wallace, Kenny, Baptiste, Anderson, Glenn (c), Lui, Gillett. Bench: McCullough, Hunt, Dodds, Hala.
[Team Changes - The Broncos lose Corey Parker, Jharal Yow Yeh, Justin Hodges, Ben Hannant, Sam Thaiday and Darren Lockyer for Origin 3 but regain Ben Hunt and Andrew McCullough who served an in-club suspension (but played QLD Cup) last weekend. Dane Gagai comes in on the wing, Corey Norman starts at five-eighth, Nick Kenny at prop, Dunamis Lui in the second row and Matt Gillett starts at lock. Mitchell Dodds is the other new face on the bench. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
Check out the Video Preview or the Podcast - this text is updated Thursday Night with whatever has been said in the Video or Podcast.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 1/07 - The Broncos have announced that Josh McGuire will travel with the squad named on Tuesday and is likely to play after overcoming an eye injury - Kurt Baptiste is out with a shoulder injury. Jeff Robson is rumoured to have twinged a hammy at training and is in doubt for Parramatta (strong mail late Friday that he is OUT), while Jacob Loko (foot) and Shane Shackleton (hammy) are also in doubt. Reni Maitua is expected to make his return to the NRL after a few years out serving a drug ban.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
EELS To Win By 10 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
SATURDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:35pm (Local) 2 July @ Centrebet Stadium, Penrith.
Coming In... 
10th PANTHERS TEAM RECORD 6-8 for 16 Points, -11.
7th BULLDOGS TEAM RECORD 7-7 for 18 Points, -17.
Head to Head Last 10...
PANTHERS 7 BULLDOGS 3 - Penrith won both games in 2010 and have actually won 6 of the last 8.
Tuesday Team News...
PEN: Coote, Simmons, Vaivai, Tighe, Purtell, Burns, Walsh, McKendry, Kingston, Grant, Waterhouse (c), Plum, Smith. Bench: Seluini, Weston, Bell, Fatiaki, Walker, Seijka.
[Team Changes - The Panthers have Petero Civoniceva and Luke Lewis on Origin 3 duty. Kevin Kingston is not 100% with a groin problem and Junior Vaivai has a bruised knee. As a result Ryan Walker and Harry Seijka are in line to make their NRL debuts after being named on an extended bench and Nigel Plum returns from a knee injury in the second row. ]
CBY: Barba, Turner, Idris, Morris, Wright, Keating, Hodkinson, Tolman, Halatau, Hodgson, Pritchard, Ryan (c), Stagg. Bench: Kasiano, Eastwood, Payne, Roberts.
[Team Changes - The Bulldogs lose Michael Ennis to NSW Origin duty but have named Frank Pritchard despite him picking up a rib injury last week. Dene Halatau will play hooker, while David Stagg regains his starting spot at lock. Ben Roberts is the new face on the bench. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
Check out the Video Preview or the Podcast - this text is updated Thursday Night with whatever has been said in the Video or Podcast.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 1/07 - There is significant doubt surrounding the fitness of Kevin Kingston (Groin) for the Panthers, while Junior Vaivai is no certainty either. Frank Pritchard is expected to lineup for the Bulldogs after a rib injury last week.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
BULLDOGS To Win By 6 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOOTBALL
              V
2:05pm (Local) 3 July @ Toyota Stadium, Cronulla.
Coming In... 
12th SHARKS TEAM RECORD 5-9 for 14 Points, -49.
11th RABBITOHS TEAM RECORD 6-8 for 16 Points, -27.
Head to Head Last 10...
SHARKS 3 RABBITOHS 7 - The Bunnies have won the past 4 games including a 31-12 win in Round 8 this year.
Tuesday Team News...
CRO: Gardner, M Wright, Pomeroy, Best, Stapleton, Graham, Townsend, Snowden, Morris, Douglas, Bukuya, Tupou, Smith. Bench: Mannah, Tagataese, Flanagan, Tautai.
[Team Changes - The Sharks lose Paul Gallen to Origin 3 but regain Kade Snowden in the only change to the 17 that defeated the Titans in Round 16. ]
SOU: Wesser, Merritt, Farrell, Corrigan, Roberts, Sutton, Sandow, Ross, Luke, McPherson, McQueen, Pettybourne, Crocker (c). Bench: L Burgess, Tyrrell, Clark, Peats.
[Team Changes - The Bunnies have lost Dave Taylor to suspension and Greg Inglis to Origin 3. Shaun Corrigan replaces Inglis, while Eddy Pettybourne starts for Taylor. New English signing Luke Burgess is set to make his NRL debut from the bench. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
Check out the Video Preview or the Podcast - this text is updated Thursday Night with whatever has been said in the Video or Podcast.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 1/07 - The Sharks and Bunnies are expected to be as named, despite John Sutton battling a hip complaint. The Sharks also expect Kade Snowden (neck) to play, with John Williams and Scott Porter back in training - so they might be outside chances this or next week.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
SHARKS To Win By 4 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOOTBALL
              V
3:05pm (Local) 3 July @ WIN Stadium, Wollongong.
Coming In... 
2nd DRAGONS TEAM RECORD 11-3-1 for 25 Points, +119.
6th KNIGHTS TEAM RECORD 7-7 for 18 Points, +5.
Head to Head Last 10...
DRAGONS 7 KNIGHTS 3 - St.George-Illawarra won 20-18 in Round 4 and have won 4 of the last 5.
Tuesday Team News...
STI: Nightingale, Tagive, McKinnon, Stanley, Simmonds, Fien, Hornby (c), Hunt, Young, Weyman, Cuthbertson, Greenfield, Prior. Bench: Green, Rein, De Belin, Gower, Bosden, Marketo.
[Team Changes - The Dragons have a thousand Origin players... out go Beau Scott, Ben Creagh, Jamie Soward, Trent Merrin, Brett Morris, Darius Boyd and Mark Gasnier - although Merrin and Morris could be an outside chance of playing club footy this weekend if they doesn't make the final NSW 17. In come Peni Tagive, Alex McKinnon, Reece Simmonds, Ben Hornby, Michael Greenfield, David Gower, Jack Bosden and Jake Marketo to the squad. Rookie forward Jack De Belin retains his spot on the bench. ]
NEW: W Naiqama (c), McManus, Sa'u, Lulia, Mata'utia, Roberts, Stig, Fa'aoso, De Gois, Tuimavave, Houston, Edwards, Southern. Bench: Hilder, Kaufusi, Ciraldo, Tolar, Karawana.
[Team Changes - The Knights didn't have Kurt Gidley (Hammy) last weekend but lose him this week to Origin 3 duty as well as Akuila Uate. James McManus has been named to return from an ankle injury but is no certainty and Adam MacDougall (despite not being named) is an outside chance. Ryan Stig and Tyrone Roberts are the halves. Steven Southern starts at lock with Neville Costigan out with a knee injury and Matt Hilder is on the bench with Cameron Ciraldo and Marvin Karawana - the latter are additions to the squad this week. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
Check out the Video Preview or the Podcast - this text is updated Thursday Night with whatever has been said in the Video or Podcast.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 1/07 - There seems to be no sign that NSW Coach Ricky Stuart will release any of the 20 man squad he picked for Origin 3 for club duty at this stage - so fringe squad members Brett Morris and Trent Merrin are unlikely to play for the Dragons. James McManus remains a 50/50 chance for the Knights, Chris Houston should overcome a corked thigh and Jarrod Mullen is a long shot, while the Dragons won't trim their bench until news on the NSW Origin team comes through. Ben Hornby's ankle has appreciated the extra week's rest and should play.
BREAKING NEWS 1/7 - Trent Merrin has been released by the Blues to play for the Dragons this Sunday after being edged out of the Game 3 team by Keith Galloway. Brett Morris is expected to play Origin 3 with Michael Jennings expected to be ruled out within 24 hours.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
DRAGONS To Win By 12 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:05pm (Local) 4 July @ Sydney Football Stadium, Sydney.
Coming In... 
14th ROOSTERS TEAM RECORD 4-10 for 12 Points, -85.
15th RAIDERS TEAM RECORD 4-10 for 12 Points, -88.
Head to Head Last 10...
ROOSTERS 6 RAIDERS 4 - The Roosters have won the last 3 games and 2 of those wins came in Canberra. The teams have only met at the SFS 3 times since 2006 - the Roosters have won all 3.
Tuesday Team News...
SYD: Khierallah, Perrett, J Carney, Kenny-Dowall, Leilua, Anasta (c), T Carney, Ryles, Friend, , Waerea-Hargreaves, Symonds, Takairangi, Guerraa. Bench: Waerea-Hargreaves, Masoe, Guerra, Symonds.
[Team Changes - The Roosters lose Anthony Minichiello, Nate Myles and Mitchell Pearce to Origin 3 duty but might get Shaun Kenny-Dowall back this week. Frank-Paul Nu'uausala is suspended and Boyd Cordner is injured, so Aiden Guerra, Brad Takairangi and Tom Symonds are the new backrow. Braith Anasta goes to five-eighth while Mark Khierallah is the new face at fullback. Justin Carney might be unlikely considering his hammy injury late in Sunday's loss to the Knights. While Tinirau Arona is the new face on the bench. ]
CAN: Massey, Ferguson, Croker, Thompson, Robinson, McCrone, Williams, White, Tongue (c), Learoyd-Lahrs, Picker, Papalii, Fensom. Bench: Buttriss, Harrison, Tilse, Thurling, Miller.
[Team Changes - Canberra have not named Josh Dugan but he is considered a decent change to play given the game is on Monday. Tom Learoyd-Lahrs starts for David Shillington to aggravated a pectoral injury and Trevor Thurling is the new player on the bench. Josh Miller has also been named on the extended bench but is yet to face a QLD Cup judicial charge for striking. ]
Wednesday Game Preview...
Check out the Video Preview or the Podcast - this text is updated Thursday Night with whatever has been said in the Video or Podcast.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 1/07 - The Raiders might get Josh Dugan back from an ankle injury given the game is on Monday Night, Nathan Massey would make way. The Roosters should get Shaun Kenny-Dowall back from an ankle injury given the game is Monday, while Justin Carney is also a good chance to overcome a hammy injury and Mose Masoe a shoulder in time for the game.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
RAIDERS To Win By 2 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
ROUND 17 BYES
|-| |-| |-|
NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTES
 AFTER ROUND 16
FANTASY LEAGUE SCORE UPDATE
Phase Two of NOT The Footy Show's Fantasy League.
|-| |-| |-|
TIPPING TIPS:
This year not only do you get The NRL Tweet's Tips each week but the whole NOT The Footy Show team will have their picks listed by Thursday so you can back a smoky or a favourite by seeing who we all picked (or didn't pick). Truthfully there is no perfect formula but here's a vital tip to help you cope with the copious amounts of NRL Tipping Comp's
@NRLTWEET's 2011 TIPPING RECORD 
TOTAL AFTER 16 ROUNDS - 64/116 @ 55.2%
The NRL Tweet finished with 125 correct tips from 192 Games in 2010 at a strike rate of 65%.

ROUND 17 SELECTIONS
Warrick Nicolson, The NRL Tweet + NTFS Host
Eels
Bulldogs
Sharks
Dragons
Raiders
| SEASON 64/116
Nic McInerney, NTFS Co-Host
Eels
Bulldogs
Rabbitohs
Dragons
Raiders
| SEASON 78/116
Broncos
Panthers
Rabbitohs
Knights
Raiders
| SEASON 70/116
Dave Chapman, NTFS Co-Host
Eels
Panthers
Rabbitohs
Dragons
Roosters
| SEASON 74/116
Maria Tsialis, Big League Magazine
Eels
Bulldogs
Sharks
Dragons
Raiders
| SEASON 66/116
Andy Raymond, Fox Sports Commentator
Eels
Bulldogs
Sharks
Dragons
Raiders
| SEASON 61/116
Eyes, The Kid Who Sees All
Broncos
Panthers
Rabbitohs
Knights
Raiders
| SEASON 56/116
|-| |-| |-|
]-[ It's not too late to join our Tipping Competition as long as you're already signed up for Tipping on the Daily Telegraph Website. We use that site because their overall prize is pretty good and you'll be on there for Super Coach anyway. Our League Code is 446386 and you can invite as many people as you want to take on the boys and girls from NOT The Footy Show.
1st Prize is an Official Steeden Match ball.
Phase 3 Begins in NRL Round 19 - your final chance to win some Rugby League Clothing.
As an added bonus - here is a Fantasy League BYE Week Cheat Sheet.
Especially for the NRL Dream Team, Super Coach or Fantasy NRL minded crew.
SO GO OUT AND ENJOY THE FOOTY!

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