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Wednesday, 21 May 2014

#NRL 2014: Round 11 Tips Preview and The Postman's Late Mail | #NRLCbySyd #NRLWstBri

Round 11 Tips and Late Mail 

2014 National Rugby League Premiership
By W D Nicolson - May 21, 2014


Well after a glorious run of tipping form... Round 10 was only good for 5/8 - which would be cause for celebration if it was Round 3 or 4 but now it's just Joe Average. 

Still www.wdnicolson.com's NRL Tips* are below but in basic form this week with no Late Mail unless time allows on Thursday. 

Apologies but Origin is bearing down on us and time is seriously of the vanilla essence.

The Postman's Late Mail has been updated for Round 11!

Remember our Game Previews are now purely the essentials in 2014 - I'll try to write very little fluff and you'll simply (entertainingly) get my read on each game and of course the Late Mail.


Leaderboard will be updated Friday
You can track each week's @NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Votes on Twitter via this link: #NRLTweetPOTY

The 'Special Fried Rice' picks have returned but given it is me v me, every week - I'll just be listing my 'SFR' of the week with the FootyTab Starts as the variation aspect to keep things interesting vs just saying 'this team will win this week - guaranteed'.

HEADS UP: We will have a new episode of NOT The Footy Show going up before Origin 1 but it is likely going to be a recording of Waz on Matt's 101.5FM Sportsfever show in QLD this Thursday morning. But it may - may - include a late cameo from DC Chapman so keep hoping and keep an eye on your iTunes Podcast folders for Episode 151 in the future. WE HOPE!

*www.wdnicolson.com makes no guarantees of decent picks every week - but we hope they are.

Round 9 Tipping was a meh at 5/8 - So let's get to the Tips!
ROUND 11 TIPS and LATE MAIL
All tips are subject to last minute changes, Game Odds/FootyTab are from Wednesday night and do not update thereafter. Times listed are stadium location LOCAL time.
Friday at ANZ 7:50pm
Bulldogs $2.95 v $1.42 Roosters
FOOTYTABSYD +1.5 Teams Analysed on our NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
No halves for the Dogs and the Roosters have both of them plus everyone bar Jennings and Tupou. The Chooks match Dogs up front and they win well. Roosters by 8 points.
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters for #NRLCbySyd:
| W Nicolson @NRLTweet |
| M McLucas @Jebadude |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
LATEST OF LATE MAIL from The Postman:
HOME - Bulldogs likely 1-17.
AWAY - Roosters probably 1-17 but is there a chance we see Tautau Moga on the wing with Samisoni Langi either to the bench or missing out entirely?

Saturday at Gold Coast 5:30pm
Titans $3.10 v $1.38 Warriors
FOOTYTABGLD +4.5 Teams Analysed on our NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Want to respect the Titans more by picking them but doubts over Kelly and no Sezer are huge outs... I have no respect for the Warriors holding the ball and tackling... but they're just so talented. Warriors by 4 points.
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters for #NRLGldWar:
| T Schroder @troy_79 |
| M Perry @Chandler_BANG |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
LATEST OF LATE MAIL from The Postman:
HOME - For the Titans if Kelly misses - Blair comes in at five-eighth and Blair may still join the squad if Kelly plays. Zillman to FB and Mead to the three-quarter line has also been mooted.
AWAY - For the Warriors, Johnson remains in some doubt with a groin problem and Lolohea may get his debut - he likely travels with the team at least.

Saturday at Campbelltown 7:30pm
Tigers $2.15 v $1.72 Broncos
FOOTYTABWST +2.5 Teams Analysed on our NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Farah made the Tigers a 10 point better team last week... while Brisbane still have enough pieces around to score points. Probably should play it safe with the home team but I do likey an upset. Broncos by 4 points.
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters for #NRLWstBri:
| D McLucas @DMcLucas28 |
| M Duncan @MrPeninsula |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
LATEST OF LATE MAIL from The Postman:
HOME - For the Tigers - Fulton wasn't named but with him he's likely to pop his head up sometime soon, same goes for Tedesco. Sironen is expected to play NSW Cup and Halatau is back soonish.
AWAY - For the Broncos - Thaiday won't be back til next game, while Kennedy may get a late reprieve on the bench ahead of Kahu and Granville.

Sunday at Canberra 3:00pm
Raiders $1.45 v $2.80 Cowboys
FOOTYTABNQL +5.5 Teams Analysed on our NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Canberra... you have one last chance to play footy like you think you are any good. They at least tackled against the Panthers, but they didn't play much footy after the first 5 minutes... Cowboys' outs = you must pick Canberra in Canberra. Raiders by 6 points.
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters for #NRLCanNql:
| D Chapman @Mr_DC11 |
| J Gemmell @godofcheeseau |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
LATEST OF LATE MAIL from The Postman:
HOME - For Canberra - Cornish will play... finally, but probably off the bench. McIlwrick may miss out as a result with another forward joining the bench.
AWAY - For the Cowboys - Thompson remains in doubt with Kostjasyn able to shift into the halves if need be. That's why the Cowboys named two forwards on their extended bench in Hoare and Asiata. Taumalolo likely plays.

Monday at Cronulla 7:00pm
Sharks $3.20 v $1.36 Rabbitohs
FOOTYTABCRO +7.5 Teams Analysed on our NRL Injured List
@NRLTweet's PREDICTION:
Souths still have their halves and most of their effective forward pack... so let's go with them against the Sharks minus Gallen, Carney and Lewis shall we? Rabbitohs by 10 points.
@NRLTweet Player of the Year Award Voters for #NRLCroSou:
| B Hoese @GunnerMcDagget |
| N Wilbow @parramatters |
Track live round votes via #NRLTweetPOTY
LATEST OF LATE MAIL from The Postman:
HOME - Cronulla may start 300-gamer Morris at five-eighth with Holdsworth omitted in favour of Lichaa on the bench.
AWAY - For Souths - Goodwin on the bench doesn't make a lot of sense so is this the week we see Tom Burgess? Luke may be held back another week... then again?
ROUND 11 PICK SUMMARY
Warrick D. Nicolson, The NRL Tweet
@NRLTweet
TIPPING:
Roosters by 8, Warriors by 4, Broncos by 2, Raiders by 6, Rabbitohs by 10.
LW: 5/8 | SEASON: 43/80
FOOTYTAB:
SYD +1.5, GLD +4.5, WST +2.5, NQL +5.5, SOU -7.5.
LW: 5/8 | SEASON: 39/80
Special Fried Rice: Roosters +1.5. | Season SFR: 5/10
NQL -10.5, SYD -14.5, SOU -14.5, SOU -8.5, MEL -12.5, MAN -6.5, CBY +3.5, NEW +5.5, SYD -9.5, CAN +4.5, SYD +1.5
TIPPING Record after 10 Rounds - 43/80 @ 53.8%
FOOTYTAB Record after 10 Rounds - 39/80 @ 48.8%
SPECIAL FRIED RICE after 10 Rounds - 5/10 @ 50.0%
| V Parmar @vinnyparmar |
| J Gemmell @godofcheeseau |
| T Schroder @troy_79 |
| J Davies @DragonPunk12 |
| M McLucas @Jebadude |
| D McLucas @DMcLucas28 |
| N Wilbow @parramatters |
| G Delaney @AussieGreg84 |
| B Hoese @GunnerMcDagget |
| M Vickers @MercurialMattyV |
| M Perry @Chandler_BANG |
| D Chapman @Mr_DC11 |
| M Duncan @MrPeninsula |
| W Nicolson @NRLTweet |
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