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Thursday, 21 June 2012

NRL 2012: Round 16 NRL Preview Tips Teams Predictions Late Mail Podcast Odds

NRL ROUND 16 TIPPING PREVIEW
By W D Nicolson 

Okay first the good news - NOT The Footy Show Episode 112 is a cracker with SMH journo Brad Walter mapping out what's next for Fairfax and Football after the news of job cuts at the media giant. Plus Maria Tsialis talks Women in League Round, Matt Duncan previews Round 16 and DC Chapman waffles on like a good Belgian. Plus it is only 70 minutes long so it's worth a trying out at least once in your lifetime.

The bad news is - time has once again not been kind here at www.wdnicolson.com and you have to settle for the reduced Round 16 Preview article for the second straight week.

My apologies.

So if you want the reason we we've tipped who we have - please listen to the Podcast and get yourself a dose of prognostications from the NOT The Footy Show tipping panel.

As for my tipping - I tempted fate last weekend by writing this - (my tipping) it's going ok (in fact a little better than that but let's not tempt fate) - and after writing that you'll see that my picks are slightly more adventurous than normal.

Well I was a goose and didn't stick to the 'pick favourites' formula that had been good to me for the previous six weeks before that and was left clinging to life with a 2 from 7 week.

So hopefully by going favourite central for Round 16 - we'll all be better off for it this week.

Full Round 16 Tips are Broncos by 14, Dragons by 7, Cowboys by 12, Panthers by 2, Storm by 10, Sea Eagles by 4 and Tigers by 4.

My 'Locks' are the Broncos, Cowboys and Storm. My 'Less than Confidents' are Dragons and Sea Eagles, while my 'Don't put the house on Its' are the Eels could beat the Panthers and the Knights upset the Tigers. But at the same time can't actually bring myself to tip them... not after last week's 'too much faith in outsiders' week.

All the panel's picks are below with their Special Fried Rice selections. I have updated the NRL Injured List with all of this week's Late Mail as well as below in streamlined form.


Round 16 Late Mail...
Broncos v Rabbitohs
Corey Parker will play with a protective shin guard, but Ben Hannant has a quad strain and is out. Dunamis Lui or Mitchell Dodds will be 17th man. Greg Inglis should play, while Justin Hunt should keep Shaune Corrigan out of the starting team. Nathan Peats is favoured to also win the final bench spot ahead of Corrigan and George Burgess.
Dragons v Titans
Beau Champion and Matthew White are out, replaced by Steve Michaels and probably Michael Henderson. William Zillman and Jamal Idris are also questionable, with Dominique Peyroux and Phil Graham flying to Sydney as cover. The Dragons should be 1-17.
Cowboys v Raiders
Cory Paterson will be 18th man for the Cowboys, unless Ricky Thorby is a late omission. Canberra will choose between Trevor Thurling and Sam Mataora on gameday.
Panthers v Eels
Luke Lewis should play, while there are a host of first grade Panthers from the start of the season in NSW Cup. Blake Austin will likely relegate Arana Taumata back to Windsor, and Austin could start for Harry Siejka. Parramatta could omit Ryan Morgan again, but having lost Reni Maitua to another suspension, he might get a reprieve and either Taulima Tautai or Taniela Lasalo will be 18th man.
Bulldogs v Storm
The Dogs expect Luke MacDougall to play with Brett Lane named in the NSW Cup, where he is likely to be joined by Martin Taupau which means either Dale Finucane or Josh Jackson will make the bench. The Storm have trained lightly due to playing on Monday but their only change on gameday might be Kevin Proctor to start for Sika Manu.
Roosters v Sea Eagles
Sam Perrett is set to play at least one more game with the Roosters, and Mose Masoe is the only bench player under threat from Tom Symonds, Tinirau Arona or Daniel Mortimer. The Sea Eagles might spring a surprise and include Tony Williams at the last minute with Vic Mauro likely to make way.
Knights v Tigers
Robbie Farah is expected to play after the tragedy last weekend, while Gareth Ellis is unlikely to make an early return from injury. Liam Fulton will not play with a rib injury and Tom Humble and Junior Moors look set to miss out to Ray Cashmere for the final bench spot. The Knights have the option of bringing in either Zane Tetevano for Chris Adams, while Dane Gagai is expected to overcome a thigh strain and play.

Normal Preview Service Resumes Next Week,,, although I would like some feedback if this is actually not that bad a format from time to time? Let me know via @NRLTweet

For more on how we see the Weekend unfolding, check out the Podcast and Preview below.
For game-specific Late Mail every week - check back on Friday (or if there's an earlier game, earlier) for all your tipping and fantasy game needs.
NRL ROUND 16 PREVIEW - 2012
21/06 Odds are courtesy of Sportingbet Australia
For some more insight into the markets check out NOT The Footy Show's new resident tipster's site GT Tips http://www.gttips.co.uk
All Kick-Offs are LOCAL time.

NOT The Footy Show Episode 112
Round 16 NRL Preview - Released Wednesday June 20, 2012

Right Click Save Target As This Link if you don't have iTunes for the MP3 File.

In the Podcast: Fairfax and Football - SMH's Brad Walter explains how coverage of Rugby League is changing.
Get NOT The Footy Show Episode 112 hosted by Warrick Nicolson and hear how the SMH will evolve even more online and discuss the 8th Immortal debate with Brad Walter, Women in League Round and Sam Kasiano with Maria Tsialis, Talk 'Refereeing' the Ruck, Inevitable injuries and how Matthew Duncan stopped the Tigers, DC Chapman explains Why Parra suck, the forgotten superstar factor and will Billy Slater play Origin 3?
Plus a full odds preview of Round 16 with Matt and Warrick. Including all our picks and Special Fried Rice selections.
NOT The Footy Show also wishes Ross Smart all the best with his new career after leaving his post as Media Manager at the Canterbury Bulldogs - enjoy your weekends again champion.

Subscribe to the Podcast via this link / Download mp3 version


LIKE the show on Facebook for all the latest updates.
NOT The Footy Show Video is taking a short hiatus - we will be back just not every week.
This year not only do you get The NRL Tweet's Tips each week but the whole NOT The Footy Show team will have their picks listed by Thursday so you can back a smoky or a favourite by seeing who we all picked (or didn't pick). 
@NRLTWEET's 2012 TIPPING RECORD 
TOTAL AFTER 15 ROUNDS - 66/110 @ 60.0%
SPECIAL FRIED RICE involves each tipster taking a 'certainty' in a set order, with the tipster with the highest score at the end of the year literally winning a mountain of Special Fried Rice.
Origin does not count in the panel tips, but DOES for NRL.com competition
ROUND 16 SELECTIONS
Broncos
Dragons
Cowboys
Panthers
Storm
Sea Eagles
Tigers
LW: 2/7 | SEASON 66/110
Special Fried Rice: BRONCOS
Season SFR: 9/15
Not on Twitter
Nic McInerney, NTFS Co-Host
Broncos
Dragons
Cowboys
Panthers
Storm
Sea Eagles
Tigers
LW: 3/7 | SEASON 66/110
Special Fried Rice: SEA EAGLES
Season SFR: 10/15
@mrpeninsula
Matt Duncan, 101.5 FM's SportsFever
Broncos
Dragons
Cowboys
Panthers
Storm
Sea Eagles
Knights
LW: 3/7 | SEASON: 61/110
Special Fried Rice: STORM
Season SFR: 9/15

Not on Twitter
DC Chapman, NTFS Co-Host
Broncos
Dragons
Cowboys
Panthers
Storm
Sea Eagles
Tigers
LW: 6/7 | SEASON 67/110
Special Fried Rice: TIGERS
Season SFR: 7/15

@mtsialis
Maria Tsialis, Big League Magazine
Broncos
Titans
Cowboys
Panthers
Bulldogs
Roosters
Tigers
LW: 4/7 | SEASON 61/110
Special Fried Rice: COWBOYS
Season SFR: 11/15

@GT_Tips
George 'GT' Taylor, GT's Tips Expert
TBA
LW: 3/7 | SEASON 61/110
Special Fried Rice: TBA
Season SFR: 8/15
Not on Twitter
Eyes, The Kid Who Sees All
Bulldogs
Cowboys
Warriors
Rabbitohs
Titans
Tigers
Sea Eagles
LW: 4/7 | SEASON 53/110
Eyes does not eat Special Fried Rice... yet.
Make sure you enter NOT The Footy Show's Tipping Competition, the outright winner walks away with an Official Steeden Match ball!
TIPS DONE, GO OUT AND ENJOY THE FOOTY!
1st Prize: NRL Match Steeden Ball. 2nd to 5th: NTFS Club Mascot T-Shirts.
CLICK FOR MOST RECENT UPDATE
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If you want a full 2012 NRL Season Preview you'll need to pick yourself up a copy of the 2012 Rugby League Almanac for just $10.00 - where every team is analysed in depth and our Predicted Ladder and Premiership pick is published.


So while you go grab a copy, here is the short sharp and boldly premature 2012 Prediction for each NRL Club. If you want our Final Ladder - see the Almanac.

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Catch NOT THE FOOTY SHOW in 2012
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