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Sunday, 22 December 2013

#NFL 2013: Week 16 Picks - Head to Head and with Spread | #nflpicks #nflpickem

2013 NFL PICKS - WEEK 16
- AFC and NFC Picks - Head to Head and with the Spread -
By The Postman, December 22, 2013

WEEKLY RECAP: Stuck on the fence on both fronts - with matching 8-8 records halting the momentum from back to back 10-6 and 11-5 weeks (Head to Head wise). Just a poor week with upsets happening everywhere as Sunday went into Monday in the NFL.

H2H UPSETS PICKED: Well Chicago looked after us, but Jacksonville remembered they suck and lost at home to Buffalo. Only went with two upsets, so 1 from 2 is acceptable. Tipped 1 from 2 Upsets Correct for Week 15 (per Pick'Em favourite/underdog listing).

H2H LESSONS LEARNED: We're so late in the season you'd think teams with their playoff lives on a knife's edge would turn up... not so. Good luck to San Diego who beat Denver and Miami over New England but seriously Philly losing to Minnesota, Dallas to Green Bay, New Orleans to St Louis, Cincinnati to Pittsburgh and Baltimore to Detroit all involved the losing team being in a position to either secure their playoff spot or a high playoff seed and they got BEAT.

Our Week 16 Picks are up next...

Not gonna happen... thanks Atlanta
My 2013 NFL Season Preview and SuperBowl picks are here - and every week throughout the NFL in 2013 I will be posting my picks here on www.wdnicolson.com and via @wdnicolson.

Last year in the Yahoo! Sports Pro Football Pick'em competition I managed to finish in the 98th percentile (so Top 2%) of tipsters across the world... completely surprising myself by using the rule of thumb I (for some reason) refuse to back entirely in my NRL Tipping (that is pick favourites and then pick favourites and then, and only then... pick favourites and maybe one or two gut picks - which doesn't hurt you as much with up to 16 NFL games a week v 8 NRL games).

Week 16 sees the first regular season week of the year without Thursday Night Football - with all but one game now on Sunday. There are just two weeks left until the playoffs.
=====WEEK 16 PICKS=====

Head to Head Picks per Yahoo! Pick'Em Overall League:
Sun: Miami over Buffalo, Cincinnati over Minnesota, Kansas City over Indianapolis, St Louis over Tampa Bay, NY Jets over Cleveland, Dallas over Washington, New Orleans over Carolina+, Tennessee over Jacksonville, Denver over Houston, Detroit over NY Giants, Seattle over Arizona, Pittsburgh over Green Bay+, San Diego over Oakland, New England over Baltimore+SNF: Chicago over Philadelphia+MNF: San Francisco over Atlanta.
Quick Notes: Indianapolis and Green Bay are capable of proving my faith is misplaced, while New England may I think expose Baltimore's offense for what it is - poor. Chicago v Philly is down to Jay Cutler not sucking, while Oakland are capable of upsetting San Diego now the Chargers win over the Broncos may be for naught with other playoff teams also winning last week. And St Louis at home to Tampa worries me greatly...
* Home Upset + Away Upset
Year to Date: 137/223 @ 61.4%
Week 1: 11-5 (Overall Rank 20,862 - 65th percentile)
Week 2: 10-6 (Overall Rank 25,998 - 59th percentile)
Week 3: 8-8 (Overall Rank 20,274 - 64th percentile)
Week 4: 10-6 (Overall Rank 21,269 - 68th percentile)
Week 5: 7-7 (Overall Rank 24,952 - 63rd percentile)
Week 6: 12-3 (Overall Rank 13,877 - 79th percentile)
Week 7: 11-4 (Overall Rank 6,721 - 90th percentile)
Week 8: 11-2 (Overall Rank 5,393 - 92nd percentile)
Week 9: 7-6 (Overall Rank 6,534 - 90th percentile)
Week 10: 7-7 (Overall Rank 6,367 - 90th percentile)
Week 11: 9-6 (Overall Rank 7,359 - 89th percentile)
Week 12: 6-7 with 1 tie (Overall Rank 7,498 - 89th percentile)
Week 13: 10-6 (Overall Rank 8,255 - 88th percentile)
Week 14: 11-5 (Overall Rank 7,749 - 89th percentile)
Week 15: 8-8 (Overall Rank 8,516 - 88th percentile)
'With the Spread' Picks per my Yahoo! Pick'Em League:
Miami -3.0, Cincinnati -7.5, Indianapolis +6.5, St Louis -5.5, NY Jets -2.5, Dallas -2.5, New Orleans +3.0, Tennessee -5.0, Denver -10.5, Detroit -9.0, Seattle -10.5, Pittsburgh (no line), Oakland +10.0, New England +2.5, San Francisco -13.0.
Year to Date: 104-114-6 @ 47.7%
Week 1: 4-11-1
Week 2: 6-10-0
Week 3: 8-7-1
Week 4: 10-5-0
Week 5: 6-8-0
Week 6: 8-7-0
Week 7: 11-4-0
Week 8: 10-3-0
Week 9: 4-9-0
Week 10: 6-8-0
Week 11: 3-9-3
Week 12: 7-7-0
Week 13: 4-11-1
Week 14: 9-7
Week 15: 8-8
You can tweet me your NFL picks every week @wdnicolson and I will list my final picks from that account every Thursday Night.
You can join the Pro Football Pick'em League I'm in here - which is a 'SPREAD' competition (Tony Kornheiser's Radio Show Group - so if you join best you are somewhat familiar with who TK is and possibly his radio show or PTI). | Group ID#: 35104 | Password: andy | Or just join the regular Pick'em Overall league.
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During 2013 I will be reading Peter King's 'THE MMQB' Website every week - I suggest you do the same.

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