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Thursday, 23 June 2011

NRL 2011 - Round 16 NRL Preview Tips Teams Predictions Late Mail Fantasy News Odds

ROUND 16 NRL PREVIEW - 2011 SEASON
The best NRL Preview on the net is back online with all the info you need to make an 'informed decision' in your Fantasy and Tipping Competitions.
Make sure you bookmark www.wdnicolson.com and compare your picks to the Podcast Panel's Tips every week. Download the Podcast and check back on Friday for the Latest Mail as it breaks.
NOT The Footy Show Episode 69
 - Round 16 Podcast Released June 23, 2011 -

Right Click Save Target As This Link if you don't have iTunes.
SPECIAL FRIED RICE - ROUND 16
- Waz 8/15: Broncos, Matt 12/15: Sea Eagles, Dave 10/15: Dragons; Nic 12/15: Storm -
Note: The order in which Special Fried Rice (the game we guarantee that team will win) is chosen rotates - this week Waz had 1st choice, Matt 2nd, Dave 3rd and Nic 4th. So it isn't as easy as it sounds to tip correctly each week.
You can check out who the NOT The Footy Show Experts picked for the 2011 Premiership via this link.
NOT The Footy Show Podcast is available every Thursday - subscribe now on iTunes so you don't miss out.
Check out the Round 16 Tipping Preview below...
ROUND 16 MATCHUPS 
23/06 Odds are courtesy of Sportingbet Australia
$2.20 V $1.70 Fri @ Campbelltown | LINE: WTG +2.5
$2.55 V $1.52 Fri @ nib | LINE: SOU +5.5
$1.75 V $2.10 Sat @ Skilled | LINE: CRO +2.0
$1.65 V $2.25 Sat @ Canberra | LINE: PAR +3.5
$2.02 V $1.80 Sun @ Mt Smart | LINE: WAR +1.5
$1.75 V $2.10 Sun @ Centrebet | LINE: NQL +2.0
$1.60 V $2.35 Sun @ AusGrid | LINE: SYD +4.0
$1.70 V $2.20 Mon @ WIN | LINE: MAN +2.5
- ROUND 16 BYES - 
THE NRL TWEET's ROUND 16 PREVIEW
Welcome to Season 2011... after an off-season that often feels longer (or shorter - depends if you like cricket or not) than it is - the footy is back. Here on www.wdnicolson.com we've got all the Tuesday Team News, Wednesday or Thursday Previews and Friday Late Mail (sourced from SMH and beyond) that will keep your Tipping and Fantasy habit well fed. This preview integrates our NRL Injured List - which if you haven't bookmarked by now - I suggest you do so.
FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:45pm (Local) 25 June @ Campbelltown Stadium, Campbelltown.
Coming In... 
6th TIGERS TEAM RECORD 7-7 for 16 Points, +14.
9th BULLDOGS TEAM RECORD 6-7 for 16 Points, -27.
Head to Head Last 10...
TIGERS 4 BULLDOGS 6 - Canterbury beat the Tigers 24-14 in Round 1 but the teams have split their last 8 encounters since 2007.
Tuesday Team News...
WTG: McKinnon, Ryan, Ayshford, Simona, Brown, Miller, Lui, Gibbs, Farah (c), Galloway, Dwyer, Ellis, Heighington. Bench: Moltzen, Fulton, Woods, Fifita, Murdoch-Masila.
[Team Changes - The Tigers have lost Benji Marshall to a minor knee injury and promoted Jacob Miller to five-eighth and importantly - to kick. Tim Simona has relegated Tim Moltzen to the bench. Ben Murdoch-Masila is the only other change after being added to the bench. ]
CBY: Barba, Turner, Idris, Morris, Wright, Keating, Hodkinson, Tolman, Ennis, Hodgson, Pritchard, Ryan (c), Stagg. Bench: Kasiano, Eastwood, Payne, Halatau.
[Team Changes - In addition to Trent Hodkinson returning from suspension and Jamal Idris back from being stood down for missing training, Kevin Moore has also added Jonathon Wright on the wing for Michael Lett and Corey Payne comes onto the bench for Grant Millington. Josh Reynolds, Bryson Goodwin, Jake Foster, Mickey Paea, Ben Roberts and Lett are just some of the players who can't get out of the NSW Cup this weekend. Tim Lafai goes to Toyota Cup. ]
Thursday Game Preview...
Check out the Video Preview or the Podcast - this text is updated Thursday Night with whatever has been said in the Video or Podcast.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
TIGERS To Win By 7 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:05pm (Local) 24 June @ nib Stadium, Perth.
Coming In... 
11th RABBITOHS TEAM RECORD 5-8 for 14 Points, -31.
5th BRONCOS TEAM RECORD 10-4 for 22 Points, +50.
Head to Head Last 10...
RABBITOHS 2 BRONCOS 7 DRAW 1 - Brisbane with an understrength team crushed the Bunnies 50-22 in Round 14 last year and have had the better of the Rabbitohs in recent seasons.
Tuesday Team News...
SOU: Wesser, Merritt, Farrell, Inglis, Roberts, Sutton, Sandow, Ross, Luke, McPherson, McQueen, Taylor, Crocker (c). Bench: Pettybourne, Tyrrell, Clark, Peats.
[Team Changes - The Bunnies have retained the same 17 that beat the Titans 31-8 at ANZ Stadium on Friday. ]
BRI: Hoffman, Beale, Hodges, Reed, Yow Yeh, Lockyer (c), Wallace, Hannant, Baptiste, Anderson, Thaiday, Glenn, Parker. Bench: Norman, Gillett, Lui, Hala.
[Team Changes - The Broncos get Corey Parker, Justin Hodges and Matt Gillett back from injury with Andrew McCullough and Ben Hunt suspended for a week by the club and Mitchell Dodds (Shoulder) and Dale Copley have been dropped. Kurt Baptiste gets his chance at hooker. ]
Thursday Game Preview...
Check out the Video Preview or the Podcast - this text is updated Thursday Night with whatever has been said in the Video or Podcast.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 24/06 - The Broncos left Jharal Yow Yeh in Brisbane with tonsillitis and Dale Copley will play. Dane Gagai is 18th man.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
BRONCOS To Win By 10 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
SATURDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
5:35pm (Local) 25 June @ Skilled Park, Gold Coast.
Coming In... 
16th TITANS TEAM RECORD 4-10 for 10 Points, -107.
13th SHARKS TEAM RECORD 4-9 for 12 Points, -73.
Head to Head Last 10...
TITANS 3 SHARKS 3 - The Sharks won their Round 25 clash last year 30-16 in an upset but neither team has the ascendency in this battle so far.
Tuesday Team News...
GLD: Zillman, Michaels, Toopi, Tomane, Mead, Campbell, Prince (c), Bailey, Srama, Laffranchi, Bird, Minichiello, Harrison. Bench: White, Henderson, Thompson, Ridge, Lawrence, O'Dwyer.
[Team Changes - The Titans get Greg Bird back from a hip injury that forced him to miss their loss to the Rabbitohs and his inclusion moves Anthony Laffranchi to prop. Michael Henderson goes to the bench with Ryan James out for the season with a knee injury. Brenton Lawrence is added to a 6 man bench]
CRO: Gardner, M Wright, Pomeroy, Best, Stapleton, Graham, Townsend, Snowden, Morris, Douglas, Smith, Bukuya, Gallen (c). Bench: Tupou, Tagataese, Flanagan, Tautai.
[Team Changes - The Sharks stick solid with the 17 that beat the Bulldogs at ANZ Stadium. Paul Aiton, Dean Collis, Isaac Gordon, Tim Smith, Siosaia Vave, John Mannah and Broderick Wright will all play NSW Cup - so coach Shane Flanagan is being forced to pick his best team here. ]
Thursday Game Preview...
Check out the Video Preview or the Podcast - this text is updated Thursday Night with whatever has been said in the Video or Podcast.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 24/06 - The Titans lost Joseph Tomane to a groin injury during the week with Bodene Thompson or Esi Tonga to come in. Sportsnewsfirst also reports that Kade Snowden and Ben Pomeroy are in doubt with neck and ankle injuries - Isaac Gordon will travel as 18th man. Luke Bailey and Preston Campbell are not certain starters either. BREAKING The Titans announced Bailey, Campbell and Tomane are out, with Brenton Lawrence, Jordan Rankin and Esi Tonga coming in.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
TITANS To Win By 6 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
SATURDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:35pm (Local) 25 June @ Canberra Stadium, Canberra.
Coming In... 
15th RAIDERS TEAM RECORD 3-10 for 10 Points, -101.
12th EELS TEAM RECORD 4-8-1 for 13 Points, -90.
Head to Head Last 10...
RAIDERS 5 EELS 5 - The teams have only played each other once in the last 3 seasons and the Raiders won their last encounter 24-14 in Round 5 of 2010.
Tuesday Team News...
CAN: Massey, Stuart, Croker, Ferguson, Robinson, McCrone, Williams, White, Tongue (c), Shillington, Picker, Papalii, Fensom. Bench: Buttriss, Harrison, Learoyd-Lahrs, Tilse, Thurling, Miller.
[Team Changes - Canberra did not name Josh Dugan or Joel Thompson but both key players could turn out on Saturday Night. Nathan Massey and James Stuart would make way if both played. David Shillington starts for Dane Tilse who goes to the bench and he is joined by Bronson Harrison who has finally paid the price for his form this year - rookie Josh Papalii is named to start. Trevor Thurling and Josh Miller are on an extended bench. ]
PAR: Hayne, Burt, Morgan, Loko, Atkins, McGuire, Robson, Mannah, Keating, MoiMoi, Hindmarsh (c), Lasalo, Smith. Bench: Shackleton, Allgood, Webb, Horo.
[Team Changes - The Eels have no changes from the team that lost 22-18 to the Sea Eagles on Monday Night. ]
Thursday Game Preview...
Check out the Video Preview or the Podcast - this text is updated Thursday Night with whatever has been said in the Video or Podcast.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 24/06 - The Raiders won't have Josh Dugan but Joel Thompson is a strong chance to play despite not being named.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
RAIDERS To Win By 4 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOOTBALL
              V
2:05pm (Local) 26 June @ Mt Smart Stadium, Auckland.
Coming In... 
7th WARRIORS TEAM RECORD 7-7 for 16 Points, -1.
1st STORM TEAM RECORD 11-3 for 24 Points, +145.
Head to Head Last 10...
WARRIORS 4 STORM 5 DRAW 1 - The Warriors have won the last two games since they were blown away by the Storm in Melbourne's post-Cap scandal game in 2010.
Tuesday Team News...
WAR: Hohaia, Tupou, Brown, Berrigan, Vatuvei, Maloney, Seymour, Packer, Heremaia, Lillyman, Mateo, Mannering (c), Taylor. Bench: Johnson, Latimore, Lousi, Mara, Matulino, Steve Rapira.
[Team Changes - The Warriors make mass changes after their 3rd straight loss. Simon Mannering goes back into the pack, Brett Seymour starts at half for Shaun Johnson who goes to the bench, Lewis Brown and Shaun Berrigan are the new centre combination and Bill Tupou comes onto the wing. Krisnan Inu and Glen Fisiiahi are dropped and Kevin Locke's knee injury gives Lance Hohaia his fullback job back. Alehana Mara joins the bench alongside Sione Lousi]
MEL: Slater, Duffie, Nielsen, M Blair, Waqa, Widdop, Cronk, Bromwich, Smith (c), Norrie, A Blair, Proctor, Lowrie. Bench: Hinchcliffe, Manu, Woolnough, Lowe, Kostjasyn, O'Neill.
[Team Changes - Cameron Smith will start here and Dane Nielsen returns after being rested v the Tigers. Jesse Bromwich also returns after the birth of his son with Rory Kostjasyn and Justin O'Neill the standby players. There is no room for Anthony Quinn or Beau Champion. ]
Thursday Game Preview...
Check out the Video Preview or the Podcast - this text is updated Thursday Night with whatever has been said in the Video or Podcast.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 24/06 - Anthony Quinn is the new 19th man with Justin O'Neill staying in Melbourne. Sportsnewsfirst reports that Bryan Norrie will not play and has been rested.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
WARRIORS To Win By 2 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOOTBALL
              V
2:05pm (Local) 26 June @ Centrebet Stadium, Penrith.
Coming In... 
10th PANTHERS TEAM RECORD 5-8 for 14 Points, -21.
4th COWBOYS TEAM RECORD 10-4 for 22 Points, +84.
Head to Head Last 10...
PANTHERS 5 COWBOYS 5 - Penrith have won 5 of the last 7 games dating back to Round 19, 2006.
Tuesday Team News...
PEN: Coote, Simmons, Vaivai, Tighe, Purtell, Burns, Walsh, McKendry, Kingston, Civoniceva (c), Waterhouse, Smith, Lewis. Bench: Seluini, Grant, Bell, Weston, Fatiaki.
[Team Changes - The Panthers get Luke Lewis back from a hamstring injury and keep Junior Vavai in the centres. Joseph Paulo and Masada Iosefa make way as Dayne Weston and Sarafu Fatiaki join the bench. ]
NQL: Bowen, Graham, Jones, Cooper, Fai-Fai Loa, Thompson, Thurston (c), Scott (c), Payne, Tamou, T Sims, Hall, Johnson. Bench: Segeyaro, Riethmuller, A Sims, L Ah Mau, .
[Team Changes - The Cowboys will fight the 2 games Johnathan Thurston is facing out for running into a referee and expect him to get it downgraded and only miss this week v Penrith and play in Origin 3. Glenn Hall is back from suspension and James Tamou also returns. Isaak Ah Mau and Will Tupou have been dropped. ]
Thursday Game Preview...
Check out the Video Preview or the Podcast - this text is updated Thursday Night with whatever has been said in the Video or Podcast.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 24/06 - The Cowboys will have Johnathan Thurston after he beat a contrary conduct charge but lost impressive backrower Tariq Sims for two weeks after he failed to have his crusher tackle downgraded. Sportsnewsfirst also reports Luke Lewis and Luke Walsh should play but are training lightly on hamstring injuries. Will Tupou and Isaak Ah Mau will travel with the team.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
PANTHERS To Win By 2 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOOTBALL
              V
3:05pm (Local) 26 June @ AusGrid Stadium, Newcastle.
Coming In... 
8th KNIGHTS TEAM RECORD 6-7 for 16 Points, -3.
14th ROOSTERS TEAM RECORD 4-9 for 12 Points, -77.
Head to Head Last 10...
KNIGHTS 5 ROOSTERS 5 - Even stevens over the last 10 games. The Roosters won their Round 11 clash 12-10 in a terrible game of footy earlier this year.
Tuesday Team News...
NEW: W Naiqama, McManus, Sa'u, Lulia, Uate, Stig, Gidley (c), Fa'aoso, Hilder, Tuimavave, Houston, Costigan, Edwards. Bench: De Gois, Kaufusi, Ciraldo, Tolar, Roberts, Southern, Mata'utia.
[Team Changes - The Knights have named James McManus and Dan Tolar despite ankle injuries that kept them out of their win over the Panthers. Peter Mata'utia and Steven Southern will make way if they play. Ryan Stig is again at five-eighth with Tyrone Roberts named on an extended bench but unlikely to play. ]
SYD: Minichiello, Perrett, J Carney, Kenny-Dowall, Leilua, T Carney, Pearce, Ryles, Friend, , Myles, Anasta (c), Cordner, Nu'uausala. Bench: Waerea-Hargreaves, Masoe, Guerra, Symonds.
[Team Changes - The Roosters get Shaun Kenny-Dowall back from an ankle injury and regain Anthony Minichiello, Mitchell Pearce and Nate Myles from Origin duty. Sam Perrett is listed to return from injury on the wing and Mose Masoe has made the bench. Rhys Pritchard busted his collarbone in NSW Cup and has been lost for the season. ]
Thursday Game Preview...
Check out the Video Preview or the Podcast - this text is updated Thursday Night with whatever has been said in the Video or Podcast.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 24/06 - The Knights have Neville Costigan, James McManus, Daniel Tolar and Kurt Gidley in doubt with injury but of all four - Gidley is the most likely to play. Shaun Kenny-Dowall is out for the Roosters with Kane Linnett coming in.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
ROOSTERS To Win By 2 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
              V
7:05pm (Local) 27 June @ WIN Stadium, Wollongong.
Coming In... 
3rd DRAGONS TEAM RECORD 10-3-1 for 23 Points, +101.
2nd SEA EAGLES TEAM RECORD 11-3 for 24 Points, +137.
Head to Head Last 10...
DRAGONS 7 SEA EAGLES 3 - The Dragons won two of three games between the clubs last year including their semi final in convincing fashion 28-0.
Tuesday Team News...
STI: Boyd, Morris, Gasnier, Stanley, Nightingale, Soward, Hornby (c), Hunt, Young, Weyman, Merrin, Creagh, Prior. Bench: Green, Fien, Cuthbertson, Greenfield, Bosden, McKinnon.
[Team Changes - The Dragons get Brett Morris back from a hammy injury and demote Peni Tagive. Ben Creagh has been named to play despite an ankle injury and Dean Young is back at hooker. Trent Merrin starts in the second row and Jack Bosden and Alex McKinnon are the extras on the bench. ]
MAN: B Stewart, Robertson, Lyon (c), Matai, D Williams, K Foran, Cherry-Evans, King (c), Ballin, Rose, Watmough, Galuvao, G Stewart. Bench: Mauro, Buhrer, Robinson, Lussick, Harrison.
[Team Changes - Brent Kite is still out with a rib injury but could be a late starter given the game is next Monday. Michael Robertson made his comeback v Parramatta and is named on the wing. Joe Galuvao broke his hand v Parramatta but was named. Darcy Lussick and Daniel Harrison are the new faces on an extended bench. ]
Thursday Game Preview...
Check out the Video Preview or the Podcast - this text is updated Thursday Night with whatever has been said in the Video or Podcast.
Tipping + Fantasy Late Mail... 
SMH and Other Late Mail 24/06 - There remain doubts over the fitness of Ben Creagh for the Dragons, while Joe Galuvao was cleared of a broken hand and should play. Sportsnewsfirst also reports that Jamie Buhrer didn't train with illness and that Ben Hornby and Ben Creagh will attempt running Friday. Beau Scott is long odds.
The NRL Tweet's Tip... 
SEA EAGLES To Win By 2 Points.
|-| |-| |-|
ROUND 16 BYES
|-| |-| |-|
NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTES
 AFTER ROUND 15
FANTASY LEAGUE SCORE UPDATE
Phase Two of NOT The Footy Show's Fantasy League.
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TIPPING TIPS:
This year not only do you get The NRL Tweet's Tips each week but the whole NOT The Footy Show team will have their picks listed by Thursday so you can back a smoky or a favourite by seeing who we all picked (or didn't pick). Truthfully there is no perfect formula but here's a vital tip to help you cope with the copious amounts of NRL Tipping Comp's
@NRLTWEET's 2011 TIPPING RECORD 
TOTAL AFTER 15 ROUNDS - 62/108 @ 57.4%
The NRL Tweet finished with 125 correct tips from 192 Games in 2010 at a strike rate of 65%.

ROUND 16 SELECTIONS
Warrick Nicolson, The NRL Tweet + NTFS Host
Tigers
Broncos
Titans
Raiders
Warriors
Panthers
Roosters
Sea Eagles
| SEASON 62/108
Nic McInerney, NTFS Co-Host
Bulldogs
Broncos
Sharks
Eels
Storm
Cowboys
Knights
Dragons
| SEASON 73/108
Tigers
Broncos
Sharks
Raiders
Storm
Cowboys
Knights
Sea Eagles
| SEASON 66/108
Dave Chapman, NTFS Co-Host
Tigers
Broncos
Titans
Raiders
Warriors
Panthers
Knights
Dragons
| SEASON 71/108
Maria Tsialis, Big League Magazine
Bulldogs
Broncos
Sharks
Raiders
Warriors
Panthers
Roosters
Sea Eagles
| SEASON 62/108
Andy Raymond, Fox Sports Commentator
To Come...
| SEASON 56/108
Eyes, The Kid Who Sees All
Tigers
Rabbitohs
Sharks
Raiders
Storm
Cowboys
Knights
Sea Eagles
| SEASON 52/108
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]-[ It's not too late to join our Tipping Competition as long as you're already signed up for Tipping on the Daily Telegraph Website. We use that site because their overall prize is pretty good and you'll be on there for Super Coach anyway. Our League Code is 446386 and you can invite as many people as you want to take on the boys and girls from NOT The Footy Show.
1st Prize is an Official Steeden Match ball.
Phase 3 Begins in NRL Round 19 - your final chance to win some Rugby League Clothing.
As an added bonus - here is a Fantasy League BYE Week Cheat Sheet.
Especially for the NRL Dream Team, Super Coach or Fantasy NRL minded crew.
SO GO OUT AND ENJOY THE FOOTY!

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