Thursday 5 December 2013

#NFL 2013: Week 14 Picks - Head to Head and with Spread | #nflpicks #nflpickem

2013 NFL PICKS - WEEK 14
- AFC and NFC Picks - Head to Head and with the Spread -
By The Postman, December 5, 2013

WEEKLY RECAP: Decent enough Head to Head - scrambling to 8-3 before the late Sunday games and by Monday Night we'd gone 2-3 to fall away to 8,255th overall after a season high of 5,393 in Week 8... oh so long ago. Spread picks were a disaster... going 4-11-1, including missing on (technically) the last 7 games listed on the schedule. Yowser... PS. Why are you still reading our tips?

H2H UPSETS PICKED: Got Miami... missed on Chicago, Washington and New Orleans. So a bad week for upsets. Tipped 1 from 4 Correct for Week 13 (per Pick'Em favourite/underdog listing).

H2H LESSONS LEARNED: Cleveland, Chicago and Buffalo let us down early on (here I was thinking they were playoff contenders at least record wise before their games with Jacksonville, Minnesota and Atlanta - who WERE NOT PLAYOFF TEAMS) and then saw San Diego drop another winnable game at home to the Bengals and then swung and missed on Washington and New Orleans (both going for upsets) in the prime time games. The good news?
Not much... the only upset we picked was Miami over NY Jets - otherwise we would've gone 12-4 with just favourites.

Our Week 14 Picks are up next...

Not gonna happen... thanks Atlanta
My 2013 NFL Season Preview and SuperBowl picks are here - and every week throughout the NFL in 2013 I will be posting my picks here on and via @wdnicolson.

Last year in the Yahoo! Sports Pro Football Pick'em competition I managed to finish in the 98th percentile (so Top 2%) of tipsters across the world... completely surprising myself by using the rule of thumb I (for some reason) refuse to back entirely in my NRL Tipping (that is pick favourites and then pick favourites and then, and only then... pick favourites and maybe one or two gut picks - which doesn't hurt you as much with up to 16 NFL games a week v 8 NRL games).

Week 14 begins with Jacksonville hosting Houston on Friday (Australian time) and somehow - the recently pretty good Jaguars aren't favourite!!!
=====WEEK 14 PICKS=====

Head to Head Picks per Yahoo! Pick'Em Overall League:
TNF: Jacksonville over Houston*Sunday: Cincinnati over Indianapolis, Green Bay over Atlanta, New England over Cleveland, NY Jets over Oakland, Detroit over Philadelphia+, Pittsburgh over Miami, Buffalo over Tampa Bay+, Kansas City over Washington, Baltimore over Minnesota, Denver over Tennessee, Arizona over St Louis, San Diego over NY Giants, San Francisco over Seattle+SNF: New Orleans over Carolina; MNF: Dallas over Chicago+.
Quick Notes: So another 5 upsets... we just can't resist them with our recently average tipping. Texans suck, Tampa sucks and both San Fran and Chicago aren't better than their opponents even at home me thinks. Ready for the Jets, Lions, Cardinals and Chargers to disappoint us.
* Home Upset + Away Upset
Year to Date: 118/190 @ 62.1%
Week 1: 11-5 (Overall Rank 20,862 - 65th percentile)
Week 2: 10-6 (Overall Rank 25,998 - 59th percentile)
Week 3: 8-8 (Overall Rank 20,274 - 64th percentile)
Week 4: 10-6 (Overall Rank 21,269 - 68th percentile)
Week 5: 7-7 (Overall Rank 24,952 - 63rd percentile)
Week 6: 12-3 (Overall Rank 13,877 - 79th percentile)
Week 7: 11-4 (Overall Rank 6,721 - 90th percentile)
Week 8: 11-2 (Overall Rank 5,393 - 92nd percentile)
Week 9: 7-6 (Overall Rank 6,534 - 90th percentile)
Week 10: 7-7 (Overall Rank 6,367 - 90th percentile)
Week 11: 9-6 (Overall Rank 7,359 - 89th percentile)
Week 12: 6-7 with 1 tie (Overall Rank 7,498 - 89th percentile)
Week 13: 10-6 (Overall Rank 8,255 - 88th percentile)
'With the Spread' Picks per my Yahoo! Pick'Em League:
Jacksonville +3.0, Indianapolis +6.5, Green Bay and New England to win as no lines present (if there was we'd take both giving points), NY Jets -2.5, Detroit +2.5, Pittsburgh -3.0, Buffalo +2.5, Kansas City -3.0, Baltimore -6.5, Denver -12.0, Arizona -6.5, NY Giants +3.0, Seattle +2.5, New Orleans -3.0, Dallas +1.0.
Year to Date: 87-99-6 @ 46.7%
Week 1: 4-11-1
Week 2: 6-10-0
Week 3: 8-7-1
Week 4: 10-5-0
Week 5: 6-8-0
Week 6: 8-7-0
Week 7: 11-4-0
Week 8: 10-3-0
Week 9: 4-9-0
Week 10: 6-8-0
Week 11: 3-9-3
Week 12: 7-7-0
Week 13: 4-11-1
You can tweet me your NFL picks every week @wdnicolson and I will list my final picks from that account every Thursday Night.
You can join the Pro Football Pick'em League I'm in here - which is a 'SPREAD' competition (Tony Kornheiser's Radio Show Group - so if you join best you are somewhat familiar with who TK is and possibly his radio show or PTI). | Group ID#: 35104 | Password: andy | Or just join the regular Pick'em Overall league.
During 2013 I will be reading Peter King's 'THE MMQB' Website every week - I suggest you do the same.