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Friday, 13 April 2012

NRL 2012: Round 7 NRL Preview Tips Teams Predictions Late Mail Fantasy News Odds

ROUND 7 NRL TIPPING PREVIEW
By W D Nicolson 

Last week, the Warriors and Tigers kept losing, Melbourne and Brisbane kept winning and Manly woke up. Right now four teams that didn't feature in the Top 8 last year sit in positions 3rd through 6th.

For more on how we see Round 7 unfolding, check out the Podcast and Preview below.

For game-specific Late Mail every week - check back on Friday (or if there's an earlier game, earlier) for all your tipping and fantasy game needs.

NOT The Footy Show Episode 101
- Round 7 Preview 2012 - Released Wednesday April 11, 2012

Right Click Save Target As This Link if you don't have iTunes for the MP3 File.

Subscribe to the Podcast via this link / Download mp3 version

If you play Fantasy League Games - Dream Team, Super Coach or Fantasy NRL - our comp information is below our Preview Section.
1st Prize: NRL Match Steeden Ball. 2nd to 5th: NTFS Club Mascot T-Shirts.
NRL PREVIEW ROUND 7 - 2012
12/04 Odds are courtesy of Sportingbet Australia
For some more insight into the markets check out NOT The Footy Show's new resident tipster's site GT Tips http://www.gttips.co.uk
All Kick-Offs are LOCAL time.


FRIDAY - APRIL 13
DRAGONS $1.60 v $2.40 KNIGHTS 
NEW +4.0 | GAME STATS | @ WIN Jubilee Oval, Kogarah. 7:40pm Kick-Off.

NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
M Spillane and B Hoese. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
Dragons are 3-3 and 11th, Knights are 3-3 and 8th.
HEAD TO HEAD LAST 10
Dragons 6 Knights 4
The away team has won the last 10 games straight.
TUESDAY TEAM NEWS

STI: B Morris, D Vidot, K Stanley, M Prior, J Nightingale, J Soward, B Hornby (c), D Hunt, M Rein, M Weyman, B Scott, B Creagh, D Young.
Bench: N Fien, J Latimore, T Merrin, J de Belin.
[Team Changes - A few changes for the Dragons - Matt Prior returns from injury to replace Nathan Green in the centres and Nathan Fien comes onto the bench for Leeson Ah Mau. Matt Cooper might be back but it is more likely he is given until after the rep weekend to recover from an ankle injury. ]

NEW: D Boyd, J McManus, J Sa'u, T Tahu, A Uate, J Mullen, T Roberts, K Snowden, D Buderus (c), R Fa'aoso, C Houston, Z Taia, N Costigan.
Bench: M Hilder, J Edwards, A Cuthbertson, A McKinnon, E Tuimavave.
[Team Changes - The Knights have only one change to the team that beat the Eels and that comes on the bench with Evarn Tuimavave recalled for the trip to Kogarah to take on the Dragons in a rematch of Round 1's season opener. ]
THURSDAY GAME PREVIEW
Listen to the Podcast for a full preview, but we like the Dragons.
The Knights are playing ok and the Dragons have struggled the past fortnight but that freakish away team stat (won last 10 straight!) is hard to ignore. No Gidley key here, Dragons to squeeze the Knights out of it.
TIPPING AND FANTASY LATE MAIL
SMH and Other Late Mail - Matt Cooper could return, while Nathan Fien should play and Matt Prior is still in some doubt. Newcastle could bring in Evarn Tuimavave before kick-off.
THE NRL TWEET'S PICK
Dragons by 7.

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NOT The Footy Show Episode 101 - NRL Round 7 Video Preview
To come Friday
1st Prize: Your name permanent markered onto our prestigious NTFS Trophy and a NTFS T-Shirt for the Top 3 finishers.
We have two comps running in Dream Team and Super Coach.

FRIDAY - APRIL 13
BRONCOS $1.46 v $2.75 RAIDERS 
CAN +6.5 | GAME STATS | @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane. 7:45pm Kick-Off.

NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
M Duncan and W Nicolson. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
Broncos are 5-1 and 2nd, Raiders are 3-3 and 6th.
HEAD TO HEAD LAST 10
Broncos 5 Raiders 5
Brisbane won both games last year.
TUESDAY TEAM NEWS

BRI: J Hoffman, G Beale, J Reed, J Hodges, D Copley, C Norman, P Wallace, B Hannant, A McCullough, P Civoniceva, A Glenn, S Thaiday (c), M Gillett.
Bench: B Hunt, J McGuire, C Parker B Te'o.
[Team Changes - Ben Te'o will challenge a 3 week suspension for a dangerous shot with his shoulder and if guilty - misses a month. Scott Anderson would be favoured to join the squad after being pushed out by the return of Corey Parker last Friday night from injury. ]

CAN: R Robinson, B Ferguson, J Croker, S Berrigan, J Wighton, T Campese (c), J McCrone, D Shillington, G Buttriss, T Learoyd-Lahrs, J Picker, B Harrison, J Papalii.
Bench: T Waddell, J Kennedy, S Mataora, D Tilse.
[Team Changes - David Shillington was a surprise return last Sunday and is starting at prop this week. Dane Tilse remains on the bench and Mark Nicholls is expected to be the 18th man. Shaun Fensom, Josh Dugan and Trevor Thurling may not be seen until after the representative weekend]
THURSDAY GAME PREVIEW
Listen to the Podcast for a full preview, but we like the Broncos.
Wallace out is a huge opening for the Raiders, if they are actually any good Campese will take full advantage, but they're and he won't - so pick Brisbane.
TIPPING AND FANTASY LATE MAIL
SMH and Other Late Mail - Peter Wallace is out with a badly swollen groin, Ben Hunt goes to halfback and Dunamis Lui joins the bench along with probably Scott Anderson or hooker Kurt Baptiste. Terry Campese should play after overcoming a knee concern, while Sam Williams travelled with the team.
THE NRL TWEET'S PICK
Broncos by 4.

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SATURDAY - APRIL 14
STORM $1.33 v $3.45 BULLDOGS 
CBY +9.5 | GAME STATS | @ AAMI Park, Melbourne. 5:30pm Kick-Off.

NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
G Delaney and C Buchanan. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
Storm are 6-0 and 1st, Bulldogs are 4-2 and 3rd.
HEAD TO HEAD LAST 10
Storm 8 Bulldogs 2
Melbourne winners of two straight here.
TUESDAY TEAM NEWS

MEL: B Slater, M Duffie, D Nielsen, W Chambers, A Quinn, G Widdop, C Cronk, J Bromwich, C Smith (c), B Norrie, K Proctor, R Hoffman, T Lowrie.
Bench: R Hinchcliffe, R Kostjasyn, S Vave, J Ryles, A Quinn.
[Team Changes - Justin O'Neill was a late inclusion (as predicted last week) and holds his spot on the wing despite the return of Anthony Quinn from a one week suspension. Maurice Blair and Jaiman Lowe have missed out again, with Kevin Proctor starting in the second row. ]

CBY: B Barba, S Turner, J Morris, J Wright, B Goodwin, J Reynolds, K Keating, A Tolman, M Ennis (c), S Kasiano, F Pritchard, D Halatau, D Stagg.
Bench: J Graham, G Eastwood, C Payne, J Romelo.
[Team Changes - No changes for the Bulldogs. They are retaining the same 17 that was beaten soundly by the Rabbitohs last Friday. Martin Taupau will travel as 18th man. ]
THURSDAY GAME PREVIEW
Listen to the Podcast for a full preview, but we like the Storm.
Dogs were woeful last week, Storm went about their business in style and rarely lost at home. Melbourne.
TIPPING AND FANTASY LATE MAIL
SMH and Other Late Mail - Dogs will be 1-17, Melbourne will leave Anthony Quinn or Rory Kostjasyn out, while Michael Greenfield could come in for Siosaia Vave.
THE NRL TWEET'S PICK
Storm by 12.

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SATURDAY - APRIL 14
SEA EAGLES $1.24 v $4.25 TITANS 
GLD +12.5 | GAME STATS | @ Brookvale Oval, Brookvale. 7:30pm Kick-Off.

NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
M Tsialis and M Vickers. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
Sea Eagles are 3-3 and 7th, Titans are 1-5 and 15th.
HEAD TO HEAD LAST 10
Sea Eagles 5 Titans 3
Manly's win last year was just their 2nd in the last 5 games.
TUESDAY TEAM NEWS

MAN: B Stewart, J Taufua, J Lyon (c), S Matai, D Williams, K Foran, D Cherry-Evans, J King (c), M Ballin, B Kite, A Watmough, J Buhrer, V Mauro.
Bench: N Skinner, J Galuvao, D Lussick, D Whare, D Harrison.
[Team Changes - Manly have named Kieran Foran (Hammy) and Brett Stewart (Ribs) after both missed Monday's win over Penrith. Vic Mauro is named to start at lock again but Glenn Stewart's return is imminent. Dean Whare is on an extended bench, while Liam Foran goes back to NSW Cup. ]

GLD: W Zillman, K Gordon, J Idris, B Champion, D Mead, A Sezer, S Prince (c), L Bailey, M Srama, L Douglas, N Myles, L O'Dwyer, A Harrison.
Bench: M White, M Henderson, M Minichiello, B Thompson, J Rankin.
[Team Changes - Has John Cartwright begun to realise that his roster needs an overhaul? Steve Michaels is finally relegated to QLD Cup with Jamal Idris to start and Aiden Sezer getting his chance at five-eighth for Jordan Rankin who is benched. Brenton Lawrence also goes to QLD Cup with Matthew White, Michael Henderson and Mark Minichiello now on the bench. ]
THURSDAY GAME PREVIEW
Listen to the Podcast for a full preview, but we like the Sea Eagles. 
The Titans are not a good team, the Sea Eagles won the comp last year - do the math.
TIPPING AND FANTASY LATE MAIL
SMH and Other Late Mail - Brett Stewart may yet play but Glenn Stewart and Kieran Foran are bigger doubts. Liam Foran would come in at five-eighth if his brother isn't fit and Dean Whare for the fullback Stewart. Mark Minichiello and Matt White are still in serious doubt, while Dom Peyroux or Steve Michaels will come in for the injured Beau Champion.
THE NRL TWEET'S PICK
Sea Eagles by 16.

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SATURDAY - APRIL 14
ROOSTERS $2.25 v $1.67 COWBOYS         
SYD +2.5 | GAME STATS | @ TIO Stadium, Darwin. 7:30pm Kick-Off.

NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
M McLucas and N Wilbow. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
Roosters are 4-2 and 5th, Cowboys are 3-3 and 9th.
HEAD TO HEAD LAST 10
Roosters 5 Cowboys 5
North Queensland have won 4 of the last 5 - but this is in Darwin.
TUESDAY TEAM NEWS

SYD: A Minichiello, J Carney, J Leilua, S Kenny-Dowall, S Perrett, B Anasta (c), M Pearce, J Waerea-Hargreaves, J Friend, M Kennedy, B Cordner, M Aubusson, T Arona.
Bench: A Guerra, L Tasi, B Takairangi, A Mitchell, D Mortimer, J Bosden.
[Team Changes - As with most mid-season Brian Smith sides - the team named is rarely reflected in the run on team. Frank-Paul Nuuausala busted his jaw and is out for 6-8 weeks, while Jack Bosden, Daniel Mortimer and Aiden Guerra are back on the bench after missing out last week. Tinirau Arona starts at lock, while yet again, Tautau Moga remains in NYC. ]

NQL: M Bowen, A Graham, B Tate, A Winterstein, K Fai-Fai Loa, J Thurston (c), R Thompson, A Sims, A Payne, J Tamou, G Cooper, G Hall, D Johnson.
Bench: J Segeyaro, S Bolton, R Thorby, T Sims, M Pangai.
[Team Changes - Scott Bolton returns on the bench at the expense of Joel Riethmuller, while Kalifa Fai-Fai Loa is finally back in first grade for the injured Kane Linnett. Matthew Scott may not be back until after the representative weekend but don't be shocked if he makes a late bid to regain his test jumper here. Mosese Pangai has travelled to Darwin (where the Roosters moved the game) as 18th man. ]
THURSDAY GAME PREVIEW
Listen to the Podcast for a full preview, but we like the Cowboys.
Great idea by the Roosters to move this game but despite being 4-2 - they'll regret leaving the SFS here. Cows to win.
TIPPING AND FANTASY LATE MAIL
SMH and Other Late Mail - The Cowboys should be 1-17 unless Matt Scott makes a late appearance, while the Roosters will likely leave Mortimer and Bosden out and Moga is a long shot.
THE NRL TWEET'S PICK
Cowboys by 14.

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SUNDAY - APRIL 15
WARRIORS $1.60 v $2.40 RABBITOHS 
SOU +4.0 | GAME STATS | @ Mt Smart Stadium, Auckland. 2:00pm Kick-Off.

NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
M Spillane and C Buchanan. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
Warriors 2-4 and 13th, Rabbitohs are 3-3 and 10th.
HEAD TO HEAD LAST 10
Warriors 6 Rabbitohs 4
Warriors won both last year.
TUESDAY TEAM NEWS

WAR: K Locke, B Tupou, B Henry, J Ropati, M Vatuvei, J Maloney, S Johnson, Sione Lousi, N Friend, B Matulino, F Mateo, S Mannering (c), E Taylor.
Bench: R Packer, U Ta'ai, K Hurrell, Sam Rapira, L Brown, J Palavi.
[Team Changes - The Warriors get Kevin Locke back and they need him after a terrible couple of weeks on the road. Glen Fisiiahi misses out, while Lewis Brown's spot looks in danger with the return of Konrad Hurrell on the bench and the addition of young gun John Palavi. ]

SOU: G Inglis, A Everingham, M King, S Corrigan, D Farrell, J Sutton, A Reynolds, S Geddes, I Luke, D Tyrrell, E Pettybourne, D Taylor, M Crocker.
Bench: B Lowe, C McQueen, J Clark, N Areaiiti, J Hunt.
[Team Changes - Still no Nathan Merritt... for the seventh straight week. Neccrom Areaiiti should finally get his chance with Roy Asotasi likely done for the year with a pectoral injury, Dave Tyrrell starts at prop, while Justin Hunt is the travelling 18th man. ]
THURSDAY GAME PREVIEW
Listen to the Podcast for a full preview, but we like the Warriors.
South Sydney have won two straight and the Warriors are going terribly - but the South Sydney pack is minus both Burgesses and Asotasi and that's huge. Warriors to win and possibly win well.
TIPPING AND FANTASY LATE MAIL
SMH and Other Late Mail - Nathan Merritt reportedly trained this week but is unlikely, yet Dylan Farrell is no certainty with an ankle sprain, while Kevin Locke misses out and Krisnan Inu comes into the centres and Jerome Ropati goes back to fullback. Konrad Hurrell is said to be set to play NSW Cup.

THE NRL TWEET'S PICK
Warriors by 10.

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SUNDAY - APRIL 15
SHARKS $1.48 v $2.72 EELS 
PAR +6.0 | GAME STATS | @ Toyota Stadium, Cronulla. 2:00pm Kick-Off.

NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
B Hoese and J Davies. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
Sharks are 4-2 and 4th, Eels are 1-5 and 16th.
HEAD TO HEAD LAST 10
Sharks 6 Eels 4
Parra won the only clash last year.
TUESDAY TEAM NEWS

CRO: M Wright, S Mills, B Pomeroy, C Best, J Williams, T Carney, J Robson, B Gibbs, J Morris, B Ross, J Smith, J Bukuya, P Gallen (c).
Bench: A Fifita, W Graham, J Green, S Tagataese, M Taufua.
[Team Changes - Nathan Gardner could be out for the season after doing his knee in the win over the Dragons. Matthew Wright goes to fullback and Stewart Mills returns from a hamstring injury on the wing. Jon Green is the new face on a 5 man bench. ]

PAR: J Hayne, K Sio, E Tonga, W Tonga, C Blair, B Roberts, C Sandow, T Mannah, M Keating, M Allgood, N Hindmarsh (c), T Lasalo, R Maitua.
Bench: C McGuire, FF MoiMoi, J Poore, J Paulo.
[Team Changes - Esi Tonga is named for the third week in a row to replace Ryan Morgan, while Chris Sandow's knee isn't 100% but he should play. Once again despite a disappointing performance, there are minimal changes at the Eels - who are 1-5. ]
THURSDAY GAME PREVIEW
Listen to the Podcast for a full preview, but we like the Sharks.
Can the Eels score more than two tries? If they can they can beat the Sharks, but we doubt it.
TIPPING AND FANTASY LATE MAIL
SMH and Other Late Mail - The Sharks should be fit and they'll choose between Green and Taufua for their final bench spot on game day. Esi Tonga should play in the only question mark for the Eels - Chris Sandow is considered to be correct weight for this game by the Parramatta coaching staff.
THE NRL TWEET'S PICK
Sharks by 7.

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SUNDAY - APRIL 15
PANTHERS $2.50 v $1.56 TIGERS 
PEN +4.5 | GAME STATS | @ Centrebet Stadium, Penrith. 3:00pm Kick-Off.

NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
W Nicolson and M Duncan. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
Panthers are 2-4 and 12th, Tigers are 1-5 and 14th.
HEAD TO HEAD LAST 10
Panthers 5 Tigers 5
The Tigers have won 3 straight.
TUESDAY TEAM NEWS

PEN: L Coote, E Uaisele, M Jennings, B Tighe, D Simmons T Burns, L Walsh, S McKendry, K Kingston, D Weston, C Newton, C Ciraldo, L Lewis (c).
Bench: D Galea, M Achurch, B Austin, R Simpkins, M Robinson.
[Team Changes - Tim Grant remains a week to week proposition with a calf injury. He could still play but the Panthers once again make only one cosmetic change to their team - adding Matt Robinson as 18th man. Travis Burns avoided a suspension with an early guilty plea to a high tackle. Luke Lewis has an ankle sprain but should play. ]

WTG: T Moltzen, B Ryan, J Reddy, C Lawrence, L Tuqiri, B Marshall, T Humble, A Woods, R Farah (c), K Galloway, A Blair, L Fulton, M Bell.
Bench: B Ayshford, B Murdoch-Masila, R Cashmere, J Moors.
[Team Changes - Chris Heighington is out with a busted hand, but the Tigers get Ray Cashmere from the Illawarra Cutters (via a smart change of heart by the Dragons who didn't need to play the petty game stemming from last year's Tim Moltzen saga) and also include Junior Moors on the bench for Sean Meaney. Joel Reddy is in the centres for Blake Ayshford who is on the bench, while Matt Bell starts at lock for Heighington. ]
THURSDAY GAME PREVIEW
Listen to the Podcast for a full preview, but we like the Tigers.
Defensively the Tigers were great last week, but they scored 10 of their 14 points last year once the game was over. Still - if there's no Jennings and Lewis isn't 100% fit - Marshall and Farah should get the Tigers across the line for their 2nd win of the season.
TIPPING AND FANTASY LATE MAIL
SMH and Other Late Mail - Michael Jennings is set to miss with a pectoral injury and both David Simmons (head) and Etu Uaisele (leg) are in grave doubt. Sandor Earl, Junior Vaivai or Geoff Daniela could come in. Kevin Kingston could also miss with an elbow injury picked up in the dying seconds of Round 6 - Nafe Seluini would join the bench with Ryan Simpkins or Travis Burns set to start at hooker. The Tigers might draft young half Jacob Miller in and shift Tom Humble to the bench utility role that Tim Sheens loves.
THE NRL TWEET'S PICK
Tigers by 10.

CLICK FOR MOST RECENT UPDATE
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This year not only do you get The NRL Tweet's Tips each week but the whole NOT The Footy Show team will have their picks listed by Thursday so you can back a smoky or a favourite by seeing who we all picked (or didn't pick). 
@NRLTWEET's 2012 TIPPING RECORD 
TOTAL AFTER 6 ROUNDS - 25/48 @ 52%
SPECIAL FRIED RICE involves each tipster taking a 'certainty' in a set order, with the tipster with the highest score at the end of the year literally winning a mountain of Special Fried Rice.
ROUND 7 SELECTIONS
Dragons
Broncos
Storm
Sea Eagles
Roosters
Warriors
Sharks
Tigers
LW: 3/8 | SEASON 25/48
Special Fried Rice: SEA EAGLES
Season SFR: 4/6
Not on Twitter
Nic McInerney, NTFS Co-Host
Dragons
Broncos
Storm
Sea Eagles
Roosters
Warriors
Sharks
Tigers
LW: 5/8 | SEASON 27/48
Special Fried Rice: STORM
Season SFR: 4/6
@mrpeninsula
Knights
Broncos
Storm
Sea Eagles
Cowboys
Rabbitohs
Sharks
Panthers
LW: 5/8 | SEASON: 28/48
Special Fried Rice: KNIGHTS
Season SFR: 5/6

Not on Twitter
DC Chapman, NTFS Co-Host
Dragons
Broncos
Storm
Sea Eagles
Cowboys
Warriors
Sharks
Sea Eagles
LW: 4/8 | SEASON 29/48
Special Fried Rice: WARRIORS
Season SFR: 2/6

@mtsialis
Maria Tsialis, Big League Magazine
TBA
LW: 3/8 | SEASON 24/48
Special Fried Rice: BRONCOS
Season SFR: 3/6

@GT_Tips
George 'GT' Taylor, GT's Tips Expert
Dragons
Broncos
Storm
Sea Eagles
Cowboys
Warriors
Sharks
Tigers
LW: 3/8 | SEASON 23/48
Special Fried Rice: DRAGONS
Season SFR: 2/5
Not on Twitter
Eyes, The Kid Who Sees All
Knights
Raiders
Bulldogs
Sea Eagles
Roosters
Rabbitohs
Sharks
Tigers
LW: 4/8 | SEASON 22/48
Eyes does not eat Special Fried Rice... yet.
Make sure you enter NOT The Footy Show's Tipping Competition, the outright winner walks away with an Official Steeden Match ball!
1st Prize: NRL Match Steeden Ball. 2nd to 5th: NTFS Club Mascot T-Shirts.
TIPS DONE, GO OUT AND ENJOY THE FOOTY!
If you want a full 2012 NRL Season Preview you'll need to pick yourself up a copy of the 2012 Rugby League Almanac for just $10.00 - where every team is analysed in depth and our Predicted Ladder and Premiership pick is published.


So while you go grab a copy, here is the short sharp and boldly premature 2012 Prediction for each NRL Club. If you want our Final Ladder - see the Almanac.

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