Thursday 17 October 2013

#NFL 2013: Week 7 Picks - Head to Head and with Spread | #nflpicks #nflpickem

- AFC and NFC Picks - Head to Head and with the Spread -
By The Postman, October 17, 2013

WEEKLY RECAP: Week 6 was a resounding success - going 12-3 in Head to Head and a respectable 8-7 with the spread. Are we back? Let's find out in Week 7.

H2H UPSETS PICKED: Went with 3 Upsets in Week 6 and got 2 of them - Pittsburgh at NY Jets and San Diego at home to Indianapolis. Missed on Baltimore at home with Green Bay getting home 19-17. So 2 from 3 Correct (per Pick'Em favourite/underdog listing).

H2H LESSONS LEARNED: Finally got off the NY Giants train... they might win 4 of their next 5 but it felt good to take Chicago with some confidence last Friday. Minnesota were bad at home dropping a 35-10 game to Carolina who aren't much better despite the scoreline... Kansas City keep on winning and it took Tom Brady magic to beat the Saints. St Louis over Houston confirms that the Rams are unreliable, while the Texans are ordinary at the moment and their QB (who has been ordinary) got hurt... Other than that - San Diego continue to be good every other week and a few other teams continue to do just enough to keep winning games they should.

Our Week 7 Picks are up next...

My 2013 NFL Season Preview and SuperBowl picks are here - and every week throughout the NFL in 2013 I will be posting my picks here on and via @wdnicolson.

Last year in the Yahoo! Sports Pro Football Pick'em competition I managed to finish in the 98th percentile (so Top 2%) of tipsters across the world... completely surprising myself by using the rule of thumb I (for some reason) refuse to back entirely in my NRL Tipping (that is pick favourites and then pick favourites and then, and only then... pick favourites and maybe one or two gut picks - which doesn't hurt you as much with up to 16 NFL games a week v 8 NRL games).

Week 7 begins with Seattle visiting Arizona on Friday Morning Australian time, after a 12-3 H2H week - dare we dream for a perfecto?
=====WEEK 7 PICKS===== 

Head to Head Picks per Yahoo! Pick'Em Overall League:
TNF: Seattle over Arizona; Sunday: Atlanta over Tampa Bay, Cincinnati+ over Detroit, Miami over Buffalo, New England over NY Jets, Dallas+ over Philadelphia, Washington over Chicago, Carolina over St Louis, San Diego over Jacksonville, San Francisco over Tennessee, Green Bay over Cleveland, Kansas City over Houston, Baltimore+ over Pittsburgh; SNF: Denver over Indianapolis, MNF: NY Giants over Minnesota.
Quick Notes: Give Chicago, St Louis, Houston and even Jacksonville hope this weekend... but going with the head pick over the gut pick on a few here. Surely Eli Manning doesn't lose at home to Josh 'I've been a Viking 7 days' Freeman?
* Home Upset + Away Upset
Year to Date: 57/92 @ 62.0%
Week 1: 11-5 (Overall Rank 20,862 - 65th percentile)
Week 2: 10-6 (Overall Rank 25,998 - 59th percentile)
Week 3: 8-8 (Overall Rank 20,274 - 64th percentile)
Week 4: 10-6 (Overall Rank 21,269 - 68th percentile)
Week 5: 7-7 (Overall Rank 24,952 - 63rd percentile)
Week 6: 12-3 (Overall Rank 13,877 - 79th percentile)

'With the Spread' Picks per my Yahoo! Pick'Em League:
Seattle -6.5, Atlanta -7.0, Cincinnati +2.5, Miami -8.5, New England -4.0, Dallas +2.5, Washington -1.0, Carolina -6.0, San Diego -7.5, San Francisco -4.0, Green Bay -10.0, Houston +6.5, Baltimore +1.5, Denver -6.5, NY Giants -3.5.
Year to Date: 42-48-2 @ 46.7%
Week 1: 4-11-1
Week 2: 6-10-0
Week 3: 8-7-1
Week 4: 10-5-0
Week 5: 6-8-0
Week 6: 8-7-0

You can tweet me your NFL picks every week @wdnicolson and I will list my final picks from that account every Thursday Night.
You can join the Pro Football Pick'em League I'm in here - which is a 'SPREAD' competition (Tony Kornheiser's Radio Show Group - so if you join best you are somewhat familiar with who TK is and possibly his radio show or PTI). | Group ID#: 35104 | Password: andy | Or just join the regular Pick'em Overall league.
During 2013 I will be reading Peter King's 'THE MMQB' Website every week - I suggest you do the same.