Monday, 7 April 2014

#NRL 2014: Who stole the @jamestedesco93 sauce? | #NRLSupercoach #NRLDreamTeam #NRLFantasy

Who will replace Tedesco?

2014 National Rugby League Premiership
By W D Nicolson - April 7, 2014

The Wests Tigers are flying high after crushing Manly - but now they face the next month or so without dynamic fullback James Tedesco...

But who cares about the Wests Tigers' problems right?


Your SuperCoach/DreamTeam/Fantasy squad is reeling with the news James Tedesco is going to miss time (4-8 weeks)... and given you likely brought him into your squad in the last fortnight - The Postman senses you are one pretty angry camper right now.

But don't fret... you have to keep him if you just picked him up. If you brought him in it was for one or two reasons - one: to make you cash, and two: to be a keeper if he kept scoring like he has in the opening month for the rest of the season.

But who will actually play Fullback for the Tigers with Tedesco on the shelf with ankle ligament syndesmosis?

The Postman takes a quick look...

#NRL 2014: Titans fall to the top of the table | #TitansUnite2014

TITANS FALL... into 1st

2014 National Rugby League Premiership
By W D Nicolson - April 7, 2014

The Titans are 4-1 and sole leaders after 5 Rounds of the 2014 Premiership...

That bears repeating...

The GOLD COAST TITANS are 4-1 and sole leaders after 5 Rounds of the 2014 Premiership.

Don't believe it? Check out the Ladder for yourself

Two weeks ago - prior to the tragic injury to Alex McKinnon - www.wdnicolson.com had taken snapshots of all 16 teams through 3 Rounds of the competiiton (we didn't publish them as football took a backseat after the McKinnon injury - though he's now engaged which is FANTASTIC NEWS)... and the Titans' snapshot - 2-1 at the time - read like this.
TITANS 2-1 - after 3 Rounds
They've played two ordinary games and one bad game... yet sit at 2-1 because their opponents in the former games - sucked worse than they did. But a win (or in this case two) is a win and it doesn't matter how you win, just as long as you do. Look limited in attack if Albert Kelly or Greg Bird aren't doing something special and that forward pack continues to underwhelm... okay Dave Taylor does. Luke Bailey and Matthew White are doing a great job off the bench mind you. If they beat the Cowboys this week - they might stay in the Top 8 race all season - so important is a 3-1 start to a team like the Titans. 
The key sentence there is 'yet sit at 2-1 because their opponents sucked worse than they did' - but here we are after five rounds and the same cannot be said about their past two wins.

They played well to beat the Cowboys on the Gold Coast in Round 4 and even better to beat Melbourne in Melbourne on Sunday.

Pre-Season very few 'pundits' gave them a chance in 2014 but while the footy hasn't been pretty - having 4 wins already is a beautiful thing on the Gold Coast right now.

Like a lot of teams right now - they could be standing around at training lamenting 'we should've won all of our games so far' but for the Titans, the reality is they've 'fallen' (we just wanted to use the pun for the headline people) to the top of the table because they have simply taken their chances in four of the five games they've played so far and earned their record.

The ifs and buts just don't matter when you win, and all they do is waste brain space when you lose.

The Gold Coast forward pack has lifted a gear in the last two weeks, Albert Kelly continues to conjure up magic when his team needs it and Kevin Gordon and David Mead are reminding us all of how good they really are when they get involved. And it's not like they've avoided the injury bug either - Aidan Sezer and Will Zillman have missed time already, yet...

Hey look - now they are on 8 points and currently 'Minor Premiers'.

Sure there are 21 rounds remaining (19 games for the Titans) but they have given themselves a massive shot at September with this 4-1 start. The value of starting at .500 (having as many wins as losses) through the opening two months of the regular season is immense when it comes to qualifying for the Finals - so they could go 0-3 the next three weeks and still be in good September shape.

Credit to John Cartwright and the players for gutsing these wins out - because as Nate Myles said post-match in Melbourne - all that matters is the two points, not how you play to get the two points.
| MVP: Albert Kelly - was a find in 2013 but now he's finding match-winning plays for the Titans almost every week.
| Surprise Packet: Luke Bailey - Just keeps on going like the Energiser Bunny...
| Needs to Lift: Dave Taylor - Got a theory about DT, less you make him defend the less he hurts you in attack...
| Rookie Watch: Paul Carter - Simply doing what is asked of him and doing it well.

Thursday, 3 April 2014

#NRL 2014: Round 5 Tips

Round 5 Tips 

2014 National Rugby League Premiership

By W D Nicolson - April 3, 2014


The Alex McKinnon injury remains at the forefront of my mind, so again, just tips for Round 5.

Thus no Late Mail this week but it will return for Round 6 - as will the NRL Injured List next Tuesday on www.wdnicolson.com.

My thoughts and prayers remain with Alex and his family.


Voting in the @NRLTweet Player of the Year Award will continue on Twitter via #NRLTweetPOTY - track the # or @NRLTweet for the latest votes.

Round 4 Tipping was below average - going 3/8 to drag my record to 14/32 for the season... and in desperate need for a 6 or 7 week to get back to respectability. Trust St George Illawarra to finally lose when I finally decide to pick them last weekend... never again!
ROUND 5 TIPS
All tips are subject to last minute changes, Game Odds/FootyTab are from Wednesday night and do not update thereafter. Times listed are stadium location LOCAL time.
Quick Hit Rd5 Thoughts:
Dogs not without hope on Friday but I do expect the Roosters to win by 10+ (even though I haven't tipped that... go figure) ... Broncos should beat Parra unless they forget how to tackle ... Sharks or Warriors - flip a coin and go for the team with two wins in a row ... Panthers at home over Raiders please ... Rabbitohs remembered the Sutton-Reynolds combo actually goes well so they should edge out Saints ... Melbourne by quite a few over the overachieving Titans ... Manly over the Tigers at Leichhardt because they have DCE and Foran and Wests don't ... and finally, Cowboys MAYBE over Knights - only because this is in Cowboyland - Nth Qld went into 2012-13 habits in attack last week.

Warrick D. Nicolson, The NRL Tweet
@NRLTweet
TIPPING Round 5:
Roosters by 6, Broncos by 8, Warriors by 4, Panthers by 10, Rabbitohs by 7, Storm by 16, Sea Eagles by 4, Cowboys by 2.
LW: 3/8 | SEASON: 14/32
FOOTYTAB Round 5:
CBY +8.5, PAR +8.5, WAR -2.5, PEN -6.5, SOU -2.5, MEL -12.5, WTG +6.5, NEW +6.5.
LW: 3/8 | SEASON: 14/32
Special Fried Rice: MEL -12.5 | Season SFR: 1/4
NQL -10.5, SYD -14.5, SOU -14.5, SOU -8.5, MEL -12.5
TIPPING Record after 4 Rounds - 14/32 @ 43.8%
FOOTYTAB Record after 4 Rounds - 14/32 @ 43.8%
SPECIAL FRIED RICE after 4 Rounds - 1/4 @ 25.0%