Thursday 29 July 2010

NRL Tips Round 21 2010 + NOT The Footy Show Episode 32 Video + Podcast Preview

Here are The NRL Tweet's Previews & Tips for Round 21 of the 2010 NRL Premiership.
(Subscribe to the NOT The Footy Show Podcasts via iTunes HERE)

|=| Ok this week won't be all about Jarryd Hayne but he's making it hard for us to ignore him!

You've all seen his amazing opening to the Parramatta-Canterbury game and if you haven't check out this link. He's simply breathtaking in this mindset and Parramatta are getting their off-loading back on track and they are poised for another run to September. The good news for non-Parra fans is Todd Carney produced an incredible performance of his own to stun the Broncos at Suncorp on Monday Night.

Why am I telling you all this and still going on about The Hayne Plane, Train & Automobile?

|=| NOT THE FOOTY SHOW - Jarryd Hayne's Planes, Trains & Automobiles... Episode 32 Promo |=|

And because the Sydney Roosters & Todd Carney travel to Parramatta Stadium on Saturday Night to take on the Eels & Jarryd Hayne.

Giddy up!

Parramatta, Canberra & South Sydney all had wins in Round 20 but the Knights dropped their own must-win game and are now out of the Premiership race alongside Canterbury, North Queensland, Cronulla & of course - Melbourne.

That leaves us with 11 teams that need to go into 8 playoff spots - here we go for Round 21 of the 2010 NRL Premiership.

|=| Here are the Round 21 Previews with the NRL Tweet's Fantasy + Team Selection News - Last Update comes on Friday July 30 with help from the SMH's Quality Late Mail. |=|
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|=| Subscribe To The NOT THE FOOTY SHOW Podcasts |=|
This week's Podcast Episode 32:

Jarryd Hayne/Todd Carney + NRL Rookie of the Year + Round 21 Preview + Round 20 Review
|=| More Jarryd Hayne - but plenty of Todd Carney too as Dave rejoins Waz for an hour of NOT The Footy Show action.
|=| Plus we unveil the 3 leading contenders for 2010 NRL Rookie of the Year.
|=| We have our full Round 21 Preview + Round 20 in Review + Tipping records & Special Fried Rice Picks.
|=| We kick the show off with Our Own Great Debate:
> Hayne & Carney - why they HAVE to be united for NSW next season and why they are so great to watch.
> 11 Teams must go into 8 Playoff Spots - what did we learn from the results of Round 20?
> NRL Rookie of the Year - we're down to three contenders and Sam Burgess who isn't eligible but would win if he was! Who are our 3 Rookies of the Year?
|=| More Talking Points: Luke Patten leaves Canterbury - did he jump or was he pushed to join the Salford City Reds? + Waz caught some of the UK Super League - he tells Dave what he thought of Wigan v Hull. + A look at what's been happening on The NRL Tweet & a special segment 'Life as a Melbourne Supporter' from an email by a devoted Storm fan.
|=| Also we look at the NRL Tweet Player of the Year Leaderboard after 20 Rounds and dribble on as always on NOT The Footy Show. |=|
|=| With your hosts Dave & Waz on NOT The Footy Show! |=|
This week's Video - Short Version of the Podcast
|=| 2010 NRL Rookie of the Year - The Top 3 Contenders - NOT The Footy Show Episode 32
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Friday @ ANZ Stadium
Friday @ CUA Stadium
Saturday @ Parramatta Stadium
Saturday @ Leichhardt Oval
Sunday @ Mt Smart Stadium
Sunday @ AAMI Stadium
Sunday @ Suncorp Stadium
Monday @ EnergyAustralia Stadium
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|=| NRL ROUND 21 PREVIEW |=| July 30-August 2, 2010 |=|
|=| Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 13th: 6-12, 372-401, -29, 16pts.
|=| South Sydney Rabbitohs 8th: 9-9, 456-379, +77, 22pts.
|=| The NRL Tweet's Game Notes From ANZ: See Results Article on Monday.
|=| Wednesday's Market: CBY $2.35 v SOU $1.60 (Graphic is Tuesday's Team Lineup)
|=| Recent Clashes: Canterbury have won 5 of the last 7 games against the Rabbitohs - all at ANZ Stadium.
|=| Wednesday's Preview: Canterbury can only make the playoffs mathematically - so that means they are gorn! That being said they still will be a threat to contending teams over the final six weeks of the season and the Bunnies might find out just how much of a threat on Friday Night. Souths get Issac Luke back from a shoulder injury but have lost key backrower Dave Taylor to a broken collarbone and now their vaunted backrow features just one player playing in position - that's Ben Lowe. Sam Burgess had a stormer at prop but the Bunnies setup has been impacted of late and I'm not sure Eddy Pettybourne & Dave Tyrrell can give the Bunnies the edge thrust they need - especially given Michael Crocker's absence. This might sound silly but the Bulldogs are capable of some great football... if Kevin Moore loosens the reigns and now that they are out of the playoff race - he might just do that.
Even though South Sydney can't really afford a loss to a team that's not in contention, I still feel like Canterbury will get home in a tight one at ANZ. 
|=| Team Selection + Fantasy News July 27 (Friday's Update with help from SMH's Late Mail): Canterbury omitted Gary Warburton from the team that lost to Parramatta and recalled prop Chris Armit. The Rabbitohs lost Dave Taylor to a broken collarbone but get Issac Luke back from a shoulder injury. However the Bunnies didn't name Michael Crocker and will start Dave Tyrrell & Eddy Pettybourne in the second row. Beau Falloon is on an extended bench along with Jaiman Lowe.
Update July 30: South Sydney centre Beau Champion is out with a leg injury, Jamie Simpson comes into the lineup for him. Canterbury should be 1-17 although Shane Neumann could be a late withdrawal with the same injury that forced him from the field last weekend.
|=| Follow The NRL Tweet for more |=|
 |=| NRL Tweet's Prediction: BULLDOGS by 2 =  ?

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|=| Penrith Panthers 2nd: 11-7, 449-352, +97, 26pts .
|=| North Queensland Cowboys 14th: 5-13, 333-484, -151, 14pts .
|=| The NRL Tweet's Game Notes From CUA: See Results Article on Monday.
|=| Wednesday's Market: PEN $1.25 v NQL $4.00 (Graphic is Tuesday's Team Lineup)
|=| Recent Clashes: Penrith have won 4 of the last 6 clashes between the teams. Interestingly the Cowboys haven't played the Panthers at CUA since 2007.
|=| Wednesday's Preview: Crucial game for Penrith's Top 2 aspirations and if they get stung by the Cowboys at CUA - they might find themselves in a real battle for a Top 4 spot. Coming off 3 straight losses to the Warriors, Eels & Storm - Penrith have a lot to prove over the final 6 weeks of the season and a big win against the Cowboys would be a good start. North Queensland might have got up over the Knights last weekend but they don't look like coming within three or four tries of the Panthers. That being said the Cowboys roster still has some talent but they haven't lived up to the quality that exists on the team sheet the last few years.
Penrith should win this in a canter with Luke Lewis & Luke Walsh back from injury and although the Cowboys have some points in them - this shouldn't be close.
|=| Team Selection + Fantasy News July 27 (Friday's Update with help from SMH's Late Mail): Two massive inclusions for Penrith with Luke Lewis & Luke Walsh named. Travis Burns has also pushed Wade Graham to the bench. Penrith have a six man bench with Graham, Bell, Smith, Cooper, Puletua & Iosefa named. The Cowboys have shuffled their backline - Arana Taumata goes to five-eighth & Ty Williams to the centres. Dane Hogan has been named after a nasty head knock.
Update July 30: It's unclear who the Cowboys brought to Sydney as 18th man but Ben Harris has been the guy of late. Dane Hogan looks set to play despite his head knock last weekend. The Panthers are 1-13 although the bench will still have to cut one more player from a bench of five - now that Frank Puletua was omitted.
 |=| NRL Tweet's Prediction: PANTHERS by 18 =  ?

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|=| Parramatta Eels 10th: 9-9, 313-325, -12, 22pts
|=| Sydney Roosters 3rd: 11-7, 425-416, +9, 26pts.
|=| The NRL Tweet's Game Notes From Parramatta: See Results Article on Monday.
|=| Wednesday's Market: PAR $1.55 v SYD $2.45 (Graphic is Tuesday's Team Lineup)
|=| Recent Clashes: Parramatta have won 5 of the last 7 against the Roosters. The Roosters however have won 2 of the past 3. These sides haven't played each other since Round 4 2009.
|=| Wednesday's Preview: The Hayne Automobile is definitely in-gear at this time of year (see video) but this week he comes up against the Carney... Car? Todd Carney was tremendous against the Broncos and he certainly has the x-factor to change a game that we know Jarryd Hayne has. The Roosters should get Nate Myles & Mitchell Pearce back from injury which is a massive boost but the Eels are pretty much at full strength and Hayne is well... Hayne. There should be a huge crowd at Parramatta Stadium on Saturday afternoon (even in the unfavourable 5:30pm timeslot) unless the Parra fans haven't got back on the bandwagon they abandoned at the start of the season.
It would take a brave man or woman to bet against Jarryd Hayne in this kind of form - stick with the Eels until they burn you (if they burn you).
|=| Team Selection + Fantasy News July 27 (Friday's Update with help from SMH's Late Mail): Parramatta retain the same 17 that beat Canterbury, while the Roosters have a bunch of changes. Mitchell Pearce & Nate Myles have been named despite missing last week's match, but they have lost Jared Waerea-Hargreaves and Tom Symonds to injury. Joseph Leilua is on the bench alongside Martin Kennedy who comes in for Mose Masoe.
Update July 30: Parramatta will be 1-17 and are sweet on the injury front. The Roosters will get a boost from the news Nate Myles is a certain starter after training during the week and Mitchell Pearce should also play after recovering from a hamstring injury. Don't rule out a late change on the Roosters bench though.
 |=| NRL Tweet's Prediction: EELS by 7 =  ?

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|=| Wests Tigers 4th: 11-7, 376-376, +0, 26pts
|=| Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 15th: 5-13, 258-446, -188, 14pts .
|=| The NRL Tweet's Game Notes From Leichhardt: See Results Article on Monday.
|=| Wednesday's Market: WTG $1.28 v CRO $3.65 (Graphic is Tuesday's Team Lineup)
|=| Recent Clashes: Cronulla have been owned by the Tigers in their last 10 clashes - winning just once in Round 25, 2008. The Tigers are 11-2 against Cronulla since 2003.
|=| Wednesday's Preview: Being back at Leichhardt Oval the Wests Tigers will relish the chance to rebound from a big loss to Manly. Although the Tigers had won 6 from 7 before the loss - they hadn't clicked in the way we know they can and against a Cronulla side that just cannot match them offensively - this scoreline could be anything. Gareth Ellis is back which makes the Tigers forward pack as good as it can be and that should nullify whatever advantage the Sharks may have thought they had coming into the game. It's a shame this game isn't on a Sunday afternoon but Leichhardt still rocks on a Saturday Night.
Cronulla shouldn't come within 20 points of the Wests Tigers if the Tigers are fair dinkum about challenging for the Premiership.
|=| Team Selection + Fantasy News July 27 (Friday's Update with help from SMH's Late Mail): The Tigers get a massive boost with the inclusion of influential second rower Gareth Ellis. Bryce Gibbs moves to the bench and Todd Payten to prop to make room. Beau Ryan returns from injury on the wing for Mitch Brown. The Tigers also left out Daniel Fitzhenry and included Geoff Daniela on the bench. Cronulla have made just one addition to the bench with Tim Smith joining the same 17 that lost to Canberra.
Update July 30: Wade McKinnon is unlikely to return from a hamstring strain, while Gareth Ellis is a certainty. Look for Geoff Daniela or Mitch Brown to come onto the wing and Beau Ryan moving to fullback - although Tim Sheens may recall Daniel Fitzhenry or Mark Flanagan who weren't named during the week. The Sharks will likely shave Tim Smith from their 5 man bench.
 |=| NRL Tweet's Prediction: TIGERS by 20 =  ?

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WARRIORS v TITANS|=| Warriors 6th: 10-8, 382-403, -21, 24pts.
|=| Gold Coast Titans 7th: 10-8, 361-386, -25, 24pts .
|=| The NRL Tweet's Game Notes From Mt Smart: See Results Article on Monday.
|=| Wednesday's Market: WAR $1.50 v GLD $2.60 (Graphic is Tuesday's Team Lineup)
|=| Recent Clashes: The Warriors won the first 2 clashes between the clubs in 2007 but it has been all Titans since who have won 4 straight. The Titans beat the Warriors 24-18 in Round 1 on the Gold Coast.
|=| Wednesday's Preview: This game could have a big impact on the makeup of the Top 8 come the end of the season - especially as a loss here could be a killer blow to that team's Finals chances. The game is a Sunday afternoon so we can hope the ground might be a little drier than it has been in recent weeks... if it isn't this offers the Warriors an advantage that is often overlooked. The Titans still don't have Greg Bird or Ashley Harrison but Mat Rogers was superb at five-eighth and Scott Prince is coming back into form after his hamstring strain. And then there's Preston Campbell - who is an absolute freak. The Warriors have an injury or two which upsets their structure but their halves James Maloney & Brett Seymour area playing more games together and that can only be a good thing.
Toughest game of the Round to pick and not even Home Ground advantage lets me overlook the loss of Jerome Ropati - Titans gained a lot of self belief from beating the Dragons and they'll win again here.
|=| Team Selection + Fantasy News July 27 (Friday's Update with help from SMH's Late Mail): The Warriors have lost Jerome Ropati & Kevin Locke to injuries sustained against the Rabbitohs and have named Lewis Brown at centre and young Bill Tupou on the wing. Ukuma Ta'ai starts in the second row for Brown, while Ben Matulino pushes Jesse Royal to the bench. Jacob Lillyman & Joel Moon join the bench. The Titans have made no changes - although Luke O'Dwyer is back into the 18 after being omitted from the team that beat the Dragons last Friday.
Update July 30: The Warriors will choose between Jacob Lillyman and Joel Moon on game day for the last bench spot, although Moon may find himself shuffled into the centres and Lewis Brown to back to the second row. The Titans will have a choice to make themselves with Luke O'Dwyer, Ben Ridge and Shannon Walker vying for two spots on the bench.
 |=| NRL Tweet's Prediction: TITANS by 4 =  ?

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|=| Melbourne Storm 16th: 10-8, 357-275, +82, 0pts.
|=| Canberra Raiders 11th: 8-10, 331-381, -50, 20pts..
|=| The NRL Tweet's Game Notes From AAMI: See Results Article on Monday.
|=| Wednesday's Market: MEL $1.45 v CAN $2.75 (Graphic is Tuesday's Team Lineup)
|=| Recent Clashes: Up until Round 16 last season - Canberra had been Melbourne's guaranteed two points every season. In fact not only have Canberra lost 20 of the past 26 meetings with the Storm, they are just 1 from 13 in Melbourne.
|=| Wednesday's Preview: Melbourne may not be playing for anything in 2010 but at home they are certainly a better team than on the road in this current situation. Canberra on the other hand can't seem to figure out how to play their best at home or away. Recently the Raiders have won 3 in a row but they had a deplorable month before that and it has left them walking the Finals tightrope. Melbourne have no pressure on them as the season winds down and we'll hopefully see more of the care-free footy they've given us glimpses of since the Cap Rort broke. The Raiders can afford one maybe two losses in their last six games but their differential is so poor it is realistically only one... they need to win this game but it is hard to see them overcoming Melbourne's quality despite the mindset difference.
The Storm just beat Canberra - that's what they do and they'll do it again on Sunday unless half their star quartet doesn't play.
|=| Team Selection + Fantasy News July 27 (Friday's Update with help from SMH's Late Mail): Melbourne have rested Bryan Norrie but coach Craig Bellamy indicated quite a few Melbourne players are carrying niggles and we may see a superstar or two join Norrie on the sidelines this weekend. Dane Nielsen holds Chase Stanley out of the lineup for the second week in a row. Jeff Lima is back on the bench along with Kevin Proctor. Canberra have named Scott Logan but the big prop is unlikely to play with a finger injury. David Shillington is back in the team after he missed last week with a stomach bug. Danny Galea is likely on standby. Canberra could get Alan Tongue, Glen Buttriss and Shaun Fensom back in a few weeks. Joel Thompson remains sidelined with a groin injury.
Update July 30: Who knows what team Melbourne will run out with... the talk of resting key players has persisted through the week so punters beware. The only confirmed player rested is Bryan Norrie. Canberra will probably have Scott Logan despite a finger injury having him in doubt during the week and have taken David Milne (and Glen Buttriss) to Canberra as cover for Josh Dugan. Roll the dice here Fantasy Team wise... but don't be shocked if any of the Big Four of Slater, Smith, Cronk or Inglis don't play.
 |=| NRL Tweet's Prediction: STORM by 12 =  ?

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|=| Brisbane Broncos 9th: 9-9, 412-375, +37, 22pts.
|=| St.George-Illawarra Dragons 1st: 13-5, 381-193, +188, 30pts.
|=| The NRL Tweet's Game Notes From Suncorp: See Results Article on Monday.
|=| Wednesday's Market: BRI $2.15 v STI $1.70 (Graphic is Tuesday's Team Lineup)
|=| Recent Clashes: Brisbane have won 2 of the last 3 games against St.George-Illawarra but only 2 of the last 10. But the last game that mattered was the Semi Final last year which saw Brisbane knock the Dragons out of the competition. 
|=| Wednesday's Preview: Corker of a game in Brisbane for Sunday Afternoon Football. St.George-Illawarra have been below par the last two weeks for a win over Souths and a loss to the Titans - yet remain 4 points clear at the top of the table. Brisbane had a long break between their win over the Titans and their loss to the Roosters on Monday Night - and found themselves fall out of the Top 8. On paper this game is only missing Justin Hodges, Michael Weyman & Ben Te'o - so it is a tasty prospect. The Dragons haven't responded well to games when the opposition pack bashes them and Jamie Soward hasn't coped well with a lack of field position and kick-pressure. Ben Hornby is the player who needs to take charge and although the Broncos have the best player on the field in Darren Lockyer - the Dragons defence might stand up to the Broncos pack this week and lay the platform for Hornby's influence.
Brisbane were flat against the Roosters but even if they spark to life - one has to expect St.George-Illawarra to do the same and on the back of their pack I expect the Dragons to win a bruising battle in Brisbane.
|=| Team Selection + Fantasy News July 27 (Friday's Update with help from SMH's Late Mail): Brisbane lost Ben Te'o to a broken foot in the 1st half against the Roosters - the good news is Matt Gillett is a superb replacement and he'll start in the second row. Scott Anderson, Lagi Setu & Ashton Sims join the bench for Brisbane. The Dragons have added Nick Emmett to the 17 that lost to the Titans at WIN Jubilee. Mark Gasnier is once again on the bench. Jeremy Smith started last weekend at prop, which may explain what Wayne Bennett plans on doing with their backrow logjam.
Update July 30: Mark Gasnier might start his first game of the season here, which would mean one of Beau Scott, Ben Creagh, Neville Costigan or Dean Young could find themselves on the bench. Nick Emmett or Jon Green might miss out when the squad is trimmed to 17. The Broncos named 19 players but it looks like two of Josh McGuire, Mitchell Dodds, Soctt Anderson, Lagi Setu & Ashton Sims will be cut. Antonio Winterstein is in some doubt but the Sunday game helps his chances, while Nathan Fien is aiming to make a NSW Cup comeback this weekend. Justin Hodges is a million to one of making his comeback... but I guess that still makes him a chance.
 |=| NRL Tweet's Prediction: DRAGONS by 10 =  ?

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|=| Newcastle Knights 12th: 7-11, 361-449, -88, 18pts .
|=| Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 5th: 10-8, 438-364, +74, 24pts .
|=| The NRL Tweet's Game Notes From EnergyAustralia: See Results Article on Monday.
|=| Wednesday's Market: NEW $2.65 v MAN $1.48 (Graphic is Tuesday's Team Lineup)
|=| Recent Clashes: Manly & Newcastle have split their last 10 meetings but Manly have won 3 of the last 4. Although this game is in Newcastle - these sides haven't played at Brookvale since 2006.
|=| Wednesday's Preview: Newcastle's season is over after their loss in Townsville and a rash of injuries in that game puts them at a distinct disadvantage here against the Sea Eagles. Manly just overpowered the Tigers at Bluetongue and they have clicked into gear once more with the return from injury of Jamie Lyon. When Lyon is fit - the Manly halves seem to play with all the confidence in the world and Newcastle might be on the receiving end of another Manly massacre here. But the game is at EnergyAustralia and the Knights can pile on some points when the spirit moves them. Kurt Gidley moving to halfback isn't an indication for what Newcastle coach Rick Stone plans to do next year... it's just the Knights don't have another option he trusts to play with Jarrod Mullen in the halves anymore.
You just can't tip Newcastle here given their season ended last week and Manly's surge towards September seems to have just begun - Manly to win even if Newcastle start well.
|=| Team Selection + Fantasy News July 27 (Friday's Update with help from SMH's Late Mail): Newcastle have moved Kurt Gidley to halfback and recalled Shannon McDonnell to fullback after losing Ben Rogers to injury. Con Mika starts in the second row for Cameron Ciraldo. Cooper Vuna moves to the wing for the injured James McManus and Adam MacDougall has been named at centre. Isaac De Gois is in doubt with Mark Taufua & Ciraldo on an extended bench as cover. Manly have kept the same 17 that beat the Tigers and Matt Cross remains 18th man. 
Update July 30: Newcastle could be without Junior Sa'u, Adam MacDougall, Daniel Tolar & Isaac De Gois with a bunch of injuries which would throw the team into chaos plugging the gaps. De Gois has a hamstring strain so he'd be in the most doubt. The upside might be a chance for Rick Stone to promote some fringe players to key positions but we'll just have to wait and see given it is a Monday Night game. Manly will once again cut Matt Cross from their bench.
 |=| NRL Tweet's Prediction: SEA EAGLES by 12 =  ?

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|=| The NRL Tweet's 2010 Tipping Record To Date... 91/144 @ 63%!
|=| Round by Round: 5/8 - 6/8 - 7/8 - 6/8 - 5/8 - 5/8 - 5/8 - 6/8 - 1/4 - 6/8 - 3/5 - 5/7 - 5/8 - 2/5 - 4/7 - 2/8 - 3/5 - 3/7 - 7/8 - 5/8.
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|=| NOT The Footy Show |=|
|=| Round 21 Preview - Episode 32 Podcast |=|

| View all the NOT The Footy Show Videos HERE |
1. See the description above!
8. Get it on iTunes now!
Cheers Waz & Dave
(& Nic will be back)

NOT The Footy Show
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|=| Here are the NOT THE FOOTY SHOW Videos for Round 21 |=|
|=| NOT The Footy Show Episode 32 - NRL Round 21 Video Preview |=|
You can subscribe to the audio only podcast on iTunes by entering this link into your 'Subcribe to Podcast' option or via the iTunes Podcast directory.
NRL 2010 - NRL Rookie of the Year + ROUND 21 PREVIEW - NOT The Footy Show Episode 32
NRL 2010 - Jarryd Hayne's Planes, Trains & Automobiles - NOT The Footy Show Episode 32 Promo
|=| NOT The Footy Show - Episode 08 - Kick-Off 2010 Sideline Challenge Promo! |=|
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