Thursday 15 July 2010

NRL Tips Round 19 2010 + NOT The Footy Show Episode 30 Video + Podcast Preview

Here are The NRL Tweet's Previews & Tips of Round 19 of the 2010 NRL Premiership.
(Subscribe to the NOT The Footy Show Podcasts via iTunes HERE)

|=| Just when it appeared the NRL would take centre stage again with State of Origin finished for 2010... the new findings from the Deloitte Investigation into the Melbourne Storm's Salary Cap Breaches will dominate the next few days.
On the field the NRL is back to a full slate of 8 games in Round 19.
Here are the Round 19 Previews with the NRL Tweet's Fantasy + Team Selection News - Updated Friday July 16.
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|=| The NOT THE FOOTY SHOW Podcasts |=|
This week's Podcast Episode 30:

Deloitte's Melbourne Storm Salary Cap Investigation Recap + Round 19 Preview
|=| We have the findings from the Deloitte Investigation into the Melbourne Storm Salary Cap Breaches... Waz takes you through what we learnt + Waz & Nic look at why Rivalry Round is a joke + Our Round 19 Preview + Round 18 in Review + Heaps of Talking Points: Why Refs can get so much more right on the field + Why Field Goals are under used + Why More Players are using the synthetic ACL replacement surgery + Third Man Thaiday rears its ugly head again & Mark Minichiello is the fall-guy + The NFL comes to Parramatta Stadium AGAIN! + A fair chunk of change more on Episode 30.
|=| With your hosts Nic & Waz on NOT The Footy Show! |=|
This week's Video - Short Version of the Podcast

|=| The NOT THE FOOTY SHOW Videos |=|
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|=| NRL Round 19 Schedule |=|
 - All Team News is updated one final time on Friday July 16 thanks to SMH League Site LeagueHQ  -
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Top 8: Dragons 28, Panthers 26, Tigers 24, Roosters 22, Titans 22, Warriors 22, Rabbitohs 20, Broncos 20.
Bottom 8: Sea Eagles 20, Eels 18, Knights 18, Bulldogs 16, Raiders 16, Sharks 14, Cowboys 12, Storm 0*.
* Melbourne were stripped off all their 2010 points after rorting the Salary Cap.
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|=| NRL ROUND 19 PREVIEW |=| July 16-19, 2010 |=|
|=| South Sydney Rabbitohs 5th: 8-7, 405/335, +70, 20pts.
|=| St.George-Illawarra Dragons 1st: 12-4, 355/169, +186, 28pts.
|=| The NRL Tweet's Game Notes From ANZ: See Results Article on Monday.
|=| Wednesday's Market: SOU $2.60 v STI $1.50 (Graphic is Tuesday's Team Lineup)
|=| Wednesday's Preview: South Sydney have blown a couple of leads in games in the final ten minutes lately and the continued absence of Issac Luke makes this clash with the Dragons extremely tough. While Luke was present for the Manly loss, you would think the Bunnies beat the Roosters with him last week. With the Dragons visiting ANZ - things look bleak for the Bunnies. Beau Falloon did an ok job in Luke's place but he's not a game-changer and against the Dragons you need every one of those at your disposal. The Dragons are rested and may re-unite the Mark Gasnier-Brett Morris combination in this game. But remember St.George-Illawarra are coming off a last start loss - so they aren't in all-conquering form... but the Dragons are still my pick to beat the Rabbitohs.
|=| Team Selection + Fantasy News July 15 (Friday's Update with help from SMH's Late Mail): South Sydney have kept the faith with the 17 beaten in the last 5 minutes by the Roosters. The Dragons had the bye - yet the naming of Brett Morris is a surprise given he was thought to be out a month with a medial strain in his knee. Kyle Stanley was named at centre but will be rested - expect Mark Gasnier to start at centre. Jeremy Smith has a calf injury and is also out. Trent Merrin will start alongside Matt Prior in the front row with Michael Weyman another week from returning.
Update July 16: Brett Morris will play, Kyle Stanley is rested and Mark Gasnier should start. The Bunnies are fine.
 |=| NRL Tweet's Prediction: DRAGONS by 7 =  ?
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|=| Gold Coast Titans 4th: 9-7, 340/352, -12, 22pts.
|=| Brisbane Broncos 8th: 8-8, 358/331, +27, 20pts
|=| The NRL Tweet's Game Notes From Skilled: See Results Article on Monday.
|=| Wednesday's Market: GLD $1.97 v BRI $1.85 (Graphic is Tuesday's Team Lineup)
|=| Wednesday's Preview: If Brisbane win this game they could leap from 8th to 3rd if results go their way - at worst they will move past the Titans as both will have 22 points (Brisbane's differential is superior). Brisbane are a team many people like the look of come Finals time and the Titans still look a strike player or two short of a genuine contender for the title. With Anthony Laffranchi in doubt - the balance definitely swings to the rested Broncos and you would think Darren Lockyer can steer the vistors around Skilled Park with his undoubted class - despite the presence of Scott Prince on the other side of the field. Brisbane to win this one.
|=| Team Selection + Fantasy News July 15 (Friday's Update with help from SMH's Late Mail):
Despite naming an unchanged 17 from the team that lost to the Wests Tigers - there is some doubt surrounding Anthony Laffranchi for the Titans. Steven Michaels has also been named on an extended bench. The Broncos come off the bye and get Alex Glenn back in the centres, but there is still no Lagi Setu. Nick Kenny retains his starting spot.
Update July 16: Anthony Laffranchi is firming as a starter despite a calf injury, Steven Michaels will likely miss out. Broncos are 1-17.
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 |=| NRL Tweet's Prediction: BRONCOS by 8 =  ?
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|=| Warriors 6th: 9-7, 341/359, -18, 22pts
|=| Melbourne Storm 16th: 9-7, 333/252, +81, 0pts.
|=| The NRL Tweet's Game Notes From Mt Smart: See Results Article on Monday.
|=| Wednesday's Market: WAR $1.65 v MEL $2.25 (Graphic is Tuesday's Team Lineup)
|=| Wednesday's Preview: Have to give the Warriors all the credit they deserve for beating the 2nd ranked team in the NRL - and scoring just 12 points in the process. Defence won them the game against the Panthers at CUA but they'll have to repeat that performance against a Melbourne team that will be fired up in the wake of the findings from the Deloitte Report into the club's Salary Cap Scandal. Melbourne are a team that are tough to tip now given they play for nothing but these findings show that this is the last eight weeks of this current team's lifespan and betting against the Storm making a statement in the final two months of the year is foolish. So we'll tip the Storm to beat the Warriors in Auckland.
|=| Team Selection + Fantasy News July 15 (Friday's Update with help from SMH's Late Mail): The Warriors lost impressive young halfback Isaac John to season-ending knee surgery from the win over Penrith but get an impressive quartet back for the Storm - Lance Hohaia, Brent Tate, Kevin Locke & Brett Seymour return. The Storm in the wake of the new findings from the Deloitte Report on the Storm's Salary Cap Breaches have added Ryan Hoffman to the 17 that were beaten 20-18 by the Bulldogs.
Update July 16: Neither side is reporting any injuries, Todd Lowrie could drop out of the Melbourne team if Ryan Hoffman is included. Sione Lousi or Ukuma Ta'ai will miss out for the Warriors.
 |=| NRL Tweet's Prediction: STORM by 2 =  ?
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|=| Penrith Panthers 2nd: 11-5, 411-300, +111, 26pts
|=| Parramatta Eels 10th: 7-9, 247/281, -34, 18pts
|=| The NRL Tweet's Game Notes From CUA: See Results Article on Monday.
|=| Wednesday's Market: PEN $1.55 v PAR $2.45 (Graphic is Tuesday's Team Lineup)
|=| Wednesday's Preview: Penrith threw everything at the Warriors last Sunday... and still only scored one try. The Eels on the other hand ran all over a woeful Cowboys team and scored six tries. Jarryd Hayne had a hat-trick and looked in great touch - but the Eels still have a ways to go before they are a genuine playoff team. But the Panthers won't have Luke Lewis and the under-rated Matthew Bell and their replacements Nathan Smith & Frank Puletua don't instill much fear in opponents. Danger game for the Panthers who looked out of ideas against the Warriors - and the Eels might just have their second phase football back and rather shockingly - that's why I'm picking Parramatta to beat Penrith at CUA.
|=| Team Selection + Fantasy News July 15 (Friday's Update with help from SMH's Late Mail):
Luke Lewis is a massive omission from the team sheet on Tuesday for Penrith. Although there is a chance he will play - it looks like the Panthers are paying the price for playing him injured against the Warriors. Nathan Smith starts at lock for Lewis. Matt Bell is also out. Frank Pritchard returns and Frank Puletua & Masada Iosefa join the bench. For the Eels - no changes from the 17 that defeated the Cowboys last Monday Night - although Matt Keating would be in some doubt after a head knock forced him from the field in that game.
Update July 16: Penrith will likely cut Masada Iosefa from their bench. The Eels have not given any indication Matt Keating will not play.
 |=| NRL Tweet's Prediction: EELS by 6 =  ?
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|=| Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 14th: 5-11, 227/378, -151, 14pts.
|=| Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 9th: 8-7, 352/326, +26, 20pts.
|=| The NRL Tweet's Game Notes From Toyota: See Results Article on Monday.
|=| Wednesday's Market: CRO $2.75 v MAN $1.45 (Graphic is Tuesday's Team Lineup)
|=| Wednesday's Preview: If the Sharks had played half decently against the Knights in Newcastle they may have just won... because the Knights weren't particularly good - it was just the Sharks despite some great field position offered nothing in attack. The effort is there but the options are not. Tim Smith has finally been sacked after doing didly at halfback for weeks and John Morris is the new #7. The Sea Eagles fell to Canberra at Brookvale and will be pumped up deluxe to hand Cronulla a big loss at Toyota. Jamie Lyon should be more involved after a tentative return from an ankle injury and he's vital to Manly doing anything in 2010. Take Manly with some confidence.
|=| Team Selection + Fantasy News July 15 (Friday's Update with help from SMH's Late Mail):
Matt Cross is the only addition for the Sea Eagles - who have him on a 5 man bench. The Sharks have dropped Tim Smith after a string of ineffective performances, move John Morris to halfback and give Paul Aiton the start at hooker. Grant Millington is also named to return from a nasty head cut.
Update July 16: Trent Barrett & John Morris are in serious doubt for the Sharks with Tim Smith, Scott Porter & Albert Kelly all on standby. Kade Snowden will try to overcome a back injury to play. Manly are as per program. Late Update July 16: Barrett is out with Tim Smith coming in and Blake Ferguson has also been ruled out with Isaac Gordon coming in.
|=| Follow The NRL Tweet for more |=|
 |=| NRL Tweet's Prediction: SEA EAGLES by 14 =  ?
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|=| Canberra Raiders 13th: 6-10, 259/350, -92, 16pts.
|=| Newcastle Knights 11th: 7-9, 319/369, -50, 18pts
|=| The NRL Tweet's Game Notes From Canberra: See Results Article on Monday.
|=| Wednesday's Market: CAN $1.48 v NEW $2.65 (Graphic is Tuesday's Team Lineup)
|=| Wednesday's Preview: Canberra broke a four match losing streak by beating Manly at Brookvale - which is no mean feat but continue to struggle for points in the second half. Still a win is a win as they say and the Raiders were happy to steal one after throwing away all four games over the last month. The Knights are on a three match winning streak to get within 2 points of the Top 8 but aren't playing great football. To be honest if this game was in Newcastle you couldn't pay me to tip the Raiders but it is in Canberra... and despite recent history suggesting the Raiders can't win at home - I'm picking Canberra by a Terry Campese field goal.
|=| Team Selection + Fantasy News July 15 (Friday's Update with help from SMH's Late Mail):
Canberra have lost Shaun Fensom to an ankle injury, Troy Thompson and could still lose Adam Mogg to a back injury. Sam Mataora, Scott Logan & Danny Galea have joined the bench. Joe Picker will start for Tom Learoyd-Lahrs again - with the big unit coming off the bench. No sign of Joel Thompson in the Tuesday team but he might be a late inclusion coming back from a groin injury. Newcastle take the same 17 that defeated Cronulla to Canberra.
Update July 16: No word of any changes for the Knights or Raiders.
 |=| NRL Tweet's Prediction: RAIDERS by 1 =  ?
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|=| Sydney Roosters 7th: 9-7, 355/354, +1, 22pts.
|=| Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 12th: 6-10, 324/333, -9, 16pts.
|=| The NRL Tweet's Game Notes From SFS: See Results Article on Monday.
|=| Wednesday's Market: SYD $1.68 v CBY $2.20 (Graphic is Tuesday's Team Lineup)
|=| Wednesday's Preview: Important game for the Roosters to hold onto their toe hold on the Top 4 but a huge game for the Bulldogs who need to keep their current 3 match winning streak alive for as long as possible to stay in Top 8 contention. For that reason alone you'd favour the Bulldogs but they are playing up and down football still (admittedly that's better than the all-down style they played in their long losing streak) but the Roosters ground out a fine win over South Sydney on Friday Night and were good enough to win the game in the final 5 minutes. The Bulldogs have beaten Canberra, Cronulla & Melbourne in their last 3 games... if they add the Roosters to that bunch I'll take them seriously. But for the time being - I'm tipping the Sydney Roosters at home.
|=| Team Selection + Fantasy News July 15 (Friday's Update with help from SMH's Late Mail):
Nate Myles is a big inclusion for the Roosters - who missed him against the Rabbitohs and Phillip Graham is also back on the wing. Joseph Leilua is out with a shoulder injury and so is Mose Masoe. The Bulldogs are unchanged from the team that defeated the Storm in Adelaide.
Update July 16: Nate Myles is still not 100% and if ruled out will be replaced by Mose Masoe, Lopini Paea or Tom Symonds. Luke Patten trained with the Bulldogs after recovering from his head knock in Adelaide. Late Update July 16: There is a whisper that Joseph Leilua may play... despite injuring his shoulder against Souths. Myles won't be cleared until Saturday.
 |=| NRL Tweet's Prediction: ROOSTERS by 4 =  ?
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|=| Wests Tigers 3rd: 10-6, 330/322, +8, 24pts.
|=| North Queensland Cowboys 15th: 4-12, 289/434, -145, 12pts.
|=| The NRL Tweet's Game Notes From Leichhardt: See Results Article on Monday.
|=| Wednesday's Market: WTG $1.31 v NQL $3.50 (Graphic is Tuesday's Team Lineup)
|=| Wednesday's Preview: Heading into this clash we have one team who have only lost one game in their last seven matches up against another side that has won just one game from their last seven. In other words the Wests Tigers are winning a lot and the North Queensland Cowboys are losing a lot. Parramatta were the latest team to beat up the Johnathan Thurston-led Cowboys and only a brave & stupid North Queensland fan will tip the Cowboys on the road at Leichhardt. For the Tigers - Robbie Farah has been nothing short of brilliant the past two weeks and Benji Marshall's 50m field goal might just be a sign he's about to explode... the Wests Tigers should win this by a few tries at least.
|=| Team Selection + Fantasy News July 15 (Friday's Update with help from SMH's Late Mail):
The Tigers are a chance of getting backrower Gareth Ellis back from a groin injury and his inclusion would seal the deal in this one. Without Ellis the Tigers still beat the Titans but only just. With Robert Lui named again at halfback (but didn't play last week), Chris Lawrence goes back to centre and either Geoff Daniela or Mitch Brown will play on the wing. John Skandalis made another comeback in NSW Cup a few weeks ago and has been named on the bench. Andrew Fifita is out. North Queensland get Luke O'Donnell back from suspension - although the backrower announced today he will go to the UK Super League in 2011. Anthony Watts will miss with a one week suspension for a spear tackle on Nathan Cayless.
Update July 16: Tigers will trim their bench on Sunday, while the Cowboys have yet to announce who will replace the suspended Anthony Watts on their bench. Late Update July 16: is reporting Robert Lui may miss this game again... Mitch Brown to wing and shuffle the rest infield.
 |=| NRL Tweet's Prediction: TIGERS by 16 =  ?
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|=| The NRL Tweet's 2010 Tipping Record To Date... 79/128 @ 62%!
|=| Round by Round: 5/8 - 6/8 - 7/8 - 6/8 - 5/8 - 5/8 - 5/8 - 6/8 - 1/4 - 6/8 - 3/5 - 5/7 - 5/8 - 2/5 - 4/7 - 2/8 - 3/5 - 3/7.
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|=| NOT The Footy Show |=|
|=| Deloitte's Melbourne Storm Cap Investigation Recap + Round 19 Preview - Episode 30 Podcast |=|

| View all the NOT The Footy Show Videos HERE |
|=| What's on NOT THE FOOTY SHOW EPISODE 30? |=|
1. Nic & Waz talking league... what more could you want?
2. We have the findings from the Deloitte Investigation into the Melbourne Storm Salary Cap Breaches... Waz takes you through what we learnt on Thursday July 15.
3. Nic & Waz look at why The NRL's Rivalry Round is a joke... despite the NRL's best intentions they swing and miss on at least two games in Round 19 as both have zero rivalry. We have one simple suggestion to get it right - that you've gotta hear.
4. All the Round 18 Moments.
5. Some Big Talking Points This Week:

a. Why Refs can get so much more right on the field... The NFL Game that keeps breaking out at Parramatta Stadium is just one example of why refereeing could be so much better.
b. Why Field Goals are under used – Teams could save themselves an awful lot of last minute pain by taking the early field goal, but how early should they look for one?
c. Why More Players are using the synthetic ACL replacement surgery - but what is the downside to getting back on the field in under 3 months?
d. Why Sam Thaiday continues to make a mockery of the Third Man In Rule - we spoke of this last week and bingo - Mark Minichiello becomes the fall guy for Thaiday's transgressions in Origin.
6. Plus all our Tips + Previews of NRL Round 19 + Our Tipping Records + Our Special Fried Rice Picks this week.
7. Check it out on iTunes now!
Cheers Waz & Nic
NOT The Footy Show
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|=| Here are the NOT THE FOOTY SHOW Videos for Round 19 |=|
|=| NOT The Footy Show Episode 30 - NRL Round 19 Video Preview (July 15) |=|
|=| NOT The Footy Show - Episode 08 - Kick-Off 2010 Sideline Challenge Promo! |=|
|=| Follow the NRL on Twitter @NRLTweet via - we've got a special Player of the Year Award voted for by the Fans. See the Leaderboard below!
|=| NRL Tweet Player of the Year Award - Round 18 Voting Complete.
Check out the leaderboard above.
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