Monday, 14 May 2012

State of Origin 2012: Queensland Official Game 1 Team Analysis

STATE OF ORIGIN 2012
OFFICIAL QUEENSLAND GAME 1 ORIGIN TEAM
By W D Nicolson, May 14, 2012
QLD Coach Mal Meninga has reinstated David Shillington, selected veteran Brent Tate to replace the injured Jharal Yow Yeh on the wing and included Matt Gillett on the bench in the only slightly surprising moves that differ from the team that has won six straight State of Origin Series.

Of course Darren Lockyer has retired, but Corey Parker and Jacob Lillyman are the only players to be genuinely omitted with the return of Shillington from injury and Dave Taylor from suspension that cost him Game 3 last year.

Game 1 is on Wednesday May 23 at Etihad Stadium in Melbourne against NSW.

The Official QLD team was named at 6:30pm Monday May 14.
QUEENSLAND MAROONS
- Official Game 1 Squad -
Likely starting team below.
FB: Billy SLATER
WI: Darius BOYD
CE: Greg INGLIS
CE: Justin HODGES
WI: Brent TATE
FE: Johnathan THURSTON
HB: Cooper CRONK
PR: Matthew SCOTT
HK: Cameron SMITH (c)
PR: Petero CIVONICEVA
SR: Nate MYLES
SR: Sam THAIDAY
LK: Ashley HARRISON
Bench:
Matt GILLETT
Ben HANNANT
David SHILLINGTON
Dave TAYLOR
Daly CHERRY-EVANS (18th Man)
Dane NIELSEN (On standby for Hodges)
Coach: Mal Meninga

GRADE: A Considering www.wdnicolson.com predicted this team three weeks ago - that should be a sign this is about as good as QLD can get coming into Game 1. Petero is the only question mark based on form, while Corey Parker gets ousted by the guy he filled in for due to injury last year in David Shillington. Cherry-Evans will be 18th man after being pushed out of the bench spot by Matt Gillett, Nielsen is on standby for Hodges (ankle) and Josh McGuire was the only real threat to Petero outside of Parker. This team picks itself, it's simply that good.
QUICK HIT POSITIONAL ANALYSIS:
This squad has won SIX straight Origin series... suffice to say it's pretty good all over the park.

Sunday, 13 May 2012

State of Origin 2012: NSW Official Game 1 Team Analysis

STATE OF ORIGIN 2012
OFFICIAL NSW GAME 1 ORIGIN TEAM
By W D Nicolson, May 13, 2012
NSW Coach Ricky Stuart has made a number of key positional changes for the Blues heading into the 2012 State of Origin Series - which begins with Game 1 on Wednesday May 23 at Etihad Stadium in Melbourne against Queensland.

The official NSW Team was named at 5pm Sunday May 13.
NEW SOUTH WALES BLUES 
- Official Game 1 Squad -
Likely starting team below.
FB: Brett STEWART
WI: Jarryd HAYNE
CE: Michael JENNINGS
CE: Josh MORRIS
WI: Akuila UATE
FE: Todd CARNEY
HB: Mitchell PEARCE
PR: James TAMOU
HK: Robbie FARAH
PR: Paul GALLEN (c)
SR: Greg BIRD
SR: Luke LEWIS
LK: Glenn STEWART
Bench:
Jamie BUHRER
Ben CREAGH
Trent MERRIN
Tony WILLIAMS
Coach: Ricky STUART.

GRADE: A- Stuart has rolled the dice in a lot of positions, went a bit conservative on the bench with Creagh and Merrin and may not use Buhrer but Williams is a plus. Gets the A- based on picking Hayne, Farah and Carney in the same team. It gives NSW some (if faint) hope... and sometimes that's all you need.
QUICK HIT POSITIONAL ANALYSIS:
Brett Stewart has beaten out Josh Dugan for the #1 - so for Stewart's sake you hope he stays fit and Stuart stays loyal, the Blues have had a revolving door at fullback and the Stewart brothers aspect is the clear reason he's been picked.
Josh Morris has ousted Chris Lawrence for the other centre spot on attacking form and Michael Jennings has rightly been picked as Ricky's #1 centre despite being in NSW Cup this weekend.
Jamie Buhrer will be lucky to get off the bench...
Bye bye Mick Ennis and hello Robbie Farah who is finally given the keys to the NSW station wagon - let's see if he can turn it into a Ferrari.
Ben Creagh beat out Anthony Watmough (who wasn't 100%) and Tariq Sims for a spot on the bench in a surprising move, while Brett Morris misses out due to Jarryd Hayne's match winning ability.
Trent Merrin gets another crack on the bench after a good start to the season, while Tim Mannah was no hope. Aaron Woods is a touch unlucky but could still be called in as 18th man.
James Tamou makes his debut, as do Todd Carney and Tony Williams who loom (along with Farah and Hayne) as NSW's x-factors... but can they be big enough x-factors when you compare them to QLD's five or six?

Thursday, 10 May 2012

NRL 2012: Round 10 NRL Preview Tips Teams Predictions Late Mail Fantasy News Odds

NRL ROUND 10 TIPPING PREVIEW
By W D Nicolson 

A lot of people want to tell you that Melbourne's winning run comes to an end this week against the Sharks... but they are all on the good stuff, especially if Paul Gallen doesn't in fact play.

But we do like at least two genuine upsets this weekend - read on to find out which two we declared as special fried rice in Round 10.

And it looks like Tautau Moga might finally début!

For more on how we see the Weekend unfolding, check out the Podcast and Preview below.

For game-specific Late Mail every week - check back on Friday (or if there's an earlier game, earlier) for all your tipping and fantasy game needs.

NOT The Footy Show Episode 105
Round 10 Preview - Released Wednesday May 9, 2012 
Right Click Save Target As This Link if you don't have iTunes for the MP3 File.

NOT The Footy Show airs again next Wednesday night - May 9 at 8:15pm.

Subscribe to the Podcast via this link / Download mp3 version

1st Prize: NRL Match Steeden Ball. 2nd to 5th: NTFS Club Mascot T-Shirts.
NRL ROUND 10 PREVIEW - 2012
03/05 Odds are courtesy of Sportingbet Australia
For some more insight into the markets check out NOT The Footy Show's new resident tipster's site GT Tips http://www.gttips.co.uk
All Kick-Offs are LOCAL time.


FRIDAY - MAY 11
BRONCOS $2.05 v $1.81 SEA EAGLES 
BRI +1.5 | GAME STATS | @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane. 7pm Kick-Off.

NRL TWEET PLAYER OF THE YEAR AWARD VOTERS
N Wilbow and C Buchanan. Follow #NRLTweetPOTY for every Vote in 2012.
COMING IN
Broncos are 7-2 and 2nd, Sea Eagles are 5-4 and 6th.
HEAD TO HEAD LAST 10
Broncos 4 Sea Eagles 6.
Manly have won 6 of the last 8.
TUESDAY TEAM NEWS

BRI: J Hoffman, G Beale, J Reed, J Hodges, D Copley, C Norman, B Hunt, B Hannant, A McCullough, P Civoniceva, A Glenn, S Thaiday (c), C Parker.
Bench: L Capewell, J McGuire, M Gillett, B Te’o.
[Team Changes - Peter Wallace will miss with a badly swollen groin and Ben Hunt will deputise once more at halfback. Luke Capewell has been named as the new utlity cover on the bench. Andrew McCullough picked up an ankle injury against the Warriors but should play. Petero Civoniceva has also announced his retirement from the game at the end of the season. ]

MAN: B Stewart, J Taufua, J Lyon (c), S Matai, D Williams, L Foran, D Cherry-Evans, J King (c), M Ballin, B Kite, A Watmough, J Buhrer, G Stewart.
Bench: V Mauro, J Galuvao, D Lussick, G Rose, D Harrison, D Whare.
[Team Changes - David Williams is back on deck after a corked hammy, forcing Dean Whare to the bench. Joe Galuvao comes into the squad and there is still no Kieran Foran who is out with a dodgy hammy. ]
THURSDAY GAME PREVIEW
Listen to the Podcast for a full preview, but we like the Sea Eagles. Brisbane are a very good team but Peter Wallace has been a big reason for their form this year, Ben Hunt goes okay but Daly Cherry-Evans is playing behind a Manly pack that is aiming up again - go Manly.
TIPPING AND FANTASY LATE MAIL
SMH and Other Late Mail - Liam Foran will once again deputise for his brother at five-eighth for Manly, while Dean Whare remains on standby for David Williams who has a corked hamstring. Jamie Buhrer who moves to the bench and pushes Vic Mauro out of the 17. Brisbane could spring a surprise and play Kurt Baptiste ahead of Luke Capewell on their bench (or go with a fourth forward) but an ankle injury to Justin Hodges at training is unlikely to keep him out of the game (HODGES IS OUT! Gillett to centres). Sam Thaiday will play despite a rib complaint and Scott Anderson joins the 17 for Hodges.
THE NRL TWEET'S PICK
Sea Eagles by 7.

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