By W D Nicolson
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We're back for another year of trying to give you all the key information pertaining to making an an informed tipping or fantasy decision in Season 2012.
Let's get to it.
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NOT The Footy Show Episode 91 - NRL Round 1 Preview
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All Kick-Offs are LOCAL time.
THURSDAY - MARCH 1
STI +3.5 | GAME STATS | @ Hunter Stadium, Newcastle. 7:45pm Kick-Off.
NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
Warrick Nicolson and Matthew Duncan. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
Warrick Nicolson and Matthew Duncan. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
Newcastle finished 8th last year and St.George-Illawarra finished 5th. Both teams failed to reach the Grand Final.
HEAD TO HEAD LAST 10
KNIGHTS 5 DRAGONS 5
Neither team can win at home recently. In fact the last time a home team won this contest was in 2005.
Neither team can win at home recently. In fact the last time a home team won this contest was in 2005.
TUESDAY TEAM NEWS
[Team Changes - Wayne Bennett's first regular season lineup has a couple of shocks, no bigger than the omission of Junior Sa'u from the centres. Timana Tahu and Wes Naiqama are the preferred starters with Kurt Gidley and Darius Boyd taking the five-eighth and fullback spots. Adam Cuthbertson starting ahead of Evarn Tuimavave at prop is the other shock, with the veteran Tuimavave out of the squad entirely. Alex McKinnon is the bolter on the bench. ]
STI: K Stanley, B Morris, B Scott, M Cooper, J Nightingale, J Soward, B Hornby (c), J Latimore, M Rein, M Weyman, M Prior, B Creagh, D Young.
Bench: N Fien, L Ah Mau, T Merrin, J de Belin.
Bench: N Fien, L Ah Mau, T Merrin, J de Belin.
[Team Changes - Beau Scott goes back to the centres, where he played before Mark Gasnier returned in 2010. Chase Stanley misses out. Jeremy Latimore starts at prop for the injured Dan Hunt, while Trent Merrin had to settle for a bench spot alongside Leeson Ah Mau and Jack de Belin. Mitch Rein starts at hooker with Nathan Fien on the bench. ]
THURSDAY GAME PREVIEW
Newcastle start their exciting new era under Wayne Bennett the same day St.George-Illawarra begin their slightly concerning post-Bennett era. Hunter Stadium should have 30,000 plus Novocastrians and even if the weather closes in, I expect them to fire up the red and blue to a strong victory in Round 1. My concern with the Dragons is staying with a good attacking team late, which I expect the Knights to be. Newcastle here.
TIPPING AND FANTASY LATE MAIL
SMH and Other Late Mail - There is talk that Matt Cooper could be in doubt for the Dragons, due to family reasons, but he is expected to play.
NOT The Footy Show Episode 91 - NRL Round 1 Video Preview
FRIDAY - MARCH 2
PAR +4.5 | GAME STATS | @ Parramatta Stadium, Parramatta. 7:45pm Kick-Off.
NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
Nigel Wilbow and Michael McLucas. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
Nigel Wilbow and Michael McLucas. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
Parramatta finished 14th last season, and Brisbane finished 3rd before falling one game short of the Grand Final.
HEAD TO HEAD LAST 10
EELS 4 BRONCOS 6
Brisbane won the only clash last year 16-12 in Round 17 at Parramatta. The teams have split the last 4 games.
Brisbane won the only clash last year 16-12 in Round 17 at Parramatta. The teams have split the last 4 games.
TUESDAY TEAM NEWS
[Team Changes - Reni Maitua is a surprise inclusion after missing the pre-season but there is no Willie Tonga or Jarryd Hayne. Luke Burt goes to fullback and Cheyse Blair comes in on the wing. Tim Mannah is ok and will start with Mitchell Allgood at prop. Taniela Lasalo replaces the injured Ben Smith. Justin Poore is also named, while Taulima Tautai is 18th man. ]
BRI: J Hoffman, G Beale, J Reed, J Hodges, J Yow Yeh, C Norman, P Wallace, B Hannant, A McCullough, S Thaiday (c), A Glenn, B Te'o, C Parker.
Bench: B Hunt, J McGuire, M Gillett, S Anderson.
Bench: B Hunt, J McGuire, M Gillett, S Anderson.
[Team Changes - Corey Norman grabs the vacant five-eighth jumper ahead of Ben Hunt, who is on the bench. Ben Hannant will be partnered by skipper Sam Thaiday at prop in the absence of the suspended Petero Civoncieva, with Josh McGuire and Scott Anderson on the bench. Thaiday's shift allows Ben Te'o to start in the second row, with Matt Gillett on the bench. Corey Parker is fit to play. ]
THURSDAY GAME PREVIEW
Unless Jarryd Hayne plays, I can't touch the Eels - even at home. Brisbane have a couple of concerns (including Jack Reed) but there's also no Willie Tonga for the Eels. Even without Darren Lockyer, if Brisbane turn up switched on, they'll beat Parramatta.
TIPPING AND FANTASY LATE MAIL
SMH and Other Late Mail - There is talk Jack Reed is in doubt, with Dane Gagai on standby. Nick Slyney also travelled with the Broncos and will play for the injured Scott Anderson. Jarryd Hayne remains a 50/50 chance.
THE NRL TWEET'S PICK
BRONCOS by 4.
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BRONCOS by 4.
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SATURDAY - MARCH 3
CAN +4.5 | GAME STATS | @ Canberra Stadium, Canberra. 5:30pm Kick-Off.
NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
Greg Delaney and Justin Davies. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
Greg Delaney and Justin Davies. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
Canberra narrowly avoided the wooden spoon finishing 15th last year, while Melbourne won the Minor Premiership before losing in the preliminary final to the Warriors.
HEAD TO HEAD LAST 10
RAIDERS 2 STORM 8
Melbourne have dominated the Raiders since 2003, losing just twice. But Canberra have won 2 of the last 5 games.
Melbourne have dominated the Raiders since 2003, losing just twice. But Canberra have won 2 of the last 5 games.
TUESDAY TEAM NEWS
CAN: J Dugan, B Ferguson, J Croker, S Berrigan, R Robinson, T Campese (c), J McCrone, D Shillington, T Waddell, T Learoyd-Lahrs, J Papalii, B Harrison, S Fensom.
Bench: G Buttriss, J Thompson, D Tilse, B White, T Thurling.
Bench: G Buttriss, J Thompson, D Tilse, B White, T Thurling.
[Team Changes - Strongest team possible from David Furner. Josh McCrone relegates Sam Williams to NSW Cup, while Croker and Berrigan beat out Thompson for the centre spots. Thurling is 18th man as cover for Learoyd-Lahrs who has a foot injury. Oh, and Campese is back. ]
MEL: B Slater, M Duffie, D Nielsen, J O'Neill, A Quinn, G Widdop, C Cronk, J Bromwich, C Smith (c), B Norrie, S Manu, R Hoffman, T Lowrie.
Bench: R Hinchcliffe, K Proctor, S Vave, M Greenfield, S Waqa, R Kostjasyn.
Bench: R Hinchcliffe, K Proctor, S Vave, M Greenfield, S Waqa, R Kostjasyn.
[Team Changes - Billy Slater is 100% fit and starts at fullback. Justin O'Neill beats out Maurice Blair and Will Chambers for a centre spot, while Anthony Quinn edges Sisa Waqa for the wing. Jason Ryles misses with a hamstring injury, giving Siosaia Vave and Michael Greenfield a chance to debut for the club. Ryan Hoffman returns to the club in the second row. ]
THURSDAY GAME PREVIEW
Canberra just find it hard to beat the Storm - no matter where they play. Don't read to much into Canberra's win in Melbourne last year, they've lost like 45 of the last 47. Having said that, Canberra will have a crack here but I don't think even Terry Campese will overcome Melbourne if the forwards don't dominate. Storm for me.
TIPPING AND FANTASY LATE MAIL
SMH and Other Late Mail - Tom Learoyd-Lahrs will definitely play. Josh Dugan also re-signed on Thursday for two more seasons.
THE NRL TWEET'S PICK
STORM by 4.
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STORM by 4.
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SATURDAY - MARCH 3
PEN +1.5 | GAME STATS | @ Centrebet Stadium, Penrith. 7:30pm Kick-Off.
NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
Maria Tsialis and Matt Spillane. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
Maria Tsialis and Matt Spillane. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
Penrith finished 12th last year, while Canterbury just missed the finals finishing 9th.
HEAD TO HEAD LAST 10
PANTHERS 7 BULLDOGS 3
Penrith have won the last 3 games , including two at Centrebet Stadium.
Penrith have won the last 3 games , including two at Centrebet Stadium.
TUESDAY TEAM NEWS
PEN: L Coote, D Simmons, M Jennings, B Tighe, M Gordon, T Burns, L Walsh, S McKendry, K Kingston, T Grant, L Lewis (c), C Ciraldo, N Smith.
Bench: D Weston, C Armit, N Seluini, C Newton, B Austin, D Galea.
Bench: D Weston, C Armit, N Seluini, C Newton, B Austin, D Galea.
[Team Changes - Michael Gordon has been shuffled to the wing for Lachlan Coote with Sandor Earl missing out entirely. Brad Tighe returns from an ankle injury to partner Michael Jennings in the centres. Clint Newton may play as an extra prop after being named on the bench, while Luke Lewis is listed in the second row and Nathan Smith at lock. Blake Austin is 18th man. ]
CBY: B Barba, S Turner, J Morris, J Wright, B Goodwin, J Reynolds, T Hodkinson, A Tolman, M Ennis (c), S Kasiano, F Pritchard, D Halatau, D Stagg.
Bench: J Graham, G Eastwood, C Payne, J Romelo, K Keating, M Taupau.
Bench: J Graham, G Eastwood, C Payne, J Romelo, K Keating, M Taupau.
[Team Changes - New signing James Graham is on the bench, with Sam Kasiano set to start at prop. Dene Halatau beats out Corey Payne and Greg Eastwood for the available backrow spot, while gun youngsters Josh Jackson and Dale Finucane play NSW Cup. Josh Reynolds has beaten Kris Keating for the five-eighth spot, while Joel Romelo is on the bench as cover for an underdone Michael Ennis. ]
THURSDAY GAME PREVIEW
Penrith impressed me in their final trial with their style of play. Regardless of the result - they threw the ball around and I'm concerned the Dogs might not adapt too quickly to Des Hasler's game plan that worked so well at Manly. That was to attack at will, and remember Canterbury did anything but that under Kevin Moore. Old habits are tough to break, so Penrith for me in a tight one.
TIPPING AND FANTASY LATE MAIL
SMH and Other Late Mail - Aiden Tolman may not play due to a hamstring injury, with Martin Taupau on standby. Blake Austin is expected to be included on the final bench.
THE NRL TWEET'S PICK
PANTHERS by 2.
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PANTHERS by 2.
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SATURDAY - MARCH 3
GLD +4.5 | GAME STATS | @ Dairy Farmers Stadium, Townsville. 7:30pm Kick-Off.
NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
Michael McLucas and Matthew Duncan. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR VOTERS
Michael McLucas and Matthew Duncan. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
The Cowboys finished 7th last year but were eliminated in week one of the finals, while the Titans collected the wooden spoon in 16th.
HEAD TO HEAD LAST 10
COWBOYS 5 TITANS 5
The Cowboys have won 4 of the last 5, including both games last season.
The Cowboys have won 4 of the last 5, including both games last season.
TUESDAY TEAM NEWS
[Team Changes - Antonio Winterstein and Kane Linnett have forced their way in to the three-quarter line pushing Kalifa Fai-Fai Loa into the QLD Cup. Ray Thompson is fit, so he'll start at halfback alongside Johnathan Thurston with Robert Lui not ready yet. Tariq Sims is close to a return but his absence allows Jason Taumalolo to get a run on the bench. Cory Paterson misses out. Brent Tate is under an injury cloud with a rib injury. ]