Thursday 19 September 2013

#NFL 2013: Week 3 Picks - Head to Head and with Spread | #nflpicks #nflpickem

- AFC and NFC Picks - Head to Head and with the Spread -
By The Postman, September 19, 2013

WEEKLY RECAP: Week 2 was okay as Head to Head went 10-6, while with the Spread we improved from 4-11-1 to a 'standout' 6-10-0! So that puts us at about 66% success rate in Head to Head... you'd take that in the NRL these days.

H2H UPSETS PICKED: Started well with Buffalo over Carolina at home but swung and missed (just) on Dallas at Kansas City and got embarrassed (like the two teams) by Seattle crushing San Francisco and Denver doing it just as easy over the NY Giants. 1 from 4 Correct (per Pick'Em favourite/underdog listing)

H2H LESSONS LEARNED: Indianapolis aren't as good as maybe we thought they might be after last year's playoff appearance, Kansas City have made a mockery of me picking against them both weeks, Washington stink, Arizona might not, Cleveland and Jacksonville should only be picked when playing each other... and then you pick Cleveland. San Diego get a road win... can they do it regularly? Pittsburgh are 0-2!!!

My 2013 NFL Season Preview and SuperBowl picks are here - and every week throughout the NFL in 2013 I will be posting my picks here on and via @wdnicolson.

Last year in the Yahoo! Sports Pro Football Pick'em competition I managed to finish in the 98th percentile (so Top 2%) of tipsters across the world... completely surprising myself by using the rule of thumb I (for some reason) refuse to back entirely in my NRL Tipping (that is pick favourites and then pick favourites and then, and only then... pick favourites and maybe one or two gut picks - which doesn't hurt you as much with up to 16 NFL games a week v 8 NRL games).

Week 3 starts with Philadelphia hosting Kansas City (and former Eagles coach Andy Reid) on Friday Morning Australian time.
=====WEEK 3 PICKS===== 

Head to Head Picks per Yahoo! Pick'Em Overall League:
TNF: Philadephia over Kansas City, Cincinnati over Green Bay (Upset Home Team), Dallas over St Louis, San Diego over Tennessee (Upset Away Team), Minnesota over Cleveland, New England over Tampa Bay, New Orleans over Arizona, Detroit over Washington (Upset Away Team), NY Giants over Carolina  (Upset Away Team), Baltimore over Houston (Upset Home Team), Atlanta over Miami  (Upset Away Team), Buffalo over NY Jets  (Upset Away Team), San Francisco over Indianapolis, Seattle over Jacksonville, SNF: Pittsburgh over Chicago (Upset Home Team), MNF: Denver over Oakland.
Year to Date: 21/32 @ 65.6%
Week 1: 11-5 (Overall Rank 20,862 - 65th percentile)
Week 2: 10-6 (Overall Rank 25,998 - 59th percentile)

'With the Spread' Picks per my Yahoo! Pick'Em League:
Philadephia -3.0, Cincinnati +2.0, Dallas -4.0, San Diego +3.0, Minnesota -5.5, New England -7.5, New Orleans -8.0, Detroit +1.5, NY Giants +1.5, Baltimore +2.0, Atlanta +1.0, Buffalo +2.5, San Francisco -10.5, Seattle -19.5, Pittsburgh +2.5, Denver -14.5.
Year to Date: 10-21-1 @ 32.3%
Week 1: 4-11-1
Week 2: 6-10-0

You can tweet me your NFL picks every week @wdnicolson and I will list my final picks from that account every Thursday Night.

You can join the Pro Football Pick'em League I'm in here - which is a 'SPREAD' competition (Tony Kornheiser's Radio Show Group - so if you join best you are somewhat familiar with who TK is and possibly his radio show or PTI). | Group ID#: 35104 | Password: andy | Or just join the regular Pick'em Overall league.
During 2013 I will be reading Peter King's 'THE MMQB' Website every week - I suggest you do the same.