Saturday, 28 February 2026

2026 NRL Season Predictions: Top 8 and Premiers - NOT The Footy Show

By Warrick Nicolson. Published February 28, 2026.

NOT The Footy Show let you, and ourselves, down in 2025 no shows at all and on behalf of Robb Cox, I apologise. Are we finished? Never say never, but the stars just didn't align in 2025 to allow us to give it our best shot at producing shows.

I did manage to get out a full set of written predictions, and finished with 6 of 8 teams who played Finals correct, but gee I got some wrong.

The Warriors put egg on my face by finishing 5th after I had them with Wooden Spoon, and conversely my faith in Manly (picked to be 3rd and finishing 10th), the Gold Coast (picked to be 10th but finished 16th) and Newcastle (picked to be 9th and getting the Spoon) was misplaced. Whilst I had Redcliffe getting the 8th spot ahead of Easts in 10th, they practically swapped places finishing 9th and and 8th respectively.

I also had Melbourne v Manly in the decider, but at least I picked Melbourne (who ended up runner's up) to win the thing... Brisbane who I had in 4th was actually right on the money for placing, but I didn't think they'd get near a Premiership.

And boy was I wrong.

To 2026... and the dart throws continue.

Here they are, Warrick Nicolson's 2026 NRL Predictions.

True Contenders

1. Melbourne Storm - Minor Premiers

2. Canberra Raiders

3.  Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs

4.  Brisbane Broncos

5.  Penrith Panthers

Should Play Finals

6. Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks

7. Sydney Roosters

8. Redcliffe Dolphins

Missing the Cut

9. New Zealand Warriors

10. Parramatta Eels

Next Rung Of Mediocrity

11. South Sydney Rabbitohs

12. North Queensland Cowboys

13. Wests Tigers

14. St George-Illawarra Dragons

2026 Spoon Bowl

15. Gold Coast Titans

16. Newcastle Knights

17. Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles


2026 Regular Season Awards:

Dally M: Nathan Cleary - I think Penrith aren't all powerful like in they have been, but he wills them home in enough games to outpoll Cameron Munster and Reece Walsh.

Top Tryscorer: Sua Fa'alogo - he is going to be a monster if he stays fit and might crack 20 tries. Mark Nawaqanitawase and Herbie Farnworth also have 18+ tries in them, but gee it looks open.

Top Pointscorer: Stephen Crichton or Nick Meaney... Origin might slow Crichton down a touch, but the Dogs and Storm will score a lot of points. Jamayne Isaako could run away with it if Redcliffe have to score 34 points a game to win again this year.


State of Origin: NSW 2-1... let's believe.


2026 NRL Grand Final: Canberra v Canterbury


2026 PREMIERS: Canberra

Clive Churchill Medal: Ethan Strange

Why Canberra? Fair question.


Those who listened to the Podcast over the years know I don't pick my team to finish highly often, so to think we might actually win the comp is as much a vote of confidence in young Ethan Sanders improving the team's ability to be naturally creative over the Jamal Fogarty kick happy mantra, as well as the fact the rest of the contenders don't feel as scary as in year's past. Ricky Stuart still had his team play very entertaining footy, but when push came to shove the kick-reliant footy and what we all knew to be a suspect right edge defensive - saw the Raiders out in straight sets. They have every base covered if Sanders is as good as I think he can be, and Ethan Strange is going to be a bigger factor out of the Fogarty control shadow. Their pack is as good as anyone in the comp too. They are my Premiership pick.


I've got Melbourne as Minor Premiers out of respect for not playing poorly in regular seasons, not because I think they are so far ahead of the rest when it comes to September. Penrith, Cronulla, Brisbane and even Easts could all finish Top 4 - the comp is wide open amongst the Top 7 (maybe 8 if I include Redcliffe) and that's why I think it ends with a repeat of the '94 GF with Canberra v Canterbury. I expect the Bulldogs to be as good as anyone in 2026 to they reward Gus Gould with a trip to another GF. 


So Canberra adding a well-overdue 4th title is my prediction for 2026. Call it a gut feel, call it bias... but fingers and toes all crossed in advance!


Thanks for reading and good luck to your team in 2026.
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